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Prediction Time!

by: Colorado Pols

Tue Aug 10, 2010 at 16:23:35 PM MDT


Make your predictions below on who you think will win the big statewide Primary races. Get them in before 7:00 tonight to make sure you get full bragging rights for a correct answer, and we'll think up some sort of prize for the person who makes the most correct predictions.

PREDICTIONS

  • U.S. Senate (Democrats)
  • U.S. Senate (Republicans)
  • Governor (Republicans)
  • Treasurer (Republicans)

    • Tiebraker: The total number of votes cast in the Republican Primary for Treasurer.

    Make sure to put your predictions in a numerical, percentages format. For example: Walker Stapleton over J.J. Ament, 54-46
    Colorado Pols :: Prediction Time!
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    Prediction Time! | 65 comments
    predictions
    US senate dems: Bennett over Romanoff 53-47.
    US senate repubs:  Buck over Norton 50:50!
    CO Gov repubs: Maes over McInnis 52:48.
    Treasurer: Stapleton over Ament 56:44.
    tiebreaker
    woopsy, here is my tiebreaker:  305,005
    [ Parent ]
    Betting the farm...
    M. Bennet over A. Romanoff (53-47)
    J. Norton over K. Buck (51-49)
    S. McInnis over D. Maes (52-48)
    W.R. Stapleton over J.J. Ament (55-45)

    Tiebreaker:  289,851

    Okay then
    Bennet
    Buck
    Maes
    Stapleton over Ament 56-44
    Okay I'm dumb
    with all the info:

    Bennet over Romanoff 53-47
    Buck over Norton 54-46
    Maes over McInnis 52-48
    Stapleton over Ament 56-44

    Total R Treasurer: 310,000

    [ Parent ]
    I'm a Cubs fan.
    We don't do predictions. We've learned our lesson the hard way, long ago.  

    "I wouldn't characterize caloric intake as "professional development." c rork
    I safely predict misery for Cubs fans.
    :-)
    [ Parent ]
    I'm sad to say
    [ Parent ]
    predictions
    Romanoff over Bennet 51-49
    With a big controversy over provisional ballots dragging this thing out way too long.
    Romanoff ends up winning anyway.
    Buck over Norton 55-45
    Maes over McInnis 52-48

    And Cary Kennedy is going to win the General so who cares.

    [ Parent ]
    estimate
    Bennet over Romanoff - 52.6% - 47.4%
    Buck over Norton - 54% - 46%
    McInnis over Maes - 51% - 49%
    Ament over Stapleton - 52% - 48%

    Total number of R votes for Treasurer: 435,532

    Predictions
    US Senate Dems: Bennett 52-48
    US Senate Rep: Buck 56-44
    CO Gov rep: Maes 58-42
    Treasurer Stapleton 55-45
    Relief 100% Regret 0%
    There's a reason television seasons only include 13 episodes: the writers can't come up with new material. Same with political seasons: blog hosts can't come up with new subjects.

    Beyond that, the subject has become boring. No new comments or pithy observations; just the same old same old. Shill! Liar! Ass! Liar! Bullshit! Liar! Sandinista! (ok, scratch the last one.)

    Why bother predicting anything a mere 180 (or is it 240) minutes before we'll know for a fact? Better to use the time to stock up on shill swill (do all Romanoffskis drink vodka?) or cheap Midwestern colored water sold as "beer" whose one-time advertising symbol is probably extinct (or am I thinking of the beer that made Milwaukee famous?) for the Bennetistas. Whatever. It's been a boring contest between two fundamentally boring candidates, neither of whom seems poised to accomplish very much, at least not in the next two years, and neither one of whom has offered any cool new ideas that I can remember.

    Might as well settle back and watch Rome burn, watch the society fly apart, and yes, use the Senate as our soporific. Good night, Irene. (And yes, on this topic, that's a promise. Zzzzzzzz.)

