Who is Gonna Win in Denver’s Slow Turnout Election?

The race for Denver Mayor — and other municipal offices — is down to its final days. Election Day is on Tuesday, April 4, which means that if you still have a ballot sitting on your counter at home, DO NOT put it in the mail at this point (CLICK HERE for more information on where to return your ballot).

Ballot returns thus far in Denver are still not great. Of the 453,512 ballots sent out in Denver, just 40,826 had been returned as of today — a rate of about 9 percent. As you can see from the map below via the Denver Elections Division, Denver voters seem to be holding onto the ballots no matter where they live:

The darker the color, the higher the rate of ballot returns.



We’ve told you how we think the race for Denver Mayor might play out. With so many votes still up for grabs, campaigns with strong field programs look to have a massive advantage heading into the final weekend of the race.

If you’re already tired of this race, the good news is that 14 of the candidates for Denver Mayor will be done on Tuesday. The bad news is that the top two vote getters will move to a June 6 runoff election.

Anyway, it’s time for another poll! As always with our totally non-scientific polls, we want to know who you THINK is most likely to happen. We don’t want to know who you support or might prefer as a candidate — we want your informed political opinion to help us predict which candidates everyone will be talking about one week from today:


Who is MOST LIKELY to Make the Runoff Election for Denver Mayor?

View Results

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9 Community Comments, Facebook Comments

  1. Dano says:

    I said from the beginning that the candidate who is going to take a SERIOUS approach to reducing crime in this city is the one who gets my vote. I had to be in lo-do last night as the sun was setting and I was actually bordering on being frightened being there. Not an emotion I am accustomed to (this getting old thing sucks!) and not one I like. The drug dealer at the light-rail station openly showing me his stash of heroin did not help matters one bit.

    Yes, there is benefit to more things like after-school activities for kids, but I need a mayor who is willing to unleash the dogs of war against both the street gangs, and the more organized groups who are targeting the higher ticket items.

    But this is also going to take a local judiciary that stops turning these people out like a revolving door. So a bad-ass mayor now, and a tough DA next year.

  2. ohwilleke says:

    There's no consensus in this poll, and honestly, even my own vote was one I don't have strong confidence in.

    I am fairly confident that no one will get a majority in the first round.

    • Dano says:

      Well hello there old friend! Long time no see!

      I agree. I was torn on my mayor choice. I went with my gut, but there are one or two who'd I be just as happy see get it.

      I was flying pretty blind though on the rest of the races. I have only heard of one of the people running for Council-at-large, and for my district (open seat), one was campaigning hard and the other I hadn't heard a peep out of until after I already voted (causing me to doubt my choice there).

      If I had known there was a qualified gay person running for auditor, I might have voted for him. But, again, didn't get any campaign lit from him until after my ballot was cast. It's obvious a long of these candidates don't understand how to campaign in a mail ballot election.

  3. westslope says:

    After all the elections I’ve watched, and all the ones I’ve covered, the absolutely last thing I’d do is vote my ballot early. Don’t blame the candidates, Dano, blame voters like yourself that end up with regrets for voting too early. Our ballots get dropped off on Election Day.

    • notaskinnycook says:

      As I replied to 2jung yesterday, ours will be dropped at the train station, probably Sunday or Monday. There's still plenty of time for any one of the candidates or issue committees to put a match to their campaign. This was what 2jung posted via Senator Julie Gonzales:

      I'm in cmte (committee) and one of the Principals of Westside Investment just testified against HB23-1090, prohibiting conflicts of interests for metro districts' boards of directors. So with that, I can no longer in good conscience support 2O on the Park Hill Golf Course.

  4. Dano says:

    No, I will  blame the candidates.

    If you expect to win an election, you cannot wait to start serious campaigning until after voting has already started. Especially in a ballot of the no-name-recognition people like a municipal election often is. You need to be out there early getting your name and your message out.

    If I have not heard of you by the time I receive my ballot (and I got mine late because I was out of town when they dropped) I have to assume you have no plan to actually win the election and are not worth my consideration. Their campaign practices also show what we can expect from them as an elected official. If that is not being able to stay on top of things, then I don't want them elected anyway.

    As far as regrets go, I voted for people who actually stand a chance of winning. The fact that I might have liked others better after getting to know about them less-than a week before election day-doesn't mean I would have changed my vote to support someone who wasn't serious enough about winning to get their ducks in a row earlier.

  5. davebarnes says:

    I noticed that the highest turnout is from the old people in Windsor Gardens.

    The lowest from Black and Hispanic areas.

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