CO-04 (Special Election)
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(R) Greg Lopez
(R) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Joe Biden*
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%↓
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
90%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
90%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
(R) Ron Hanks
40%
30%
20%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(R) Deborah Flora
(R) J. Sonnenberg
30%↑
15%↑
10%↓
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Dave Williams
(R) Jeff Crank
50%↓
50%↑
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
90%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) Brittany Pettersen
85%↑
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
(R) Janak Joshi
60%↑
35%↓
30%↑
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
October 09, 2009 07:34 PM UTC
49 Comments
Team Bennet appears to be making some shaky transitions … getting a HRC strategist to replace longtime Lane 2.0 … as it attempts to cock block Romanoff even more.
Maybe equally interesting is the DPs article on Bennet-DPS electioneering.
Bennet’s campaign, DPS principal admit election mistakes http://www.denverpost.com/ci_1…
Stay classy, Libertad. That kind of stuff plays so well with your socially conservative base.
Even the conservatives here won’t listen to him, and they’ll listen to Rush Limbaugh.
as I find him so completely unintelligible. I see words but have no idea how they are connected with one another and what the combinations could possibly mean.
Which goes a long way to explain his intellectual eructations.
Does anybody here actually think Hillary Clinton ran a good presidential campaign? Why would anyone publicly claim to have been her political director? Sounds more like an insult to me.
http://voices.washingtonpost.c…
Considering that Norton raised 2.5 times as much as Romanoff, in a shorter time frame, and that the big guns are behind Sen. Bennet, how does Romanoff expect to raise enough money to compete?
he needs the CEA or SEIU to back him and I doubt that will occur
Wasn’t Ken Lane the strongest connection to Colorado politics inside the Bennet campaign? Dumping locals might not be such a good idea when Bennet is already seen as an outsider with outsider funding, even within his own state.
Bennet’s funding is about 60/40 in state and out.
But the hard truth is to raise the $15mm + that is required for this kind of campaign, campaigns have to go out of state. There is not enough big donor money here to do it all in Colorado.
Udall had the DSCC which Bennet will not unless AR drops out relatively soon. (The Aug primary is too close to the general for the DSCC to commit useful resources here)
According to the FEC, the DSCC has spent about $22,900 on “party coordinated expenditures.” Does that not count as “useful resources?” Granted, a bit less than $23K is not close to $15 million, but it does indicate the DSCC will help Bennet. I would think the DSCC would support Bennet during the primary and general in such a way that the support could be shifted if necessary (which strikes me as less and less likely).
But I’d predict that the postage or phone bill or whatever that 22k was for was spent before AR announced.
The point isn’t that they’ll help him – or supprt the eventual nominee – they will.
It’s that they have the oppty to focus on Missouri and Virginia and places where D candidates are running unopposed. They’re not going to do anything in Pennsylvania until there’s a nominee either.
And what they can do from now for 12 months is vastly different than what they can do from the first week of August for 12 weeks.
the expenditures being prior to AR officially announcing–the latest one listed was from Aug. 20, 2009.
I was thinking that given a primary, the DSCC could support Colorado electing a Democratic Senator (whoever the nominee is) while weakening the GOP candidate. Of course, given Sen. Bennet’s fundraising ability, the DSCC might well be best served by investing in other races.
Of course they support a D holding the jr CO seat.
But the kinds of support they bring to bear best aren’t really in play until there’s a nominee.
See- for the eventual nominee sometimes primaries are a good thing, sometimes they are nothing, and some times they are a bad thing.
moving our primaries up to May or June.
Ken Lane worked for Salazar for years, in DC and in Colorado. He now works for Salazar at Interior.
Jeff Lane was Salazars Chief of Staff for a while then took over for Bennet. He is not from Colorado.
I was thinking of the wrong Lane 🙂
or bowling, I suppose.
Brilliant on so many levels.
I don’t know anything about him.
If you’re a Bennet kind-of-voter, that is.
Isn’t there a mandatory separation between regular Senate staff and campaign staff? At least, officially? Or, did I make that up?
The Senate staff can’t do campaign work while on the clock for their federal job.
Of course there is theory and there is practice.
Markey’s House spokesman doubles as her campaign spokesman after hours. There’s nothing unusual or wrong about that.
There are job functions they do that involve scheduling, logistics, and talking to the press that can’t be separated. A reporter can ask a campaign-related question on Senate time and a spokesperson doesn’t have to say “call me back after 5:00 p.m. EST.”
And since the Senate does most of its floor business in the evenings, defining what constitutes “on the clock” would be impossible.
