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November 08, 2017 05:22 AM UTC

Wednesday Open Thread

  • 28 Comments
  • by: Colorado Pols

“There was never a night or a problem that could defeat sunrise or hope.”

–Bernard Williams

Comments

28 thoughts on “Wednesday Open Thread

      1. Becky is probably angling to be selected as Mitt Romney's nephew's lieutenant governor.

        I wonder if Mike will be endorsing Cynthia. Maybe that was one of the terms of the divorce.

    1. The dominoes are going to start toppling now.

      Will Buck reconsider and run for AG? If so, does Perry Buck – in finest tradition of Eva Perón – offer herself as her husband´s successor? Or does the Watermelon Hunter give it a go? Or Patrick Neville?

      Does Cole Wist run for AG as he has said he might? Will Broccoli change races and go for AG? Will there be a 3-way GOP primary for AG?

  1. Wouldn't it be nice to get Buck out in open for a statewide seat.  No cover of deep red districts to hide behind.  The downside is he could win but the possibility of a humiliating loss would be worth the risk.

  2. Changing topics a bit, but still on politics…… Anyone see the obituary in the Denver Post in the past week for the last of the elder Smaldones? When I moved here several decades ago, the occasional big news was on alleged corruption in Adams County and the alleged Mafia ties of the Smaldone family. Times do change, except in Adams County.

    1. I did see it, CHB. They were still talked about when I was a kid. North Denver was their turf, and Gaetano's was their headquarters. The restaurant still trades on that history with old framed newspaper clippings decorating the walls.

  3. Richmond times dispatch says dems picked up 3 open seats and beat 13 republicans to win  50-50 tie in the house of delegates.  Two recounts of close r victories could tip it to dems.  One r seat is just a 12 vote edge and there are reportedly some provisional ballots uncounted.  In my experience, provisionals tend to go democratic.

    Gawd, I'm tired of winning!

  4. Just sent $100 to the Doug Jones campaign….

    I may send another $100 next week. I encourage everyone else on here to send whatever you are able to send.

    Remember, the more money that goes to the Jones campaign, the more time the chair of the Republican Senatorial Campaign Committee must spend dialing for dollars for Roy Moore.

     

  5. What's up with the VA pollsters?  The average RCP of several polls showed Northampton up by 3.3 points and losing momentum.  He won by about 9 points.  Professional pollsters these days are no better than weathermen, or even worse.

    1. The RCP average was Northam +3.3%.  The mean MoE was 3.4%.  So, a 3.3% advantage within 6.8% means he could win by 10.1% and the polls still be "right."

        1. Yeah, I don't disagree.  I think it's about pollsters (and the media) presenting their data in ways that make races appear different than the data actually support.  Saying the race is 52-48 with a 3% margin of error is more satisfying and fits better into a soundbite than saying that we're 95% sure that candidate A will win by anywhere up to 10 points or lose by as much as 2 points.  Of course, that brevity makes a 10 point win or 2 point loss look like the polls completely blew it.

    2. Turnout models of the polls make a huge difference. Compared to the last similar election (2013), turnout was up 18% (from 2.2 mil to 2.6 mil). Composition of that turnout changed, too — basically mirroring last year's Presidential election rather than the "usual" off-year election with Democratic voters staying home.

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