October 05, 2010 04:43 AM UTC

Don't Call It A Comeback

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• by: Go Blue

I originally titled this diary, “Premature Elect-ulation” but that’s unfair to the other 85 percent of non-teabagging voters.

Don’t call it a comeback but for the better part of a year, the local and national media has been tripping all over themselves to tell us how the Democrats have lost Congress and President Obama is doomed to be a one-termer. Surprisingly, that doesn’t jive with what more and more Republican strategists are now saying just a month out from the impending d-day.

From The New York Times:

Races typically tighten in the final month as voters on both sides become more engaged, and the political climate is no more favorable for Democrats than it has been all year, with no substantial signs of improvement in the economy or the outlook for unemployment.

Yet even as spending from outside groups is threatening to swamp many Democratic candidates, Republican strategists estimated that only half of the 39 seats they need to win control of the House were definitively in hand:

Many Democratic incumbents remain vulnerable, but their positions have stabilized in the last month as they have begun running negative advertisements to raise questions about their Republican challengers and shift the focus of voters away from contentious national issues like health care, bailouts and President Obama’s performance.

Let’s take a look at those tightening numbers:

As more voters tune into the elections and learn about the Republicans “Pledge” to ship American jobs overseas, hand Social Security over to Wall Street banks, and put insurance companies back in charge of our health care… well you see what’s happening.

That’s a little thing I like to call Mo.