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August 30, 2022 11:43 PM UTC

Wednesday Open Thread

  • 40 Comments
  • by: Colorado Pols

“Always speak the truth, think before you speak, and write it down afterwards.”

–Lewis Carroll

Comments

40 thoughts on “Wednesday Open Thread

    1. Choosing the Best Cold Climate Heat Pump

      Finding the best cold climate heat pump is no easy task. Look through a database like the Northeast Energy Efficiency Partnerships (NEEP) heat pump directory and you’ll find more than 30,000 models and a mind-numbing amount of specs. And while heat pumps definitely work in cold climates, if you choose the wrong model, it might struggle on the coldest days. 

      In order to find the best cold climate heat pump, we talked to contractors, compared specs, and looked at what units people are actually installing in the coldest parts of the United States.

      Based on our research, the best cold climate heat pump is Mitsubishi’s Hyper-Heating, or H2i. Listed as Mitsubishi’s M-Series or P-Series for home installation, these heat pumps maintain their full heating capacity down to 5F, and can produce useful heat down to -13F. 

      H2i models range in HSPF ratings (heating efficiency) from 10.5 to 12, and SEER ratings (cooling efficiency) of 15 to 20. Mitsubishi’s heat pumps also maintain coefficients of performance (COP) as high as 2.88 at 5F.

    2. Poor Pfruit. I get the sense that if he’d been alive in 1870 he’d have fought the transition from whale blubber to kerosene. When did it become fashionable to dismiss and belittle Yankee ingenuity? Jimmy Carter was right: burning natural gas for thermal heat is the equivalent of using your valuable antique furniture for firewood. Adam Smith’s magic fist might encourage the develoment of much higher-value, “greener” products  using Fischer-Tropsch and syngas methods that are well established.  

      I like my showers hot and my beer cold but our future doesn’t have to worship at the altar of the Fossilonian High Priests to make that happen. 

      1. I'm definitely going to steal this one:

        I like my showers hot and my beer cold but our future doesn’t have to worship at the altar of the Fossilonian High Priests to make that happen. 

    3. Pear, you actually gain some points for bringing this issue up. 

      There is some merit in what these environmental groups state. However, these “inside-the-Beltway-environmental-solons” are also guilty of political ineptitude and strategic stupidity.

      What were they thinking by bringing up this petition a couple months before the mid-term elections?

        1. I just got a new one a few months ago, but it's ever so much more efficient than the 1950s beast now residing in the backyard awaiting the right collector.

            1. Neither was I until the day I went to light the oven and it wouldn't catch until the gas built up enough to flare at me and try to kill me. I'd been fighting with the thing for 20-some years and that was the last straw. 

          1. Of course, good for me but not so sure about those who can’t afford to refit their entire heating and hot water system. But what the heck those poor people don/t make good decisions like the rest of us. If only they were smart enough to be on the PolCat site they would have known this was comming and to skip some meals and take RTD to save their money. You know, like Melissa, I’m sure she is prepared with all the increases in minimum wage she has racked up.

  1. I think the polls are under measuring women’s reaction to the abortion issue. And under measuring the general unease many moderates have about the Republican threat to our democracy.

    I think part of this is many of the people being driven by this are not used to being single issue voters and so they themselves are still viewing their vote as influenced by numerous issues. When in fact they have become single issue voters.

    So… I think we Dems will gain a couple of seats in the house, gain in the Senate, and get most of the close state level races. Including running the board here in Colorado.

    Probably…

    1. How many days until early voting? They’ve (GQP) have run out of time to create a new narrative and all anyone is going to be talking about the next two months is Trump (good news for those who want to preserve democracy). 

    2. No….we are still not single issue voters. But particularly for younger people, the abortion issue will drive up turnout ( or ballot turn in, in Colorado). 

    3. Special election bears out your ideas: most recently, NY-19 went from 49.7% for Biden to 51.1% for the winner, Pat Ryan.   “There are 222 seats in the House that are better in terms of the Biden vote than New York 19,” said Sean Patrick Maloney, the chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.“That is the canary in the coal mine for what’s coming." 

      Both candidates were known.  Ryan had served as Ulster County executive since 2019 and was an unsuccessful primary candidate for the House seat in 2018. The loser, Marc Molinaro, was elected Dutchess County executive in 2011, and the Republican nominee for governor of New York in 2018, losing to [then] incumbent Andrew Cuomo.

