Don't Call It A Comeback

16 Comments

by: Go Blue

I originally titled this diary, “Premature Elect-ulation” but that’s unfair to the other 85 percent of non-teabagging voters.

Don’t call it a comeback but for the better part of a year, the local and national media has been tripping all over themselves to tell us how the Democrats have lost Congress and President Obama is doomed to be a one-termer. Surprisingly, that doesn’t jive with what more and more Republican strategists are now saying just a month out from the impending d-day.

Races typically tighten in the final month as voters on both sides become more engaged, and the political climate is no more favorable for Democrats than it has been all year, with no substantial signs of improvement in the economy or the outlook for unemployment.

Yet even as spending from outside groups is threatening to swamp many Democratic candidates, Republican strategists estimated that only half of the 39 seats they need to win control of the House were definitively in hand:

Many Democratic incumbents remain vulnerable, but their positions have stabilized in the last month as they have begun running negative advertisements to raise questions about their Republican challengers and shift the focus of voters away from contentious national issues like health care, bailouts and President Obama’s performance.

Let’s take a look at those tightening numbers:

As more voters tune into the elections and learn about the Republicans “Pledge” to ship American jobs overseas, hand Social Security over to Wall Street banks, and put insurance companies back in charge of our health care… well you see what’s happening.

That’s a little thing I like to call Mo.

16 thoughts on “Don’t Call It A Comeback”

harrydoby says:

October 5, 2010 at 5:15 am

As voters start to wake up and smell the coffee (or the cowpies, as it were), the polls will definitely start shifting towards the candidates with the sharpest message.

Yeah, anger works pretty well in a negative ad. But the GOP message has been played to the point of diminishing returns. I’m wearing out my TV’s mute button.

But the Dems need to get going too. Tell us what they are for (healthier, safer, prosperous America) as well as drawing a picture of why it’s impossible for the Tea Party ever get us there (cloud with thunderbolt comes to mind).

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bjwilson83 says:

October 5, 2010 at 5:17 am

the faux Democrat resurgence, perfectly timed at the beginning of October, in order to motivate the base. Well, actually it’s a little bit late, but close enough. I’d been waiting.

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1. zorro says:
  
  October 5, 2010 at 5:37 am
  
  Don’t you all know that Nate Silver (Nate Silver!) has already called this race. Don’t you know the Marist Poll has put Buck up by like 30 points? Well, anyway, me and BJ are going to be sitting here waiting for Nov. 3rd and you will all see how faux you all are!!!!
  
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  1. botw says:
    
    October 5, 2010 at 5:46 am
    
    Nate Silver has not “called this race.” Nor is there any poll that has Buck up “by like 30 points.”
    
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    1. MADCO says:
      
      October 5, 2010 at 5:50 am
      
      And Governor Tancredo will be gracious and appoint Maes to something appropriate. Doesn’t CSU need a new president or chancellor or something.
      
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      1. bjwilson83 says:
        
        October 5, 2010 at 7:12 am
        
        I was rooting for Miranda.
        
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2. Go Blue says:
  
  October 5, 2010 at 7:37 am
  
  Gasp! Who’d guessed that you would qualify “quotes” from political strategists and polling data as a liberal plot?! Guess I just forgot to ask Palin’s gut first.
  
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  1. bjwilson83 says:
    
    October 5, 2010 at 7:57 am
    
    But you can call it the vast left wing conspiracy if it makes you feel better.
    
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betsy14 says:

October 5, 2010 at 6:03 am

A comparison of Flexprotex Joint Pain Remedy with Flexcin Joint Pain Remedy

Flexprotex D

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ardy39 says:

October 5, 2010 at 7:12 am

and thus includes all those caveats and qualifications that are appropriate for such.

But … if you filter out the Rasmussen polls, then the R’s are at 45.4% and the D’s are at 44.3%.

Since this is likely within the MoE, the only reasonable conclusion is that R’s are cleaning up. No hope for anybody else. Ever.

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H-man says:

October 5, 2010 at 2:52 pm

I wont call it a comeback either, because there is no comeback.

There is an interesting article in the Guradian about the money spent, and that will be spent, on this election in the coming weeks. The gist is that the Dems will be significantly outspent in the next 30 days. http://www.guardian.co.uk/worl…

The days of Soros and the unions buying elections ended with Citizens United.

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1. denverco says:
  
  October 5, 2010 at 4:16 pm
  
  The gop has always been in the back pocket of big business and always outspent the Dems. All citizens united did was make coporations equal to individuals – an idiotic conclusion on the part of a right wing activist judges on the supreme court.
  
  Won’t it be funny though , when the gop doesn’t get control of the house or senate. Especially after shouting off their big mouths for a year.
  
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2. ClubTwitty says:
  
  October 5, 2010 at 4:23 pm
  
  Way to spit out the truth about where your loyalties lie, there H-Man.
  
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  1. H-man says:
    
    October 5, 2010 at 6:17 pm
    
    It has nothing to do with his votes over the last 20 months, his ineffective campaign, his lack of personality. It is all them foreign corporations that are to blame.
    
    When Perlmutter loses, is it going to be race that did him in?
    
    I get it, Markey is going to lose because she is a woman?
    
    Just accept it. The Dems have done a terrible job in a difficult time dealing with the economy.
    
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    1. MADCO says:
      
      October 5, 2010 at 9:36 pm
      
      The D’s have done a terrible job in a difficult time defining what they have done well for the economy.
      
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      1. Voyageur says:
        
        October 6, 2010 at 12:53 am
        
        If you’re not rich, screw you!
        
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