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April 19, 2012 09:20 PM UTC

Obama's Strengths and Weaknesses

  • 26 Comments
  • by: Colorado Pols

The Wall Street Journal on a new Quinnipiac University poll out today:

President Barack Obama’s popularity with women and minorities contributes to his 46%-42% lead over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released Thursday.

Mr. Romney’s difficulty in making a personal connection with voters persists, according to the poll, but the likely Republican presidential nominee is virtually tied with the president on Americans’ ability to view him as a leader.

Asked about each candidate’s personal characteristics, 81% find the president likable, compared with 63% who say that about Mr. Romney.  More voters, 57%, say Mr. Obama cares about their needs and problems, compared with only 44% for Mr. Romney.  Still, 61% of those polled say the former Bain Capital chief has “strong leadership qualities,” more than the president’s 60%…

The poll of 2,577 American voters is the latest of several suggesting a close race in November.

Within the big picture of a four-point lead for President Barack Obama there are some interesting numbers: a familiar Ken Buck-style gap between support for Obama among women vs. more men supporting Romney, as well as stark racial disparities in support for the two candidates. But Romney’s relative strength in this poll on jobs and the economy is certainly worrisome for Obama, and shows his political dependence on how the economy continues to recover between now and Election Day.

Not surprisingly, this leads directly to the next partisan divide–CBS News:

Democrats are far more likely than Republicans to view both the condition and the direction of the economy favorably. Fifty-four percent of Democrats think the economy is getting better, and 42 percent think its condition is at least somewhat good. Only 16 percent of Republicans think the economy is getting better…

With other factors crystallizing, this perception–or perception gap–is a must-win battlefield.

Comments

26 thoughts on “Obama’s Strengths and Weaknesses

  1. And he’ll have a hard time selling the story that Romney would be significantly worse on jobs. I think the argument will play out as Obama would like to take action, but can’t because of Congress vs Romney who will propose steps that would make things worse, but will sell them as efforts that will help.

    Romney will do his damnedest to make jobs the sole issue in the election. Obama will do his damnedest to make it about everything else. Like the Bennet/Buck race, it will depend what become the central issues in the race.

    1. I agree completely that Obama’s record on jobs is his greatest weakness. The polls show that voters trust Romney more on this core issue.

      So you’re right that Democrats will attempt to distract voters with everything else. But at the end of the day, the economy will motivate voters more than anything else.

      If they do, Romney will win the election.

      1. When jobs are increasing, it’s hard to say “I’d do better!” Especially when Europe’s experience with Republican austerity measures is keeping them from recovering like the US is.

      2. Why is it Obama’s job to create jobs when we have been giving trillions of dollars in wealthy welfare to the “job creators”?  Where are the jobs that the Bush tax cuts were supposed to produce?

        The other argument is how come the Republican House which swept into office on a job creation pledge is now worried about sticking probes up womens vaginas?  How come they aren’t held accountable for their preoccupation with the culture wars?

        David’s argument like all of his self-loathing Democrat arguments is that it is somehow always Obama’s fault.  Obama’s biggest mistake was renewing the Bush tax cuts that yielded absolutely no benefits to the job market.  Job creators my ass.

          1. What I pointed out is your shit argument that Obama has to create jobs and didn’t do it.

            The economy was hemorrhaging 700,000 job losses per month when he took over.  Right now the country is adding a 100-200k jobs a month at the same time that Republican policies are layoff off government employees.  That is probably a difference of a million jobs a month.  How is that a failure when you factor in that Republicans have done everything in their power to obstruct any joint effort on economic revival?  As a matter of fact they have tried every trick possible to falter the recovery so they can blame a bad economy on Obama.  You’re no better than a concern troll Dave, mouthing their disingenuous criticism that “Obama didn’t create enough jobs”.  It’s a joke argument.

            If you want to argue that Obama missed the boat by trying to work with Republicans in 2009-10 when Democrats held a super majority in the senate then yeah that was a real weakness.  He was foolish to think that Republicans would work for the good of the country instead of just playing power politics.

            1. He lays it out very well. The one thing I would add is if Obama had been focusing on what else he could do to increase employment from the start, and had hammered the Republicans on it consistently for the last 2 years, he would have gotten legislation passed.

              And if for some reason even with that the legislation was to passed, the voters would have put the blame on the GOP and we would still hold the House and more in the Senate.

              Part of the problem was he tried to work with the Republicans. But a bigger problem is that the economy was not his core focus.

            2. You can call everyone who disagrees with you a “concern troll.” But if you decide that the party should only have the true believers in it, you’re headed down the same path the Republicans went with the tea party.

