February 08, 2010 08:57 AM UTC

My Edits to the Governor & Senate Lines

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• by: BoulderRepublican

Governor Line

(R) Scott McInnis* (4-1)

Has high name ID, vast political network, and while not exactly a rousing candidate or a “Washington outsider,” he’s the only legitimate candidate for this post on the GOP side.  In a year that bodes well for the GOP, he may be the most vulnerable to defeat (among the close races).

(D) John Hickenlooper* (5-1)

He has the ability to distance himself from Bill Ritter and all of the Washington Democrats, and is well liked and perceived as a down-to-earth guy.  His name ID is high, and is especially popular among Democrats.  This still looks to be a bad year for Democrats up and down the ballot, so it may all depend on how well he can turn out voters in the Denver area.

(R) Dan Maes* (25-1)

Lack of name ID, political network, and inability to fund raise make him incapable of winning a primary, even with a good chunk of support from the so-called “Tea Party” contingent.

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Senate Line

(R) Jane Norton* (3-1)

Despite the fact that her family is well connected in Washington and she doesn’t have full support from the aforementioned “Tea Party” contingent, her name ID, fund raising ability, not-so-subtle support from the NRSC, and overall lack of controversial political actions/statements gives her a powerful position in both the primary and general election in a year that will be good for the GOP, especially when challenging incumbent Democrats in swing states.

(D) Michael Bennet* (12-1)

Bennet has proved that he will fold to the Obama-Reid-Pelosi machine on every vote of consequence, and fatefully declared he would fall on his sword in the name of health care reform.  He will win his primary easily, but has a HUGE hill to climb to overcome objections by conservatives and independents alike to the current agenda in Washington.  If Martha Coakley can’t win in 2010, Bennet’s got another thing comin’.

(R) Ken Buck* (30-1)

Fundraising is not what you want to see when facing a very tough primary challenger and a sitting incumbent, each with significant $$ advantages.  I would personally like to see him enter the Gubernatorial primary, but that would be an equally difficult situation.  His best and only real chance at being elected this year is in CD-4, where it appears to be Cory Gardner’s to lose…for now.

(R) Tom Wiens* (30-1)

Fundraising numbers are suspect, which makes him appear very unlikely to topple Norton in the primary.  But maybe, just maybe he has enough in his own bank account to keep this up?  I doubt it.

(D) Andrew Romanoff (50-1)

I’m of the impression that this is a race between he and Romanoff for the chance to be soundly defeated by the eventual GOP nominee.  But with the entire national and state Democratic party machines working on behalf of his opponent, who happens to have a HUGE $$ advantage, he cannot and will not win the primary.

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Feel free to give me your opinion, but I’m more than happy to assess the quality of my predictions on November 7th.

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