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August 04, 2010 07:07 PM UTC

Rocky Mountain Right predicts primary turnout

  • 2 Comments
  • by: Fountainhead

Rocky Mountain Right, Colorado’s conservative grassroots, has a good projection of Republican and Democratic turnout for next week’s primary based on previous years:

333,701 votes were cast in the 2004 Republican Senate primary. In August of 2004, there were 1,074,366 total registered Republicans. Secretary of State records also indicate that in August of 2004, approximately 73% of all registered voters in the state were also active voters. This means that out of around 784,000 active Republican voters in 2004 – 42% cast their ballots.

Predictions after the break:

Using this model, it is likely that approximately 377,000 Republican votes will be cast in the 2010 primary. If Democrats experience comparable turnout, which early returns indicate they will, there will be approximately 360,000 votes cast in the Democratic primary.

These numbers seem higher than the projections Colorado Pols gave a few days ago, something I thought was worth noting.

For those of you who spend your time in endless “who is going to lose to Ken Buck or Jane Norton” threads about Ritter appointed Senator Bennet and former Speaker Romanoff, I would encourage you to check out the conversations on our side of the aisle sometime.  The formatting is similar to here, with front paged stories and other diaries on the right-hand column.  I think there are a lot of viewpoints not represented on this site, which seems overwhelmingly liberal (Laughing Boy, Barron X, Libertad, Ellie, and a few others aside).

http://rockymountainright.com/

Comments

2 thoughts on “Rocky Mountain Right predicts primary turnout

  1. but, wasn’t 2004 a Presidental year?  Turnout in all elections is generally higher in years when the top race is the Top Race.

    I’m with Pols.  42% turnout sounds a bit high to me.  I’d give the over/under at about 280K for the GOP and 260K for the Democrats.

    1. Come On!  First post of the thread?

      It takes these Rs a long time to work up the nerve to toss up a crappy diary on Pols.

      Just how the hell do you think this thread will ever get to the really good Republican stuff like black helicopters, high heels, bicycles, and birth certificates if you go detroying their arguments with facts from the get go?

      We have to humor them . . . coax them along.

      Please F-head, do continue.  How interesting?  Is that how mathematics works?

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