       

    4. I believe that the backlash against the Dobbs decision will have a significant positive effect on election turnout for Democrats, but I think the main driver of Democratic momentum will be Trump. It is always Trump. Some love him, but more hate him. As he continues to dominate the news cycle, people will be reminded, on a daily basis, that a vote for a Republican (even a seemingly sane one) is a vote for the crazy that is the MAGA movement.

      Looking into my crystal ball, the 2024 election will also be about Trump. Either because he is running, or because the alternative Republican nominee will be asked, repeatedly: Will you accept the results of the election, and will you pardon Trump?

  2. Amazing to see Trump and his family, friends, and attorneys continue to botch his ongoing crimes, isn't it?! We now have learned MORE incriminating details about not only the stealing of top secret documents but the clear obstruction of the investigation – just because Trump asked for a special master to review the documents. Wonder what Trump's next brilliant move will be . . . 

      1. As a pilot I wish we’d convert to GMT and be done with it. Have businesses and schools adjust their start/stop time based on the time of year. 

        1. Along the lines of your flying point, during WWII the Japanese Navy ran on Tokyo time regardless of where a ship was. Probably because prior to WWII their ships were never more than 1 hour out of that time zone as their efforts were all North/South.

  3. I think in the upcoming legislative session we're going to see the following as the two largest issues.

    1. Water – What's coming now is a giant swath of the farming & ranching community looking at their farm/ranch going away. In some cases it'll be change the crop but a lot of them will just have to close down. Especially if they are required to pay market prices for their water.

    This will create a stark urban/rural divide which is mostly a Democratic/Republican divide. The rural lobby is powerful, but not powerful enough to require forcing all urban residents to move East of the Mississippi. But they view cheap plentiful water as their birthright and so the battle will be emotional and will be for their way of life.

    And there's no way to get around this, compromise, etc. The physical limits of the water available are something that can't be changed.

    2. The Homeless – As the homeless encroach more and more into everyone's life, driving people out of parks, making downtown someplace to hurry through, greatly increasing theft from homes and local businesses, voters will demand solutions. And they will be willing to spend money to get those solutions.

    But it will be a gigantic argument because a substantial number of voters are puritanical (which means not accepting most homeless are addicts) and view homelessness as a moral failing. So it will be a giant argument to determine what we're willing to do to address it. And then to sell it because it will likely require a tax increase.

    You'll have an urban/rural divide again (it's not much of an issue in rural areas). And a Democratic/Republican divide on treatment vs. push them elsewhere (where???). And the same divides on why should I pay taxes for "those people."

    Both are very hard problems. Both are forcing us to solve them now. Will be an interesting session…

    1. These are two difficult issues.

      (1) No politician would touch the water problem, as it would be suicidal to try to solve it. Water has a 150 years of entrenched interests, water law, and very strong lobbying groups, not to mention regional power-centers, none of which will give an inch. 

      One solution would be for the water resource managers to simply cut everybody's allocation by 25% or 40%, then let the wisdom of the marketplace sort it all out. Obviously, cities can afford to far out-bid farmers. But QED, anyway.

      (2) There was a good interview in the Colorado Sun this past week with John Parvensky, the retiring director of the Colorado Coalition for the Homeless. You can fix homelessness with individual one-by-one solutions. The problem is that new homeless are being created faster than you can reduce the number of existing homeless.

      It would take money, time and geographic breadth to reduce the flow of new homeless people. Using tax money to improve the social safety net would be intensely opposed by Republicans and would be fought to the death by anti-socialist blog posters. In other words, powerful entrenched interests would not permit it.

    2. David, the water wars are nothing new. They go back at least a hundred years in these parts. But they will definitely get worse as the rivers and lakes recede and wells go dry. Michael, Duke, and the rest of the rural folks on this site know, “Whiskey’s for drinking. Water’s for fightin’ over”.

    3. Where’s your source on “ Most homeless are addicts”?

      I’ve seen 25-30% numbers, but that’s hardly “most”.

      I did an informal poll of my current students, adults working on GED certification. All were recovering substance abusers. Many had been homeless, by the definition of “ No lease in their names”.

      I asked them about their opinions on “Housing First”, a policy close to my heart. They said that it would not work without addiction treatment. Most would continue to use, they said. They are all in a structured program which provides housing, mental health and addiction services over 18 months. It’s working for them. 

      Denver’s initiative provided housing, which reduced jail stays and street camping, but also provided wrap around intensive mental health and addiction supportive services, through partnerships. This program worked well for 363 people. There should be more programs like this. 

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