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May 27, 2022 07:06 AM UTC
29 Comments
Biden's Brilliant Preparation for a Russian Invasion of Ukraine.
Trump attempted to destroy NATO in service to Russia. Biden rebuilt the US-Europe relationship.
…
Brilliance better catch up to changing battlefield as Russia pounds the 100 US 155mm units we provided. 5 are destroyed today and Russia has more and focused now in one region.
The meat grinder of artillery of this size doesn’t care about back slapping soft tissue and will crush Ukraine in Donbas and is.
I witnessed Iran and Iraq do it with very predictable results in 1981.
Iran-Iraq war I know about started in 1980 — with the first campaign being an attack by Iraq mainly during the US election campaign that gifted us with Ronald Reagan — and then became a meat grinder with neither side able to "win." "Peace" was secured in 1988.
My recollection is Iraq attacked and invaded, thinking Iran's new government would be easy to beat and that the international community would not react. The combination of Iran's military, organized Home Guards, and the various militias managed to blunt the invasion, degrade and sabotage the few instances when Iraq "won" territory, and then have their navy and air forces counterattack into Iraq, destroying ports, military equipment and supplies, and oil infrastructure. Iraq's forces got pushed back to the original borders and Iran actually had some offensive success (if having more attackers than Iraqi forces could kill can be considered "success"). Later, momentum seemed to shift back to Iraq.
So, 1981 — is the point you are trying to make that invaders with artillery can inflict damage with their artillery and tanks?
John, my point is I was there in 1981 and earlier in Operation Eagle Claw in 1980 as a USN operator. The subject article misses the current situation and is looking 3 months back.
Mass #'s of NATO/US 155 mm artillery is needed to defeat the Russian 152 mm and rockets or they will crush Ukrainians defense and counter offensive in Donbas. We can't diddle around with assisting Ukraine pushing back against the mass machine of incompetent but larger #'s of weapons and troops. Time is closing in on Ukraine to keep the eastern part of they country. Since we have decided to give them little in air cover or CAS they must have counter power or Russia will take the Donbas.
Looking at the repeating gun orgies across the country its clear that the US is in a war with right-wing militia, and that the Republican Party is on the side of the terrorists. Paul Krugman points out:
The solution is pretty obvious.
De-militarize the Right-Wing Nut Jobs. Ban assault weapons. Offer a buy-back if you want, but then enforce the ban. If you ban assault weapons, only terrorists will have them
Stop allowing a minority to run a democracy.
It ain't a democracy if you allow this much power in minority to "trump" the will of the people. Consent of the governed went out the window with jesus, guns, abortion, and we can't win elections if they are fair.
Top it off with Citizens United so we can really be squished.
Can Coram stop or kneecap Qbert/Boobert? They debated yesterday in Ignacio. I was at VA trying to be more smarter and stay alive? Anyone see debate?
https://www.westword.com/news/boebert-congressional-debate-don-coram-cd3-republican-14184019
Thanks for the link, JiND. My brother lives in Pueblo West. I passed it along to him.
THX!
Aedan Hammond of the Durango Herald covered their debate. Boebert was true to form: promoting the Big Lie, cheating by referring to notes, spouting inflammatory rhetoric about immigrants, and promoting coronavirus conspiracy theories.
At one point, when Coram supporters were laughing loudly at Boebert’s antics, she yelled, “Order!”
So they’re both energy industry promoters, but Coram is better at it. At least, he’s not an insurrectionist and a traitor?
Time to send Sol Sandoval some money.
I support SOL but she can't win so I switched as a Dem to CORAM. Primary out Boobert and we have directional improvement to work from. Another 2 years of this screeching fingernail on the chalkboard is the result of pushing Sol. Until you remove Boobert there is no other path, well unless you see Boobert being locked up from her Recon on Jan.5 .
Lake Mead water level running well below predictions, could drop another 12 feet by fall
I'm guessing that means that more bodies will surface.
How much does that degrade power production, meaning there will be even more strain on other sources?
A lot. The biggest impact are on rural co-ops and municipal utilities that receive almost all of the hydro power allocations. They'll be left having to pay market rates in a market where most of the excess firm capacity is already spoken for. Not that there's a ton left as power suppliers have accelerated their closures of coal plants (and a few nukes in CA because CA is composed of short-sighted idiots) and there's nowhere near enough renewables, battery storage, or gas plants coming online to make up the difference.
The possibility of routine rolling brownouts during the summer across the West over the next five years is highly likely.
This diary is dated but you can find links to the related energy issues in the posting.
Thursday was last day of school at Northfield high, where my grandson attends. Some doofus decided to bring a paintball gun as a senior prank. Result, schoolwide lockdown, grandson spent 90 minutes under a desk, finally they sent every body home.