    It looks like someone has sore loser syndrome already
    or is just grumpy that we won't have Romanoff to kick around tomorrow.

    If you don't want to talk about politics on a primary day with record turnout then why in the hell are you reading political junkie taunts when your Gardenia beds need weeding?

    [ Parent ]
    Hey GG - think JO was looking for something 'fresh', not finding it
    Thus JO's zzzzzzzzz.

    "The graveyards of the world are filled with indispensable men."
    - Charles deGaulle

    "It's hard to balance on a woman's head."  - sxp151

    [ Parent ]
    Second that emotion
    Plenty of redundant drivel and nasty ad hominem attacks here - thankfully punctuated by the rare sign of an intelligent, educated, skeptical mind.

    Bennet by 5, 52.5:47.5
    Buck by 6: 53:47
    McInnis by 1: 50.5:49.5

    Not a betting man, so don't care about the rest.



    "The graveyards of the world are filled with indispensable men."
    - Charles deGaulle

    "It's hard to balance on a woman's head."  - sxp151

    [ Parent ]
    A bit dramtic eh?

    [ Parent ]
    Establishment ftw
    Bennet d. Romanoff 52-48
    Norton d. Buck 51-49
    McInnis d. Maes 53-47
    Ament d. Stapleton 53-47

    Tiebreaker: 370,000

    "Oh Lord, are there really people starving still?"

    Just blowing smoke here, mostly.
    US Senate, Democrats: Bennet over Romanoff, 51-49

    US Senate, Republicans: Buck over Norton, 53-47

    Governor, Republicans: Maes over McInnis, 50-50

    Treasurer, Republicans: Stapleton over Ament, 54-46

    Tiebreaker: 322,109

    We'll miss you, Gabby.

    I'm a believer...
    Romanoff over Bennet 50.5 - 49.5
    Maes over McInnis 51 - 49
    Buck over Norton 56 - 44
    Treasurer - who cares (Kennedy will cream the winner)

    Where all the cool kids will be on Saturday - Code War!
    Wasn't that an old Monkees song?
    It is embarrassing that I was dancing around the living room during their episodes but not as embarrassing as your predictions.  Just kidding.  I'll be eating a lot of crow tomorrow if your guy pulls it out.
    [ Parent ]
    Wish you well tonight.
    You have always been very reasoned and respectable. I have not always followed your good example.  Emotions get the better some times, obviously. :)
    [ Parent ]
    Hey, you've been great also
    With the general we now get to fight on the same team!

    Where all the cool kids will be on Saturday - Code War!
    [ Parent ]
    What will be very interesting
    Is take the average at 7:00pm - it is likely to be more accurate than any individual estimate.

    Where all the cool kids will be on Saturday - Code War!
    Prediction time
    Bennet 53 Romanoff 47
    Norton 54 Buck 46
    McInnis 58 Maes 42 (with a not insignificant undervote)
    Ament 55 Stapleton 45

    (R) Treasurer ballots cast 350,000

    Trend of Predictions
    Looks like Bennet supporters are online and not picking up ballots for their favorite.

    In a democracy, the majority of the citizens is capable of exercising the most cruel oppressions upon the minority. Edmund Burke

    10/26/11 Colorado Ex-Pat; S/V Sisu Catalina 30
    Of the 13 republicans who can bring themselves to vote for gov
    7 will  pick McPlagiarist over 6 votes for Tin Foil Danny
    Maes.
      Bennet 53 Romo 47
    High Heels 50.5 Bullshit Boots 49.5  BJ Wilson is disqualified for voting 45 times for Buck and banished to Square State.
    Ament 52 Stapleton Airort 48
      tiebreaker 375,000
    Of the 13 republicans who can bring themselves to vote for gov
    7 will  pick McPlagiarist over 6 votes for Tin Foil Danny
    Maes.
      Bennet 53 Romo 47
    High Heels 50.5 Bullshit Boots 49.5  BJ Wilson is disqualified for voting 45 times for Buck and banished to Square State.
    Ament 52 Stapleton Airort 48
      tiebreaker 375,000
    Of the 13 republicans who can bring themselves to vote for gov
    7 will  pick McPlagiarist over 6 votes for Tin Foil Danny
    Maes.
      Bennet 53 Romo 47
    High Heels 50.5 Bullshit Boots 49.5  BJ Wilson is disqualified for voting 45 times for Buck and banished to Square State.
    Ament 52 Stapleton Airort 48
      tiebreaker 375,000
    very buggy. sorry for triple post, laptop froze.

