Need some advice on your NCAA Tournament Bracket? Don’t pick Kansas. It’s time to Get More Smarter with Colorado Pols. If you think we missed something important, please include the link in the comments below (here’s a good example).
► The Republican field for President could get 50% smaller after big votes in Florida and Ohio on Tuesday. As Politico reports, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio is trending in the wrong direction in his home state:
Donald Trump has expanded his lead over Marco Rubio in the Florida senator’s home state, a Monmouth University poll out Monday shows.
Trump’s support has surged to 44 percent among likely Republican voters, a 6-point leap from last week. Meanwhile, Rubio’s support has slightly fallen to 27 percent. Ted Cruz and John Kasich round out the poll at 17 percent and 9 percent, respectively.
More than one-in-three voters said they have already cast votes in the state’s winner-take-all primary. Another third said they have already decided who they will vote for, while 20 percent have a strong preference toward a candidate.
If Donald Trump is able to win in Florida and Ohio on Tuesday, he will no longer be the favorite to capture the GOP nomination for President — he will be inevitable.
► Vermont could soon become the first in the country to legalize recreational marijuana through the legislative process, rather than a citizen initiative (which is how Colorado and Oregon ended up with legal marijuana).
► Republican Senate candidate Jon Keyser has picked up the support of former Congressman (and former Republican) Tom Tancredo. We’ll let you know if this is a good or a bad thing as soon as we figure it out ourselves.
Get even more smarter after the jump…
► The man who is responsible for creating the Taxpayer’s Bill of Rights (TABOR) that has so crippled Colorado’s economy is heading back to prison for another two years. Doug Bruce is going back to the clink after violating his probation stemming from a 2012 conviction on tax evasion and trying to influence a public servant.
► Governor John Hickenlooper is raising eyebrows over comments he made at a conference in Dallas last week in which he essentially warned the audience about the economic dangers of legalizing marijuana. Hick’s statements in Dallas were significantly different than what he has said recently about marijuana legalization in Colorado.
► Colorado Senate Republicans continue to trip over their own feet in the legislature. During discussion of a resolution about prohibiting the transfer of Gitmo detainees to Colorado, Senate Republicans inexplicably voted in favor of advanced interrogation and torture tactics. The Colorado State Senate, of course, doesn’t have any actual influence in the use of torture on suspected terrorists, but screwing up this vote is still inexcusably sloppy.
► Dear Nebraska and Oklahoma: Get bent. As the Colorado Springs Independent reports:
On Friday, legal cannabis country watched the nation’s highest court with bated breath. And … nothing happened.
The U.S. Supreme Court was scheduled to discuss a lawsuit challenging Colorado’s pot laws brought by Nebraska and Oklahoma as the specter of late Justice Antonin Scalia loomed large. His recent death muddied the waters for this and many other cases, but because documents from the conference contain no mention of the case, we can assume the justices skipped right over it — a reprieve for Colorado (for now at least.)
► The Colorado Libertarian Party has found itself a candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016.
► Boulder County prosecutor Caryn Datz pulled off a huge upset in Adams County on Saturday. Datz won the support of 74% of Democrats at the JD-17 assembly, giving her topline on the June Primary ballot and likely ending the career of incumbent Democrat Dave Young.
► Joey Bunch of the Denver Post dives into the issue of legalizing rain barrels in Colorado:
Legalizing household rain barrels in Colorado is pitting conservation-minded Democrats against Republicans determined to defend water rights. The two-session standoff, however, has a handful of legal experts wondering why there’s a fight.
None of them could point to a statute that specifically says rain barrels are illegal. Arguments on both sides depend on a broad legal interpretation that says you can’t store a drop without a water right, even if you put it back in the ground to water a garden a few feet away.
Republicans want to make sure rain barrels don’t put a crack in state water law and ensure that those with the oldest and most expensive water rights get their fair share before those with no rights get a drop.
► Legislation involving economic development opportunities in Pueblo is on its way to the desk of Gov. John Hickenlooper.
