U.S. Senate
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(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Somebody
80%
20%
Governor
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(D) Michael Bennet
(D) Phil Weiser
60%↑
50%↓
Att. General
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(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Jena Griswold
60%↑
40%↑
Sec. of State
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(D) A. Gonzalez
(D) J. Danielson
(R) Sheri Davis
50%
40%
30%
State Treasurer
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(D) Brianna Titone
(D) Jeff Bridges
(R) Kevin Grantham
40%
40%
30%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Somebody
80%
40%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Somebody
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Manny Rutinel
(D) Yadira Caraveo
45%↓
40%↑
30%
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
January 25, 2020 07:00 AM UTC
26 Comments
omg!
you suck
I've been sinus infecting for several days – every cough muscle in my body is in pain
And the laughing hurts.
I always knew comedy is hard and requires sacrifice, but until today it always meant the other thing.
Just saw that @ManInTheHoody was suspended from Twitter. But #Trump can Tweet whatever he wants apparently . . .
Oops (not that it will matter when you’ve been threatened with having ‘your head put on a pike).
Rudy Pal Lev Parnas Releases Audio of Trump Calling for Ukraine Ambassador’s Firing
(Lev is taking the Year of the Rat seriously)
***
Cue the corporatists and their bots.
– all you want is free stuff
free stuff isn't free
– argle bargle bros Hillary
Bernie won Colorado and then Hilary got nominated and so did she
– but he's old
So what.
– no one likes him
People like that
Good luck maintaining the sneering arrogance when bernie gets 3 pct in South Carolina.
You clearly don’t know me
Would that that were true! (Sigh)
You is wasted on the wrong people, uh?
Your lawn is safe from me.
You can hang out on my lawn if you want to, madcow. Just don't step on the land mines kiwibird plants there from time to time.
A poll in Ioway has an old, white man leading ?? . . .
. . . Gobsmacked I am.
It’s sure a crazy, crazy, unpredictable world we’re living in.
It probably means he won't win
Whew! I was worried it might be a final sign of the apocalypse . . .
could be both
Huhmm . . .
. . . I always knew I was gonna’ have to repent someday . . .
. . . but I was kinda’ hoping it wouldn’t have to be today. Damn — er, I mean — darn!!
It's Iowa…anything can happen.
From a 538 article on the eve of the last Iowa caucuses: "That data tells us that polling in general elections is pretty accurate, at least in the final few weeks before the election. The data also tells us that polling in primaries and caucuses is not very accurate. Historically, the average error of late polls in presidential general elections is about 3.5 percentage points.1 By contrast, the average polling error associated with presidential primaries is more like 8 percentage points, more than twice as high."
Sure enough, polls were wrong in 2016. Don't be surprised if we're surprised again this time around.
10 of the last 12 cycles, the Iowa Democratic caucus winner has gone on to be the Democratic nominee. Nothing is certain in most politics — but a 84% accuracy rate is better than most pundits, polls, or those who reply on sites like this.
And generally, national polls were pretty close to the national vote for President. Unfortunately, there were few state by state polls consistently taken public.
I am sure your information is correct.
I will offer a word of caution and refer, again, to Asimovs’ Mule. The alien mutant currently occupying Mar-a-lago and visiting the Whitest House is completely unpredictable. The voters in Iowa seem a very fluid body and things may change with the next news cycle. Iowa may come down to the most popular second choice because it is a caucus.
Predictions? I’m not making any.
…or as #CadetBoneSpurs calls them: headaches
Veterans of Foreign Wars was compelled to weigh in:
Veterans group demands apology from Trump over comments on brain injuries
Big Warren endorsement in Iowa from the Des Moines Register.
Endorsement: Elizabeth Warren will push an unequal America in the right direction
Ars Technica gets political. This is honestly the second part of the headline:
“Electoral instability is driven by low voter turn out and high polarization (duh).”
https://arstechnica.com/science/2020/01/low-turnout-and-polarization-are-a-deadly-combo-for-electoral-stability/
Worth reading, but the article concludes with, “In short, no matter what your political opinion, prepare to be overstressed and depressed by election results for the foreseeable future.” So a might bit like getting a cancer diagnosis when you suspected something was deeply wrong and it was not getting better.
Some interesting notes about how Tom Perez is setting up the Democratic convention committees (thread).
Another book I need to pick up at the Tattered Cover:
A Very Stable Genius By Philip Rucker and Carol Leonnig
So, yes, Senate Republicans are right, Trump was definitely worried about Ukrainian corruption — there just wasn't enough of it to satisfy his lust for power.