        1. “Only 16 percent of republicans think the economy is getting better”, that’s code for “No way a black guy’s getting credit for anything”.

          The biggest flaw in the ACA is that the President’s black.

          Bin Laden in his grave’s meaningless because the President’s black.

          GM? Detroit? So what, he’s black!

          Fill in the blank.

          I’ll say this, I never thought the election of our first not entirely white POTUS would ignite, expose, and fan the flames of the  racial hatred held by the right, by and large.

          The economy is improving. That’s simply a fact. Slower than we’d like, but 45,000 factories shipped out of country since Reagan, 300 filibusters in 4 years, a scorched earth red policy, and a do nothing republican majority in the House will cause that.

          But those embracing the “Southern Strategy”, whether they be goobers, birthers, spoonies, separatists, extreme right wing christians or any of the other fringe red groups that make up 84 percent of the con movement will never acknowledge the legitimacy of this President, let alone give him any credit for anything.

          agop, libertad, and nock, I can smell it in your posts.  

  2. The President’s weakness is the lack of a filibuster proof Senate and a replican House.

    Had the ACA gone through without its’ big flaws with a single payer component and had the second stimulus been passed, we’d be out of the woods.

    Combine that with ending the war in Iraq, things would be looking up……in a big way.

    Over 300 red filibusters and an absolutely wasted 2 years of republican House of Representatives nonsensical and ridiculous phony social issues legislation, no jobs bills and that moronic Ryan Budget completely torpedoed the recovery.

    Let’s cut to the chase.

    As long as people elect republicans, to any position, we’ll be spinning our wheels.

    Give President Obama a Senate and House, we’ll be fine.

     

      1. or as usual, get about half way through before reacting?

        The answer is the latter.

        Once again, class, 300 filibusters, “death panels”, “pullin’ the plug on gramma”, the birthers, and McConnels’s famous “Our number one job the next 4 years is to make Obama a 1 term President”.

        How about the goober from Oklahoma….”If we kill the Health legislation, we’ll BREAk him”.

        Yeah, agop, real nice anti prosperity obstructionist routine your crew managed to pull off, that you’re all puffed up about.

        You are truly the personification of your ideology in that it’s party line over couuntry.

        You are the very essence of the once proud Eisenhower republican has devolved into.

    1. Where I think he’s failed is he doesn’t have the killer political instincts to get key legislation passed. It’s always been very hard to get legislation that involves fundamental change passed.

      Our best most effective presidents had that political skill. Reagan wrought fundamental change (some good, a lot bad) with Democratic majorities in Congress much of the time.  

  3. Obama, from the beginning, failed to bring the country in on his plans.  He and his advisors practiced classic Keynesian economics.  But that strategy is counter

    intuitive to the average American.  Obama just did not feel he had to explain it. He did not tell the American people what he was doing, why he was doing, and when it worked, tell them why and when it didn’t, tell them why.  He would have educated the American people and insulated them (to a certain extent) from the republican message on federal overreach, debit, socialist, etc….. (He did not have to identify it as Keynesian)

    See that is what FDR did with his fireside chats.  He talked directly to the American people, and let them in on his plans.

    Obama thought that the economy was going to be a sidebar; he believed his own publicity on his own popularity, and did not react to changing conditions. He insulated himself from the incredible hostility from the right and did not have a way to deal with it…other than just to pretend it wasn’t there.

    He had lousy advice….lousy, lousy, advice.

    1. He had the Democratic Congress and until Brown won Kennedy’s seat, he had a veto proof Senate.  He should have passed legislation repealing the Bush tax cuts; upping the debt ceiling, and the other legislation he desperately needed….then and only then gone on to Health Care.

      He did not read the tea leaves.  He has no “feedback loop” from the country or his base.

      He has a one note election strategy…..OFA…phone bank, fund raise and register voters…..he has just not hearing what people are saying…

    2. look at the strengths and weaknesses of Barack Obama as President than “Confidence Men” by Ron Suskind. It has been mentioned here before. It is “must” reading.

      It is important to note that he took the lousy advice, ignoring some pretty astute people.

      He should have started with the “B” team.  

      1. And then I would add read a biography of FDR or LBJ. They were both very good at achieving their political goals in the fact of widespread opposition. That is Obama’s second big lack – he’s not a strong political operator.

        1. In it, there is a description of ten year old Obama walking behind his mother and her friend.  Indonesian kids are throwing stones at him because he is black.

          He doesn’t respond.  He just keeps walking.

          The friend asked his mother is she is going to intervene and she says no, that he is just fine.  

          I keep thinking of how a kid has to learn to withdraw within himself in order to be able to ignore that kind of situation, and how he must have learned to trust very few people.

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