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October 03, 2010 04:31 PM UTC

The Bloodbath approaches

  • 10 Comments
  • by: H-man

Three polls have been released this week on the Senate Race.  Rasmussen reported on Wednesday Buck has a 51%-43% lead.  http://www.rasmussenreports.co…

The ColoradoPols reality deniers blamed Rasmussen, the messenger.  Surely it was not raining outside.

On Friday, a Marist poll reported Buck has a 50%-42% lead. http://www.mcclatchydc.com/201…

The ColoradoPolster’s spin?  There is some pent up enthusiasm for Michael Bennet that is not being picked up in the polls.  http://www.coloradopols.com/di…

This morning there is a SurveyUSA poll commissioned by the Denver Post and 9 News.  http://www.denverpost.com/elec… It shows Buck leading 48% to 43%.  

It also shows the Republican leading for Treasurer 38% to 27%.

It also shows the Republican leading for AG 43% to 25%.

It also shows the Republican leading for Secretary of State 28% to 25%.

Only, Hick is ahead among the statewide Dem candidates.

Let me proffer the obvious explanation, before the Polster editors weigh in.  The Dems are getting their ass kicked all over the place and it will only get worse.

On the Senate side, the Greeley Tribune has an interesting article.  http://www.greeleytribune.com/… and here are some numbers to consider.  

Buck leads independents 53% to 34%.  

Only 1% remain undecided.

Local political polling expert Floyd Ciruli is interviewed in the Greeley Tribune:

Bennet’s campaign and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee have used numerous ads to pain Buck as outside the political mainstream.

“I don’t think they have worked,” Ciruli said. “Bennet should be ahead, or they should be dead even if those ads were going to work.”

Ciruli said part of the reason Buck has withstood the attacks comes from the fact that this is a good year for Republican candidates in general, but it also has to do with Buck’s strengths as a campaigner.

“He’s just a good candidate,” Ciruli sad. “He’s a conservative, but yet he doesn’t come off as extreme from a personal point of view. He comes off as personable as a kind of easy-going western independent. I think that’s holding him in good stead.”

Another number to ponder.  The Dems seem to be encouraged by the lead they hold as to women voters which Bennet leads 49% to 44%.  Perhaps they might take some of their Buck abortion issue money and direct it to issues men care about.  Buck leads with men 52% to 37%, a 15% gap.

Comments

10 thoughts on “The Bloodbath approaches

  1. and switch to pretending to be a conservative again, in a desperate attempt to salvage the independents. This, of course, will completely destroy his support on the left. It’s going to be fun to watch.

  2. the bugler might want to start warming up. The only source clinging to a Bennet win is Coloradopols “The Big Line.”  There has not been a single poll in the last 3 weeks showing Bennet in the lead, yet Coloradopols continues to rely on a rise in Buck unfavorables as the true bellweather. This might be a convincing handhold if it were not for Bennet’s unfavorables surpassing Buck’s.

    1. They are just trying to prop up the true believers so maybe a Dem or two can make it through.  The national republicans have come through nicely for Buck and he is competitive on the spending front, which is all he needed to be in order to win.

      1. Y’all need to get over yourselves and just admit it.  Bennet has lost.  Nate Silver, who is like really popular in Colorado, called this one, like 2 months ago.  Being back in the polls by FOUR POINTS with only 30 days to go IS A FREAKIN CATASTROPHY. Porgressives and Libruhls: no matter how hard you try, no amount of phone calls, door knocking or GOTV is going to save your sorry butts!!  

    1. The public doesn’t see Buck representing those things.  He’s seen as representing fiscal conservatism.

      You can argue whether that’s true or not, but the public sees Bennet as being part of the spending culture and they are rejecting that general view.

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