November 06, 2019 03:10 PM UTC

Iowa Could Be Bananas

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• by: Colorado Pols

Quinnipiac University released a new poll this afternoon on the Democratic race for President in Iowa. It’s gonna be a wild couple of months:

…the Democratic race for president in Iowa is wide open, as the top 4 candidates are in a close contest, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University poll released today. Senator Elizabeth Warren receives 20 percent support among Iowa likely Democratic caucus- goers, with South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg getting 19 percent, Sen. Bernie Sanders at 17 percent, and former Vice President Joe Biden at 15 percent.

Sen. Amy Klobuchar gets 5 percent, Sen. Kamala Harris is at 4 percent, and businessman Tom Steyer, Rep. Tulsi Gabbard, and businessman Andrew Yang are each at 3 percent. No other candidate tops 1 percent…

…The race remains very fluid as about half, 52 percent, of those who express a first choice say they might change their mind before the caucus, while 46 percent say their mind is made up. Sanders voters appear to be the most committed as 61 percent of Sanders voters say their mind is made up, compared to 48 percent of Biden voters, 44 percent of Warren voters, and 40 percent of Buttigieg voters.

In a race without a clear frontrunner, there has been a lot of discussion about Iowa’s “first-in-the-nation” status taking on even greater importance in 2020. Four Democrats — Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, Pete Buttigieg, and Joe Biden — are essentially tied here when you consider the margin of error.

Colorado won’t vote until March 1, but because we’re a largely mail-ballot state, campaigns could start putting significant resources here not long after Iowa has spoken.