U.S. Senate
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(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Somebody
80%
20%
Governor
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(D) Michael Bennet
(D) Phil Weiser
60%↑
50%↓
Att. General
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(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Jena Griswold
60%↑
40%↑
Sec. of State
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(D) A. Gonzalez
(D) J. Danielson
(R) Sheri Davis
50%
40%
30%
State Treasurer
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(D) Brianna Titone
(D) Jeff Bridges
(R) Kevin Grantham
40%
40%
30%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Somebody
80%
40%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Somebody
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Manny Rutinel
(D) Yadira Caraveo
45%↓
40%↑
30%
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
October 29, 2014 11:08 AM UTC
32 Comments
And in all likelihood there will only be MORE voters than in 2010 due to the advent of widespread mail-in ballots. meaning Colorado is likely even further from the finish line than might have been the case ordinarily.
We are about 1/2 way (45-50%) in with 905,500 ballots returned. At this point Dems are significantly underperforming. The current numbers are Republicans 41.9%, Dems 32.5%, UAF 24.5%. Republican leads are more typically around 2%. Given the lead and comparing the most recent numbers it looks like it will end up with about Republicans 40%, Dems 33% and UAF at 26%. Udall can't win with that breakdown. The UAF would need to break more than 25% in his favor.
Colorado has 3 million give or take registered voters. We're about about 1/3, not half, or ballots returned.
Most experts project between 2 mill and 2.1 million votes will be cast in this election, up from about 1.8 million in 2010.
You should have qualified your first statement with that then
"Never ever tell the truth when a good distortion or well-placed omission can get you better mileage." — excerpt from Right-Wing Trolling for Dummies
More and more people especially democrats will be turning in their ballots as election day gets closer. Wingnut AC will be in for a surprise. 😉
The tide is turning:
October 27 results: Dems 32.4% Repug 42.8% Diff <10.4%>
October 29 results: Dems 32.5% Repug 41.9% Diff <9.4%>
i.e., 1.0% improvement for Dems versus Repugs.
The percentage by which the Dems are losing in each new batch of votes is getting smaller. In the latest batch the Republicans are at 39.5 to the Dems 32.9. But now 1/2 the votes are in so it is more difficult to move the needle. So far that is closest the Dems have come. I think it will end up 40-33.
AC – your posts might fly on say Yahoo! News, but on a political blog such as Pols, they just make you look bad, really bad … and wrong.
Con artists gotta con, grifters gotta grift. Might as well tell the creep not to breathe.
Douglas County, which has to-date contributed approximately 25% of the current total R advantage (20,340 votes), brought a whopping +40 Republicans over the line in the last 24 hours.
But Yuma county has contributed +892 Republicans to date, including + 267 Republicans today. Thanks for your help. 🙂
Yes, the critical Yuma County vote. The one that put the secession movement over the goal line. Oh, wait… 🙂
As OldTimeDem opined yesterday, there are more voters in single building on one street in Denver than in all of Yuma County – and their ballots will have little resemblance to votes cast out in these here parts.
The GOP is simply cannibalizing it's election day voters. They are the same pool of voters, but are simply voting earlier. They aren't going to turn out MORE voters, just have the same number vote earlier.
Dems historically turn out in greater numbers as election day nears and then turnout 25-35% of their total votes on election day.
And Jeff County Dems seem to be set to surpass 2010 turnout … maybe they've learned a history lesson recently. If that happens, goodnight GOP, take two aspirin and call me in the morning.
Precisely. CO GOTP voters tend to be very rigid, methodical, regimented. They always vote early if humanly possible, and now far more of them can easily vote early, and are doing so. Same reliable GOTP vote as always, now delivered earlier. Not at all so for the CO Dems.
This is gonna be fascinating….
The Latest Numbers Released:
For the most recent batch of 245,387, the breakdown is:
39.5% Republican,
32.9% Dem, and
26.5 UAF.
The Republicans picked up another + 16,258.
So it went from a 15% spread last week to a 6% spread now and you are bragging about this. achole – you are an inept political tool. Take care of that rash.
From Sam Wang this morning, re the CO Senate race: "This race is too close to call."
Anything else TrollScum tries to add should be ignored as the rank BS it (always) is.
How many new voters has the GOP registered since 2010 and 2012?
That's the question you want to answer. Otherwise, it isn't MORE GOPers voting, it's just the same GOPers voting EARLIER.
Something tells me not enough.
Comparing to 2010 (being the previous midterm election):
Without seeing the small counties, I'd hazard a guess to say that lots of the plains counties and western slope have their ballots in already (north of 55% as a guess), which explains the GOP advantage right now when coupled with El Paso and DougCo.
At the same time, the largest chunk of Denver Metro area, Denver, haven't come in yet, and as GOP areas reach their capacity for turnout, you will see the numbers tighten dramatically in the next few days. And with that, you have:
Mountain counties and Pueblo will make the Plains and West Slope a wash. And I think predicting 40% of the electorate being Republican when they only make up 1/3 of registered and 25% of the electorate being independent when they make up a 1/3 (as AC has done) is fool's math. The GOP is over performing to be sure, but they're almost at capacity. From the numbers, it looks like the Dems have not yet begun to fight in their strong holds.
OF, It is not just about the numbers of votes in each county, it is the party affiliation of those voting. Here are the numbers for Arapahoe and Jefferson, two swing counties.
efferson County (Total: 124,806)
D: 40,032 (32.1%)
R: 49,672 (39.8%)
U: 33,669 (27%)
Arapahoe County (Total: 104,413)
D: 34,299 (32.8%)
R: 44,103 (42.2%)
U: 25,094 (27%)
– See more at: http://coloradopeakpolitics.com/#sthash.lI7t7K6l.dpuf
As to Larimer County, R 41.8; D 30.3
I've been chasing ballots in Mesa County. About 1/3 of total eligible voters have voted. People I talk with are taking their time, doing research especially on the ballot questions (not candidates) and judges. Some of the people working in my campaign have not yet voted, despite helping with the ballot chase.
Yesterday's update regarding voting in Mesa County shows that 32.86% of eligible voters have voted. For those who love trivia, 26,571 people have voted by mail, and 139 people went to a vote center and voted in person.
And of those that have returned ballots in Mesa County, over 52% are Republican and less than 22% are Dems.
Thank you for your service. As of tomorrow, I will be a full-time vote wrangler here on the Front Range, right up through election day. I get 'em to vote — and vote DEM — when no one else can!
Jedi mind tricks? Appeals to intelligent self-interest? Pure sex appeal? What's your secret sauce, DP?
Mostly #3, mama. 🙂
But seriously, I'm told it's my passion, optimism and determination. I'm not the shrinking violet out there that I am here on Pols!
I paint a very vivid, detailed picture of precisely what CO and the nation will look like under extremist Teabag control, and the often very-high stakes involved for whomever I working with. Unlike the enemy, I don't have to lie, distort or fear-monger one bit to do so. and I'm always prepared to answer tough questions, and unravel the enemy's threadbare spin without bogging down in excessive detail.
Students may well find it handy to use the ability to register and vote in person on election day, rather than make the trek home. UNC students might not be interested in heading all the way out past the drunk tank to do their civic duty, but CSU has an election day vote center right on campus.
At least one sane Republican remains:
Meet the most worried Republican in Washington – The Washington Post
Was Newhouse one of the Romney staffers who had to hitch a ride home after the concession speech because Willard canceled the credit cards and room reservations?
Not sure, but likely. After all, this was probably the one guy on staff honestly informing Fortress Romney of its likely fate, which it decidedly did not want to hear or believe.