    [ Parent ]
    Posting it three times
    doesn't give you three entries in the sweepstakes, V.
    [ Parent ]
    Love the tag. That sounds like Sharon. :)

    [ Parent ]
    my percentage on mcPlaigiarist/Tin Foil Danny Maes
    mcplagiarist 50.4 Tin Foil Danny 49.6
    [ Parent ]
    I picked my other races
    in a diary, but Sen. Dem: Bennet ~2%

    "There are a lot of reasons not to elect me." Mitt Romney in a moment of clarity

    "I'm Mitt Romney and yes, Wolf, that's also my first name," Willard Mitt Romney demonstrating 'policy flexibility.'  

    OK
    50.8 - 49.2

    "There are a lot of reasons not to elect me." Mitt Romney in a moment of clarity

    "I'm Mitt Romney and yes, Wolf, that's also my first name," Willard Mitt Romney demonstrating 'policy flexibility.'  

    [ Parent ]
    I have a problem w/ instructions too
    U.S. Senate (Democrats) Bennet 50.8 - 49.2
    # U.S. Senate (Republicans) Buck 52-48
    # Governor (Republicans) McInnis 51-49
    # Treasurer (Republicans) Ament 53-47

    346,734

    "There are a lot of reasons not to elect me." Mitt Romney in a moment of clarity

    "I'm Mitt Romney and yes, Wolf, that's also my first name," Willard Mitt Romney demonstrating 'policy flexibility.'  

    [ Parent ]
    Well...
    Romanoff 52-48
    Norton 51-49
    McInnis 52-48
    Ament 53-47

    Total R Treasurer: 316,000

    a guess
    Romanoff over Bennett, 51% to 49%
    Buck over Norton, 52% to 48%
    Maes over McInnis, 55% to 45%

    It's the year of the insurgents.

    Here Goes
    Romanoff 52-48
    Buck 54-46
    Maes 50.1-49.9
    Ament 55-45

    Tiebreaker R Treasurer vote 320,000

    this is what will happen
    Romanoff over Bennet: 51-49
    Buck over Norton: 55-45
    McMoron over DisasterMan: 52-48
    Stapleton over Ament: 59-41

    Give more, give everything, give blood.
    Unconventional Candidates Win
    Bennet over Romo @ 52-47
    Buck over Norton @ 52-47
    Maes over McInnis @ 51-49
    Stapleton over Ament @ 53-46
    Tiebreaker: 335k Republican Voters in the Treasurer's Race

    [ Parent ]
    Damn: I was right on all the wins,
    but off on some of those percentages.  
    [ Parent ]
    Nailbiters
    US senate dems: Bennett over Romanoff 52-48.
    US senate repubs:  Norton over Buck 50:50!
    CO Gov repubs: Maes over McInnis 51:49.
    Treasurer: Stapleton over Ament 55:45.

    "Why not do the right thing for the American people, even though it's not exactly what we want." - Speaker Boehner
    Tiebreaker
    327,500 voters

    "Why not do the right thing for the American people, even though it's not exactly what we want." - Speaker Boehner
    [ Parent ]
    No predictions
    from the Dead Guvs?  
    Guv's Predictions
    Are called "The Big Line"

    Before it changes, How'd they do?