► Colorado Springs Rep. Gordon “Dr. Chaps” Klingenschmitt continues to face uncomfortable questions about the finances of his non-profit “Pray in Jesus’ Name” organization.
► There will be just four Republican candidates on stage in Miami tonight for the latest GOP Presidential debate…and it may be the last time in 2016 that we see a field with more than 2 Republicans on stage. Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and Ohio Gov. John Kasich may both be out of the race for the Republican nomination once Florida and Ohio, respectively, cast their ballots on Tuesday.
► The Republican field for U.S. Senate will thin out from its absurdly-long list of 13 candidates. There’s no need to try to pressure some of these candidates out of the race with petition and assembly deadlines coming up in just a few weeks.
► At Least We’re Not in Kansas.
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On the Second to the Last Day of the Rubio Campaign……..
Is it too soon to start to wonder about what might have been? Nah…..
What might have been if only Governor Donuts had kept his pie hole shut and refrained from humiliating Rubio during the debate days before the NH primary when Rubio was riding a wave of momentum from his exciting third place finish in Iowa…
What might have been if only
JEB!JEB? had seen the writing on the wall and bailed out before mail ballots went out in Florida, and had endorsed his former protege…What might have been if only the Establishment (lol) had seen that this was going to be a three-person race (or a three-ring circus) between two candidates they despised, but sadly couldn't decided which one they hated more and therefore failed to coalesce around Rubio…
What might have been if only Cruz had seen the tactical advantage of letting Rubio win Florida – if only to stop Herr Drumpf – by stopping his active campaigning in Florida to allow his 22% to join Rubio's 21%in an effort to block Trump…
One thing seems pretty certain. Jebs votes would have gone to one of the remaining not-Trumps. Too late for that now.
I know that it's carry-over news from last week, but being reminded again that Doug Bruce is headed back to prison puts a big in my Monday!
Bernie to Rahm: Don't Endorse Me
Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel is one of those Old School DLC/Third Way/ConservaDems who missed the changing tides of voter perceptions. Punching your own side in the face to score bipartisanship points shouldn't be your most important strategy. It was a winning idea post-Reagan, but is long past obsolete post-Bush.
Why do we want to be bipartisan with the most obstructive and destructive political party at the expense of our own base?
Op-Ed writers love bipartisanship; it fits the "both sides do it" crowd. Republicans love bipartisanship. Democrats do not have to love bipartisanship.
If things go as expected, tomorrow is the beginning of the end for the Sanders "free stuff for everybody" campaign.
I'm supporting HRC but it isn't a free suff campaign. I won't bother to explain that again since lately you've been demonstrating Modster level clueless lameness.
True enough, not free stuff. But even liberal economists like Paul Krugman acknowledge that Sanders' plan falls far short of financing the massive expansion of entitlements. I, for one, would like to know how much his stock transfer taxes would cost my 401(k). Because I rely mostly on a buy and hold strategy of S and P 500 stocks, I'm guessing the hit wouldbe $3,000. More active traders would pay a lot more. It might be worth it, but Bernie should stop pretending it only hits the rich. Middle class investers trying to build financial security for their famies will feel the pinch.
Stock transaction taxes are usually quoted at 0.01% – 0.1%. The common figure is about 0.03% – 3 cents on 100 dollars, or $3,000 on $10,000,000 worth of trades. They're only applied at transaction time; the vast majority of the money would come from the automated high-speed transaction market, where frankly I couldn't care less.
Exactly, the fee is designed to discourage the high-risk, ultra-fast (thousands of trades per second) speculative trading done completely via computer algorithms. Value has nothing to do with the computer-driven stock selections, simply speculation and pumping the market for fractions of a penny per trade profit.
According to Market Watch , bernie introduced a bill last may calling for a .5 percent tax , which would be about 16 times the number you cited and double the one suggested by gaf. uThat would be $3,000 on just 600,000 in total trades. Even a very modest 300,000 IRA would hit that sum if it traded only one tenth of its total every year for ten years. So it is irresponsible of you to claim only a 10,000,000 account would hit even that $3,Ooo charge. I think the taxes you referred to were designed for much more modest ends.
