June 07, 2018 11:39 AM UTC

Magellan Poll: Polis Leads Democratic Field by 13 Points

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• by: Colorado Pols

The Colorado-based, Republican-leaning polling firm Magellan Strategies is out with numbers in the Democratic race for Governor — the first public numbers for the Democratic Primary that we’ve seen in months.

According to Magellan, Jared Polis has a solid lead over his three Democratic opponents almost across-the-board, with an overall advantage of 13 points:

Our latest survey of likely Democratic primary voters in Colorado finds Congressman Jared Polis opening up a 13-point lead over his closest opponent, former State Treasurer Cary Kennedy, 31% to 18% respectively. Former State Senator Mike Johnston has 9% support, Lt. Governor Donna Lynne has 3% support and 39% of voters are undecided. Since our March 20^th survey, there has been no change in the order of candidate preference, and very little change in support levels for Mike Johnston, Donna Lynne and the percentage of undecided voters.

What has changed since our last survey is a 5-point decline in support for Cary Kennedy and a 4-point increase in support for Jared Polis.

Here are the breakdowns from Magellan:

As with any poll conducted close to an election, you should take these numbers with the requisite grain(s) of salt. However, these margins are fairly consistent with what we’ve heard through the political grapevine.

It’s also worth noting that this poll was conducted at the end of May, which was before candidate advertisements started to flood the airwaves in larger numbers. Polis has since maintained a sizable advantage in the number of ads on TV, so if these numbers are accurate, the overall margins are probably holding fairly steady today.