You could call it an overreaction. But what's the alternative?
Magellan Strategies released a poll on Colorado citizens' opinion of public education. You can read the posting here. One question: Local School District Job Approval
I am shocked that Denver voters think DPS (for the most part) sucks.
Thanks to BEST (thanks, Andrew!) we have some of the finest school complexes anywhere in rural America.
Chalkbeat provides some data that can explain some of the attitude. One marker:
Another: Federico Pena wrote a letter published in the Denver Post where he pointed out
Short version, to me — things are not all they could be in the DPS.
In every district in Colorado, students are struggling with the long lasting effects of the pandemic. There are incoming high school freshmen who basically missed their last two years of school – staying home and doing "remote" classes.
Their older siblings spent the last two years taking care of younger siblings, or working to supplement the family income.
There are some students who do well with remote classes – most don't. I doubt that DPS is significantly worse than other urban districts. Graduation rates seem to be steadily climbing back up.
The other thing to keep in mind is that ( per original post) it is a Magellan poll, which tends to generate results more in line with conservative preconceptions. Glancing through the crosstabs, this surveyed group was overwhelmingly white, ( W 591 L 176 B 44) ) and had no students at home. (no students 613, students 239.) This does not reflect Colorado population of black students.
It was also pretty wealthy, with a majority having household income of over $75,000.
On other demographics, the survey proportionately represented the population by gender, age, and political affiliation. It did have a significant "tell" – the crosstab references "Democrat" voters, vs unaffiliated and Republican voters.
So a group of wealthy, white folks with no students at home gave their opinion on how schools are doing educating poor and minority students, which is who you have in DPS. I don't think I'd give it any more weight than one does CHB's periodic grousing about a Jeffco building built with his tax dollars a decade ago that he is still mad about. And we can get off his lawn, too.
US Census reports … https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/CO
Magellan on partisan matters works for Republicans. But they do a heck of a lot of nonpartisan polling on education bond and budget/tax propositions, too. The sample was set for statewide population … and the cross-tabs don't come with enough information to know the specific representation within CO-1. It could be way off — but their overall sample doesn't seem intentionally skewed to me.
The Magellan poll did fairly represent Colorado, but it did not represent the Denver area, nor Denver public school parents. White, middle class, student-less households were asked how the poor, racially diverse DPS schools were doing.
Apparently, 61% of the Magellan group disapproved of DPS schools. On what grounds? They have no skin in the game. Their tax contributionss are limited by Gallagher and Tabor. Their info about schools comes from Fox News complaining about nonsense (critical race theory, homosexual “grooming”) that doesn’t actually happen in schools.
For the poll to be meaningful, Magellan should have asked representative CD1 households with students their opinion of schools.
44 black respondents out of 882 total respondents = 5%
Black % of Colorado population = 4%
Black students % of DPS students = 13%
Latine students % of DPS students = 52%
Latine % of Colorado population = 21%
Magellan sample composition: 67% white, 19% Latine*, 5% black , remainder “other”
I said that the Magellan sample vastly underrepresented blacks in DPS, which comprises most of CD1.
The Magellan poll sample may represent Colorado as a whole; but I saw people tsk-tsking about DPS. The Magellan poll does not reflect the ethnic nor income makeup of CD1, which comprises most of DPS schools. It under-represents blacks and Latine students, which are the majority of students in DPS, which is only 23% white.
It vastly under-represents families with students in the household. 69% of the Magellan respondents had no students in the household. (31% did have students in HH)
100% of DPS parents have students in the household.
It doesn’t represent the 59% of DPS students eligible for free and reduced lunch. The maximum household income to be eligible ( with 4 kids) is $51,000.
* I use “Latine” as a generic term for Latino/Latina, since there isn’t a reason to gender the term. Latinx is a construction that doesn’t exist in Spanish, (no words end in x) where Latine does.
Speaking of skewed data, I met with some friends at Union Station yesterday afternoon expecting to see dystopia, complete with sulfur gas emanating from the sewer grates. It was a pleasant surprise after my expectations were set low by the Republican front runner for Governor.
Those of us who didn’t live in Orange County at the time and remember the Larimer Square and downtown of the early-mid 70’s really appreciate what the area has become.
Having sent two generations of platypuses through DPS, with one grandson still a high school sophomore, I think it does a fair job. Definitely top-heavy with bureaucracy, though, partly as a result of all the litigation.
But on the whole, good teachers.
Trump mangled Spanish names of dead students, blamed the carnage on “broken families”, and did a little cha-cha at the end of the recitation, while the NRA rang a gong. Horrifying and disrespectful.
"Horrifying and disrespectful." So, you just described The Screaming Yam in a nutshell. What's new?