So the line is drawn between staffers, not between hours. Certain specifically designated people can engage in incidental campaign activity at any time (as long as they don’t do certain things like raising money on government property) and the rest of the staff has much stricter restrictions on the time and place they can do campaign work, and they can never raise money under any circumstances. Those who are designated by the Senator have to file paperwork with the ethics office indicating their designation and their understanding of and compliance with the rules.
He’s smart.
I’ll elaborate f2f (1o1) or after the primary.
It’s on my profile page.
I think stating Sen. Bennet realizes it will be a tough primary, and a tougher general election due to the primary more accuraely addresses the issue.
What was Cecil’s role in the disaster that was the Hillary Clinton Colorado effort?
Cecil is definitely the darling of the DSCC executive staff. Will he be more interested in keeping in the good graces of his masters at the DSCC rather than doing what it takes to win in Colorado?
DSCC model for campaigns is very expensive. Will make the $500K per quarter being spent under RBI (Rapid Burn Inc) look like the good old days. Get ready for $500K – $600K per month ($4.5M to $5.4M by August 1, 2010) before voter contact costs.
Given that Bennet had $1.6M in primary funds available at the end of the 2nd Q you can assume that Bennet will add a net of $800K to his primary account in the 3rd Q for $2.4M in primary funds as of October 1, 2009. Leaves him $2.1M to $3M to raise just to cover his swelling non-voter contact costs.
If Romanoff can keep his cost low the Romanoff financial picture begins to look very competitive.
Also on the Romanoff front, when will the Denver Post start to get reaction from Romanoff in its stories on the campaign. Did the Post miss the announcement?
Romanoff may have missed the announcement . . .
😉
More seriously, he has been quiet.
From Hotline on Cecil:
Bennet is Colorado’s Faux Senator. Romanoff may not have $600k a week to burn on expensive Hillary Clinton Hatchet men but he has a strong following with the rank and file.
came in LAST among the candidates in fundraising . . . even compared to someone like Norton, who entered even later than he did.
Romanoff should withdraw and concentrate on helping Bennet. That’d be far better career-wise, and serve Colorado better.
if the HRC/Obama primary cycle is any lesson, that kind of encouragement just riles the D R&F to dig in and go all PUMA.
Better, perhaps – shower some love on AR.
In fact, I do like him quite a bit. Something about honey and vinegar and attracting flies.
I keep watching for new website Is Andrew Romanoff a Virgin or something similar. I personally don;t care if he’s celibate or a straight or gay fornicator. But I gotta believe some Colorado voters will.
I, too, like Andrew. But I do not believe he should be running. I’ve commented elsewhere on this site that I find it dishonest to tell person after person to vote with the party and you’ll be taken care of; and then to completely renounce that position when his own interest runs counter to it. That, to me, smacks of a politician only interested in his own career, and who has made it this far because he’s been able to convince others that their interests were best served by helping him.
Put it this way–if Andrew had been appointed, and Bennet were to mount a primary challenge, I’d be supporting Andrew. But that’s not what happened.
As an aside, where did your paragraph about whether he’s a virgin, etc., come from?
and it’s become my shorthand (no pun intended) for AR would have a tougher general. Much tougher.
and concentrate on helping Romanoff.
Right–a sitting US Senator, who is leading in fundraising, in the one poll that’s out, and has better (or worse, depending on which AR staffer you ask) name recognition, and who has a superior record of accomplishment that spans the public and private sectors, should give in to the political temper tantrum of someone who suddenly finds himself without a spotlight.
That’s an interesting theory. I hope you didn’t hurt yourself coming up with it.
😉
Right–a sitting US Senator, who is leading in fundraising, in the one poll that’s out, and has better (or worse, depending on which AR staffer you ask) name recognition, and who has a superior record of accomplishment that spans the public and private sectors, should give in to the political temper tantrum of someone who suddenly finds himself without a spotlight.
That’s an interesting theory. I hope you didn’t hurt yourself coming up with it.
😉
just HATE it when somebody suggests your candidate might actually have to work for something he wants instead of getting everything handed to him on a silver platter. I love to yank your chain!
Yeah. That’s the ticket.
should run, right?
Even if it means risking the seat to an R?
Gotta embarrass the governor who doesn’t have that strong R&F support.
AR will do great at caucus – where the R&F tend to show up.
At least he better.
But even if he does, Bennet will be on the ballot. And even if AR is the nominee- the R&F are not enough to win. So AR better get to work wooing the middle – the swing votes of U’s, R’s and D’s who don’t vote party but vote candidate and moment. Or something.
But I guess if AR wins the nominee and loses the general- it will be ok to the R&F because that will show the governor and any other rich guy who tries to come in to CO with his expensive suits and consultants and try to do anything.
Ever.
Multiple examples abound.