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September 29, 2016 08:16 AM UTC

PPP in Colorado: Clinton 46%, Trump 40%, Johnson 6%, Stein 2%

  •  
  • by: Colorado Pols
Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton.
Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton.

Public Policy Polling finally giving Colorado politics junkies what they’ve been dying to see since Monday night’s presidential debate–post-debate poll numbers.

And the numbers say Donald Trump lost more than the debate Monday night:

New Public Policy Polling surveys in Colorado, Florida, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Virginia, conducted on behalf of VoteVets Action Fund, find Hillary Clinton leading in each state. Voters in all five states see Clinton as having been the runaway winner of Monday night’s debate, and they question Donald Trump’s temperament and preparedness for office.

Clinton has solid leads in Colorado, Pennsylvania, and Virginia- states seen as important to her path to 270 electoral votes- and modest leads in Florida and North Carolina, where wins would be indicative of a dominant overall victory in the Electoral College. If these results hold up, Donald Trump has no path to victory…

PPP’s full memo shows Hillary Clinton up by six points in Colorado, in a four-way contest including the Libertarian and Green candidates. Clinton is up seven points a head-to-head matchup. Excluding the minor parties puts Clinton over the finish line in Colorado, defeating Trump 51%-44%. It’s true that we don’t have a previous PPP Clinton/Trump poll to plot a trajectory from, but their polling has certainly proven accurate enough in previous elections to take seriously. And it’s consistent with other polls coming out showing a large swing to Clinton following Monday night’s debate.

So with that, the Trump “September Surge” is over. The overall trend toward a Democratic victory in November, disrupted in September by an upswing in indicated support for Trump as Clinton battled pneumonia and the greatest anti-Clinton smear campaign since the 1990s, may simply be back on track.

Assuming so, you’ll want to recalculate down the ballot accordingly.

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