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September 12, 2014 11:45 AM UTC

Wash Post: Dems Feel Good About Senate Races in IA, MI, and...Colorado

  • 17 Comments
  • by: Colorado Pols
No really, trust me, says Cory Gardner
Personhood bill? Hey, look over there!

From our friends at "The Fix" comes an interesting new look at the Senate races around the country:

And so, before we ranked the twelve most competitive races in the fight for the Senate majority this fall, we chatted — via email — with a half dozen strategists in both parties to get their sense of which races are moving where. With a few exceptions, their impressions jibed — private polling rarely lies — and suggested that Republicans should feel good but not great about their chances of picking up the six seats they need to retake Senate control in November.

In pursuit of clarity, we've broken down their thoughts into three categories: 1) Races where Democrats feel good/Republicans don't 2) Races where Republicans feel good/Democrat's don't 3) Races where opinion is mixed.

In this reorganization of competitive Senate races, Colorado joins Iowa and Michigan as states where "Democrats feel good/Republicans don't" when it comes to November. Here's what "The Fix" says about Colorado specifically — which mirrors something we've been saying a lot lately:

10. Colorado (Democratic-controlled): Rep. Cory Gardner (R) is a talented politician. Unfortunately for him, some of the votes and positions — particularly on personhood — during his time in the House are being effectively used by Democrats as a cudgel against him with suburban Denver women. Those women, of course, also represent the swing constituency that a Republican must make inroads with to have a chance of winning statewide. (Previous ranking: 10)

Yes, Personhood is absolutely destroying Rep. Cory Gardner's campaign — and he has nobody to blame but himself. When Gardner tried to reverse his position on Personhood back in March, he did so with the hope that he could get this prickly issue out of the way to focus on other narratives. Not only did that experiment fail miserably, but Gardner has been chasing his tail trying to explain himself ever since. Things have gotten so bad that Gardner has been reduced to just flat-out lying about his co-sponsorship of a federal Personhood bill, telling 9News' Brandon Rittiman that "there is no federal Personhood bill." What is so fascinating here is Gardner's brazenness in insisting that the bill doesn't exist — even though it takes all of about 15 seconds to find it with a simple Google search; it takes some serious chutzpah to try to sell that shit sandwich (to a reporter, no less).

Some six months after Gardner tried to scrub himself of Personhood responsibility, the issue has become such a weight on his campaign that national reporters have picked up on the problem. So, that didn't work so well.

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17 thoughts on “Wash Post: Dems Feel Good About Senate Races in IA, MI, and…Colorado”

  1. Damn straight we do, for very good reasons — not the least of which is the exceptionally lame, excessively vulnerable sleazy snake-oil salesman Karl Rove installed as the CO GOTP Senate sacrifiial lamb — er, I mean, candidate,

    2. You know nothing of the kind.

      #romneyinalandslide

      God I love your smug arrogance and over-confidence. It always breeds complacency, which we turn against you. Just watch, Zippy.

    3. I don't claim to "know" how this election will shake out at this point and neither should you. Stuff happens modster. But I'm pretty sure that Colorado Rs will, once again, under-perform.

    4. Zippy let's play this out just for shits and giggles.  Suppose you do get your 51 (or even 52) Repbulican seats.  You realze that from 1995 to 2001, Bill Clinton had to deal with 55 Republican senators and did just fine.  Sure, there were vetoes and investigations and there were government shutdowns and there was an impeachment trial but he finished his second term just fine.

      Worst case scenario:  there's another government shutdown or two, Obama gets impeached but acquitted and Boner is forced to resign.  And maybe Michelle gets elected to the Senate in '16 for good measure.  The past is prologue.

  3. Suggestion:  Just ignore Moderatus.  His name is clearly a misnomer.  No need to waste any more time/energy reading his (or is it"her" or even "it"?) posts.

  4. Gardner must be cursing whoever talked him into giving up a really safe House seat which (barring some really creative Democratic redistricting in 2021) he could have kept for life in return for dealing with wind farms, birth control pills and Tom Ready.

    They should have let Ken Buck have another crack at it.

    1. If Gardner loses this, especially if goes down by more than 5 points, the republicans are going to have to ask themselves (again) "where are candidates going to come from?"  Anybody with a high enough profile to run for statewide office is going to continue to be tainted by the far right ideological requirements of their primary process. If they recruit a "non-traditional" candidate with a business, military, or academic background, who was the last republican candidate to pull that off in Colorado? And, if they are looking at DA's, County Commissioners, etc., they really need someone from a population center (meaning front range), and who pray tell is that going to be?  I believe that this state is genuinely purple, and people Coloradans would be inclined to elect a republican to gov or senate, to balance things out, but the republicans just have no bench.

      1. While I agree with your analysis, Heckle and Jeckle think they are doing just fine in the candidate department.  Because, you know, a majority of Coloradans want to take away a woman's right to choose, don't need no stinkin' healthcare and want to have YOU pay for roads and bridges and such, because they are strong, independent types that don't need any thievin' government bureaucrats taking 10 or 20 percent of their earnings for the privilege of living in civilization!

        Rutted dirt roads, a rusty old 4×4 pickup and a shotgun are all Republicans need to survive!

      2. Definitely a problem for Rs hoping to elect Senators and Governors in Colorado. It's a true purple state with a large contingent of indies.  If BWB passes as a moderate you know the state Republican party is just too far out there to appeal to a statewide coalition of voters for those positions. Colorado Dems, on the other hand, are pretty much all moderates, even mostly center right. The middle doesn't need to vote for wackos to avoid voting for hard lefties if liberalism isn't their thing. While the GOTP is almost a hundred percent far right, there's pretty much no such thing as a hard left Dem pol in Colorado, much less one running for Senator or Governor.

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