U.S. Senate
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(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Somebody
80%
20%
Governor
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(D) Phil Weiser
(D) Joe Neguse
(D) Michael Bennet
50%
50%
50%
Att. General
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(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Jena Griswold
(D) Brian Mason
60%↑
30%↑
20%↓
Sec. of State
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(D) A. Gonzalez
(D) George Stern
(R) Sheri Davis
50%↑
40%
30%
State Treasurer
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(D) Brianna Titone
(R) Kevin Grantham
(D) Jerry DiTullio
60%↑
30%
20%↓
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Somebody
80%
40%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Somebody
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Manny Rutinel
(D) Yadira Caraveo
45%↓
40%↑
30%
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
November 05, 2021 06:50 AM UTC
21 Comments
Today is Guy Fawkes Day
Tomorrow is better: Gal Folks Day
But, of course…with friends like this who needs enemies?!?
Sinema’s raking in cash from MLMs. They want to kill her party’s labor bill.
With friends like these, . . .
. . . who needs paying jobs,
. . . or a habitable planet?
Well…we have apparently released life on the moon. A ship with thousands of tardigrades aboard crashed a while back. Who knows where that is headed? Probably can't go there.
Meanwhile, this is what happens when you put a GED up against a cum laude Boston University double-major:
She really seems to be digging that phrase. It is supremely childish and monumentally moronic.
Just her style…
It's an "identity marker"; sort of a wink-wink we're all together because we get the in joke. Nothing different than teenagers' slang.
Because of print language conventions of courtesy and the liberal success at making racist language offensive, you aren't supposed to use the F-bomb or the N-word in public. So, the right-wing has gotten pretty good at using code words and dog-whistles. I'll bet they actually have messaging research about what triggers the best response, sort of like the Facebook "hate" button algorithm.
Bannon and Trump didn't actually call for an insurrection, he just told everybody it would be "wild". Get it? "WILD". They could argue that in Court, couldn't they – hopefully they will.
Is it Trump meets Tramp, or Tramp meets Trump. I'm so confused.
The difference is that Ocasio-Cortez’s dress was elegant and fit her. Two-gun Tootsie’s is tacky and she looks like she was melted and poured into it.
Why we lost – https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2021/11/05/youngkin-mcauliffe-politics-virginia-strategy-2021-upset-analysis-519622
Maddow reported that Youngkin’s loss follows a. predictable 30 year pattern of NJ and VA governorship losses, to opposite party than the new President’s.
The difference being that this time we didn’t also lose NJ.
In 2021 elections, Biden out-performs past 30 years of first-year presidents https://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow/watch/in-2021-elections-biden-out-performs-past-30-years-of-first-year-presidents-125338693867 via @msnbc
Republican turnout was up; Dems was down.
Politico is a conservative DC publication. Maybe that’s why they labeled Youngkin’s win “One of the great upsets in modern politics.” Youngkin won 50.7% to 48.5%. As KWtree says, It is in fact typical for the out-party’s candidates to win in NJ and VA.
Politico interviewed the Youngkin strategists, without bothering to interview McAuliffe strategists. Why the sudden difficulty in looking at both sides? What about zooming out to see what the campaigns weren’t telling them?
Elections are based on nationalized branding, these days, not local issues. They are about turnout, not about persuading the voters to convert. The Republicans goosed their base, while the Democrats didn’t. This is an observable fact, so it seems to me that turnout would be the primary question?
In the polling, Party loyalty was extremely high:
How did Biden's 2020 win by 10 points turn into a McAuliffe loss by 2 points?
Turnout, turnout, turnout.
McAuliffe won his 2013 contest by about 2.5%. He seems to have lost this one by 2%.
5% shift over the 8 years seems pretty tame when McAuliffe
* has got a record and Youngkin doesn't
* is tied to B Clinton and 3rd way…Youngkin could pick and choose what and who to get tied to.
* tried to tie Youngkin to Trump, and people saw the smile, the fleece vests, and the actual business connections of people who liked him.
* had a reasonable fund raising effort, but did not fully match Youngkin, who dumped LOTS of money into the race
* did not (as best I can tell) make a visible effort to bring in the 2 Black women legislators and the 1 Black male that he beat in the primary. I didn't see them featured on his rallies, didn't hear that he had hired their campaign staffs, did not see that he made sure everyone got paid.
STOP THE STEAL!
Virginia Gov.-elect Youngkin’s underaged son tried to vote in Tuesday’s election, elections officials said (msn.com)
Proving once again demonstrating that illegal voting is real, even if Republicans need to commit (or attempt to commit) it themselves…..
Polis 52%
Ganahl 35%
Global Strategies Group/ProgressNow Colorado
Link
GSG/ProgressNow Colorado poll: survey conducted between October 19 and October 24, 2021
so, before tax story; before COVID "I don't care" remarks; before COVID "hospitals can transfer people" but I'm not going to have more mandates on vaccines, masks, or public gatherings; before proposing increasing the state’s operating budget by $1 billion, or about 8% & its requests for all that liberal stuff.
I don't see a huge challenge yet — but who knows, there may be a Youngkin-scale rich candidate out there somewhere who could get talked into the race. Republican competition doesn't look too stiff this week.
If
HiediHeidi Ho is the GOP nominee, Polis wins comfortably. It will be like Roy Romer in 1994. He easily beat Bruce Benson while the rest of the nation was going to hell.If the GOP were smart – a real stretch of an assumption – they would recruit a serious candidate who could make it a close race.
Credible candidate (e.g., John Suthers), play up the Polis-Doesn't-Pay-Taxes issue, big infusion of campaign money, and the national tide going against the Dems, and Polis could be in for a real fight.
But in all likelihood, it will be Heidi and she will finish in the low-to-mid 40% range.
Happy Infrastructure Week!!
Ben Kuck has some
thoughtsrandom neurons firing in non-sequential order