Arapahoe County’s HD-3 skirmish between Democrat Dan Kagan and Republican Brian Watson has always been a case study in reapportionment. Kagan, first appointed to the seat after Anne McGihon’s 2009 resignation, has been a darling of the left since first taking office. Unabashedly liberal and a speaker who somehow marries brashness and eloquence, Kagan was the perfect fit for South Denver’s Democratic tilt. With redrawn lines, though, Kagan lost all his consistently-liberal voting base and picked up affluent and largely conservative neighborhoods in Greenwood Village and Cherry Hills Village.
Republican opponent Brian Watson, at first blush, appeared to be the ideal candidate for the seat. A moderate with extensive business experience, Watson should’ve been able to energize the district’s conservatives without alienating the 13,000 unaffiliated voters critical to victory. The Republican, however, has been dogged by his failure to pay hundreds of thousands of dollars in property taxes from past business enterprises. Watson’s been one of the top fundraisers in the state, of course, but the $250,000 in his campaign coffers pales in comparison to the $279,000 he owes to the IRS and he’s been brutally attacked in mail pieces and over the air for his questionable business record.
HD-3 is one of those races that could shift the balance of power in the State House. With polls closing in just a few hours, we want to know: Who do you think will win in HD-3? Remember, we’ll know if you’re right or wrong by the end of the day, so make it count.
A poll follows.