"I think the taxes you referred to were designed for much more modest ends."
I think in the ideal, Bernie would like to only tax billionaires but he also knows that it has never worked like that and it never will. So the middle class will pay.
At the outside, I have heard some mention up to a 0.25 percent transaction tax. But even at that high rate, Voyageur's $3,000 would mean a churn of $1.2 million. If his strategy is "mostly…buy and hold," that implies the $1.2M is a small part of his total holdings. So do I feel sorry for a cost of $3,000 on a multi-million nest egg? No.
Oh, I'm quite aware that you don't care what your plan costs me, but didn't expect you to be quite so honest about it. Your math is faulty because even a conservative portfolio has to be adjusted over a 30 to 40 year run. Plus, you ignore the effect of compound interest. Where precisely does Bernie explain how high his tax will be? If we're going to pay for some $1.5 trillion a year in new spending, I don't see how 0.25 percent does it.
Bernie's bill called for .5 pct on stocks, .1 on bonds and .05 percent on derivatives. Thus an IRA of just 300,000 would incur a $3000 charge if it were all in stocks. That is 1,500 when you buy the stocks and another $1,500 when you sold them, as you are required to begin doing when you turn 70. Compound interest in the form of a reduced growth rate, the exit tax on any capital gains, and additional taxes on any rebalances or churning would add substantial sums. Bernie said the tax would raise $75 billion a year. These costs are not annual, but cumulative. They aren't crippling but don't fall only on multi millionares as some on this board insist.
Correction: Bernie's tax on derivatives would be O.O05 pct not 0.05 pct. But 0.5 on stocks and 0.1 pct on bonds is cq.
I agree that Sanders should admit that the kind of transformation he envisions involves a different attitutude toward taxation. They don't just tax the rich in Europe to pay for healthcare, education, childcare and retirement. The middle pays more in tax too. But if you look at over all cost to middle class people, it costs them less to have a quality of life that includes those things we all want because those costs are covered by their taxes. Here, we have to come up with the money for those things in addition to our taxes so when you combine the cost to us of our taxes with the cost of those other things that are not covered by our taxes, we are the ones paying more for less, not the more highly taxed Europeans. They're getting the better deal, enjoying things that American middle income earners struggle to afford at all.
But all pols, including Bernie, know that once you say … yes taxes will be higher and not just for the rich, that's pretty much it. Game over. Nobody is sticking around for an explanation of how it's really going to cost them less to have more. It may be true that his numbers don't add up. Not true that universal quality healthcare and access to higher ed in and of themselves would constitute free stuff any more than roads and bridges do. It's simply a matter of how we choose to pay for those things, not a matter of getting them for free.
The thing about righties is they can't stand the idea of hard working people who make less than they do having things like quality healthcare and access to higher ed. To them, even to the lower income righties, there just doesn't seem to be any point in doing well or even in dreaming of one day coming into a lot of money if those less well off can have a decent life too. They want to be, or at least want to think of themselves as having the potential to be, among the golden few winners at the top, seperated from the common herd of losers. Of course that makes it an article of faith that the majority deserve to be losers and it's against the natural order to let just anybody have things like quality healthcare, childcare or education. And if a child doesn't have the sense to be born into an affluent family, tough luck.
You're on target. In fact, avowedly socialist health care sysyemsbpay about half of what we do for health care, with better outcomes. The problem is moving the money from column a to column b . When I,m king, I go Canadian, medicare at birth. I pay for that with a value added tax on goods and services. That frees up trillions in private insurance and employer health care costs. GM before bankruptcy paid more forbhealth insurance for each new car than for the engine in that car. Eliminating those employer costs lowers the cost of goods and services, which is partially offset by the VAT. Vast sums would be saved on unproductive private insurance costs __ which is whyy those companies fight medicare for all tooth and nail. American exceptionalism in this case means we pay too much fofr too little. Obama and, bless her, Nancy Pelosi fought like lions for the ACA and, after a century tring, we at last took a step in a long journey toward a national health care system.