While it seems to be quite popular this week to oppose Obama’s new Afghanistan Strategy, whether you are a conservative complaining about the exit strategy or a liberal complaining about the entrance strategy, I think there is a strong argument as to why he made a brilliant decision.
As much as liberals are comparing it to Vietnam, I think it is important to compare Afghanistan to, well, itself – Afghanistan. Only I’m referring to the 1980’s version. Let us not forget some of the root causes of the Taliban’s initial rise to power, and consequently, Al-Qaeda’s rise (interesting article quoting SOS Clinton’s explanation). The story of “Charlie Wilson’s War” describes nicely the way we completely screwed up Afghanistan. We covertly armed the Afghan people with modern weapons to combat the occupying Russian military. Over time, the strategy worked forcing the Russians out of the country and setting the course for the fall of the USSR. Thinking our mission was accomplished we packed up and left town, leaving Afghanistan in rubble. Our refusal to assist in the humanitarian nightmare that ensued created a bitterness towards the U.S. in the eyes of many Afghans. This led to the rise of extremist groups preaching hatred of the West, i.e. Taliban, Al-Qaeda.
I hear so many calling for the withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan. But let me ask you folks a question, what would be the long-term consequences of abandoning that country, AGAIN? How would we be perceived by the Islamic world? Chances are we would see a similar reaction. An even deeper hatred of the U.S. and the West.
This leads to my second point which addresses the concerns coming from Republicans. Complaints that Obama should not have announced a withdrawal date are simply naive. Sure, it’s partially motivated by politics as an attempt to calm the critics on the left. However, there is much more to it than that. By announcing this exit plan to the world, Obama is telling the Afghan people they have a decision to make. If you want to fight the Taliban and its oppressive ideas, then you have 18 months to get serious about it. Otherwise, you have chosen to remain living in the past and we are leaving. It is a message that is intended less for the Afghan government and more for the people. If they do not have the will then we are wasting our time.
We have given them warning. We are covering our bases. There will be no abandoning this time. It is in the hands of the Afghan people.
If you ask me, this is a brilliant plan. It is easy to look at it from a short-term perspective and criticize, but President Obama doesn’t have that luxury.
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are you drinking the grape or the cherry ?
Obama decided to postpone making a decision. His strategy is “split the difference.”
We’ve been there 8 years.
How is staying 9 1/2 years so different from staying 8 years ?
How is leaving after 8 years abandoning them, but leaving after 9 1/2 years not abandoning them ?
How is spending $7 Billion on development over 8 years abandoning them, but spending $10 Billion over 9 1/2 years not abandoning them ?
“… what would be the long-term consequences of abandoning that country, AGAIN ? How would we be perceived by the Islamic world ?”
Do you really believe that the Afghan people want us to stay there, prolonging a brutal military occupation, rather than leaving ?
Sure, the war profiteers and collaborators and the government officials collecting all those bribes want us to stay, but the other 99% want us out yesterday.
Do you really believe that Muslims worldwide want us to continue our war against their religion ? That’s kinda what they think this war is about.
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And I’d like to disagree with the way you characterize the “conservative” position on the war.
I think the conservative position is to not go to war unless the security of the US can be enhanced by fighting. That’s no longer the case in either Iraq or Afghanistan.
It seems to this conservative that starting wars for fun, or so one can call himself a “war president,” and grab more power, or aid one’s reelection, is a “progressive” attitude, not a conservative one. I say that because posters here and elsewhere advocate for these wars of choice as a way to change other societies to be more like us.
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first off, I’m not sure what the best decision is. I respect your arguments of both of you.
But to speak to the question of 8 years in how does 1½ help – in our Civil War the first 2+ years were a total disaster for the North. You could ask the same question then.
But the North learned how to fight, put the right people in charge, and then won the war. Things can change dramatically well in to a war.
its true the first two years went poorly for the North. That’s because the best military leaders went with the South, and it took Lincoln two years to find competent generals (Grant, Sherman, etc.)
A prolonged war often boils down to a war of attrition – who has the resources to outlast the opponent. The South had enough resources for a couple years, but its ability to wage war diminished as its resources ran out (the South had nowhere near the industrial capacity of the North to keep supplying an effective military force). By the end of the war, the Southern armies lacked weapons, ammunition, clothing, and even food, as well as soldiers since the North had a far bigger population to supply an army.
That being said, I don’t see a lot of similarities between our civil war and the Afghan war.
As a conservative you state the US should not go to war unless our vital interests and national security is enhanced.
As a liberal, I would agree 100%, and that is why I oppose the escalation in Afghanistan, why I opposed the invasion of Iraq (as did Pat Buchannan), and why I opposed our involvement in Vietnam.
None of these wars were, or are, vital to the security of the United States, and in fact are contrary to our national security.
The threat is Pakistani nuclear weapons falling to AL Queda or the Taliban.