    Today, you're either going to get better or you're going to get worse, but you're never going to be the same.  Which one will it be?  --Joseph V. Paterno

    [ Parent ]
    bold predictions
    Bennett: 53-47
    Buck: 51-49
    McInnis: 53-47 But they are really voting for, "I hope we can get someone capable like Marceaux, when McInnis quits"
    Stapleton: 52-48 But really does anyone know who either of these guys are. Other than an old airport.

    R Treasurer 258,542

    I hereby predict
    Romanoff over Bennet 51 - 49
    Norton over Buck 54-46
    McInnis over Maes 52-48
    Stapleton over Ament 58-42
    Number of vote in the (R)Tre race: 298,156

    Support people, not parties. Support ideas, not ideologies.
    Collecting My Bets
    Bennet by 6
    Buck by 3
    McInnis by 2  (85,000 undervote)
    Stapleton by 6  Total votes: 371,000

    ITLDUSO  
    Honk hello when you see my license plate!
    Clarification
    e.g., when I say Bennet by 6, I mean Bennet 53-47.

    (I don't like to follow instructions.)

    ITLDUSO  
    Honk hello when you see my license plate!

    [ Parent ]
    Also,
    Stryker's last check from the Romanoff campaign bounces.

    ITLDUSO  
    Honk hello when you see my license plate!
    like Soros' check to me did!
    I should have known there was no 'South bank of the Plate!"
    [ Parent ]
    Nice buddy!

    [ Parent ]
    to caroman and then to both.

    [ Parent ]
    Ok
    U.S. Senate (Democrats)  Bennet 52.8  Romamanoff 47.2
    U.S. Senate (Republicans)  Norton 50.8  Buck 49.2
    Governor (Republicans)     McInnis 52   Maes 48
    Treasurer (Republicans)   Ament 52.3   Stapleton 47.7

    tie break 348,500

    My Guess
    U.S. Senate (D)--Bennet over Romanoff, 52-48
    U.S. Senate (R)--Norton over Buck, 51-49
    Governor (R)--McInnis over Maes, 57-43
    Treasurer (R)--Stapleton over Ament, 55-45

    treasurer voters:  368,023

    Please let it end
    Bennet (by 4)
    Norton (by 2)
    Maes (by 2)
    Stapleton (by 7)

    355,500

    My Predictions:
    Bennet defeats Romanoff 52-48
    Norton defeats Buck 53-47
    McInnis defeats Maes 51-49
    Stapleton defeats Ament 55-45

    Tiebreaker: 315,000

    Money is on Bennet

    Bennet over Romanoff 53-47
    Buck over Norton 51-49
    McInnis over Maes 52-48
    Stapleton over Ament 52-48

    Total R Treasurer: 345,000

    Take this to the bank
    M. Bennet over A. Romanoff (50-50)
    K. Buck over J. Norton (54-46)
    D. Maes over McInnis (56-44)
    W.R. Stapleton over J.J. Ament (55-45)

    Tiebreaker:  320,544

    I don't do predictions


    Today, you're either going to get better or you're going to get worse, but you're never going to be the same.  Which one will it be?  --Joseph V. Paterno
    That said
    I figured the over/under for the Dem Senate race was 4, and I took the under in another thread.  Boy was I wrong.

    Today, you're either going to get better or you're going to get worse, but you're never going to be the same.  Which one will it be?  --Joseph V. Paterno
    [ Parent ]
    OK
    Romanoff over Bennet 53-47
    Buck over Norton   51-49
    Maes over McInnis  54-46
    Who cares Kennedy will beat either

    341,560

    Here we go...
    Romanoff over Bennet, 52-48
    Buck over Norton, 51-49
    McInnis over Maes, 50-50
    Ament over Stapleton, 53-47

    Tiebreaker- 318,000

    OK, if we have to predict
    Bennet over Romanoff 54-46
    Buck sneaks up on Norton 52-48
    Maes edges McInnis but there's a recount
    Ament and Stapleton in a dead heat

    Tiebreaker - 360,000

    Prediction Time! | 65 comments
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