“Even Quinnipiac” Shows Clinton Pulling Away in Colorado

Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton.

Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton.

New polling numbers out today from oft-questioned national pollster Quinnipiac University show what everyone expects to see right now: Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton expanding her lead over Republican Donald Trump:

Independent likely voters shift to Democrat Hillary Clinton, giving her the lead over Republican Donald Trump in the critical swing states of Colorado, Florida, and Pennsylvania and moving her into a tie with Trump in Ohio, according to a Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll released today.

Clinton also has double-digit leads among women likely voters and leads of 28 to 76 percentage points among non-white voters, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds.

Four-way races which list both presidential and vice-presidential candidates, show:

Colorado: Clinton tops Trump 45 – 37 percent, with 10 percent for Johnson and 3 percent for Stein. Clinton had 44 percent to Trump’s 42 percent September 22…

“Secretary Clinton has held or increased her lead following the second debate,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. “Obviously the allegations by a number of women about Donald Trump’s behavior have taken a toll among some of those who had been in his column.”

Our experience with Quinnipiac’s polling is that they seem to frequently post outlier results early in the election cycle, often favoring Republican candidates, only to track back closer to polling averages as Election Day approaches. Setting aside scientific variables, there’s a definite PR advantage to announcing dramatic game-changing numbers early in the season–but you don’t want to be the outlier on the day of the election.

This election, perhaps Q-pac has decided not to get caught with their britches down.

13 Community Comments, Facebook Comments

  1. doremi says:

    Moderatus: That story might be interesting and illuminating if it weren't from Breitbart.  Never a reliable outfit. Just for those who want to swim in the ultraconservative swamp.

  2. Voyageur says:

    Every word in a fright fart video is a lie, including a, and, and the.


  3. BlueCat says:

    Besides the polls, Obama's approval ratings have been steadily climbing this past week to new heights. The generic  congressional Dem preference has been climbing right along though not quite so high as Obama's.  RCP average for Obama now around +8. That's not one good poll but average. Dems +5. That's not enough to defy the reality of gerrymandered congressional districts but election experts say if it gets up to 7 or 8 there will be an effect. At 9 it could really upset a few apple carts. One recent poll showed 10.

  4. DawnPatrol says:

    These are very dark days for the Party of Stupid, Greed, Guns and Hatred. Very dark days indeed…

  5. notaskinnycook says:

    Repubs may not be inciting violence at the polls; unless you consider stripping people of their right to vote at all violent . The republicans claim it’s fraud prevention. We know better.The good news is that the courts are catching on, too.  http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/tighter-restrictions-are-losing-in-the-battle-over-voter-id-laws/

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