U.S. Senate
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(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Somebody
80%
20%
Governor
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(D) Michael Bennet
(D) Phil Weiser
60%↑
50%↓
Att. General
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(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Jena Griswold
(D) David Seligman
40%
40%
30%
Sec. of State
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(D) A. Gonzalez
(D) J. Danielson
(R) Sheri Davis
50%
40%
30%
State Treasurer
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(D) Brianna Titone
(D) Jeff Bridges
(R) Kevin Grantham
40%
40%
30%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Somebody
80%
40%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Trisha Calvarese
(D) Eileen Laubacher
90%
20%
20%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Somebody
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Manny Rutinel
(D) Shannon Bird
45%↓
40%
30%
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
January 23, 2009 03:36 AM UTC
26 Comments
I’ll admit to being one of only a handful who don’t find Marc with a “C” utterly nutty. I mean, it’s not like I’d vote for the guy…but outside of Tancredo, he’d make the most interesting challenger to Ritter, IMO.
I already know that Hillman isn’t interested in CD-4. Is Lundberg actually going to run?
With his new position in the Senate. Had he stayed in the House and been termed, as would have happened, I think the answer would’ve been a resounding yes.
he plans to run for A.G., not the 4th.
as well as Hillman said he won’t run for CD-4.
So Brown, Lucero Gardner and maybe Brophy.
Jared Polis won the first time around with over 62% of the vote and he is only 3-1! Bernie B. lost his HD race, now is running statewide and his line is 2-1. Bernie is a good guy and will be a good SOS, but why would his odds be 2-1 when Jared is in a SAFE, SAFE dems district and he is 3-1?Come on. This does not pass the straight face test, in fact it’s borderline rediculous. Also: Ritter should be at 4-1,he is percieved as a moderate and that plays well statewide ) Michael Bennet should be more like 5-1.2010 will be good year for d’s. Don-it’s a good time to come out with a press conference stating your intent to run for AG. You don’t want to wait too long.
Always discount his odds by an order of magnitude. Whoever does this lets their dislike of Jared color the odds.
why Mike Coffman is also at 3:1. Purely personal dislike.
As you so astutely noted, both Polis and Coffman are going to win, so who cares what their odds are at?
What about?
CD-1 (socialist)
CD-5 (reactionary)
other candidates worth listing with better than 100:1 odds?
Duh.
I’d put him at 99:1, but no worse.
LB is tied up for a while, he can’t run and be front pager. The demands are too heavy to allow a run for the next few years.
Because neither gets a line unless it looks like they are going to have a real race. We’re not listing someone at 500-1 odds just for the hell of it.
Coffman should probably be at 2-1 also considering that district is safe for repub’s. I’m guessing that ColoradoPols has both Coffman and Polis at 3-1 because they are first term, but, when creating a big line one should give more weight to whether or not a seat is safe for that party. Becausevoter registration in this state is even between the R’s and d’s, a 2-1 line is off for a statewide race. Coffman and Polis both have huge advatages in their districts because of the voter registration disparity between their parties and the opposing party. There is no way a repub wins in CD2 and no way a dem can win in CD6 in 2010. That’s just the way it is.
HD-51 State Rep. Don Marostica is rumored to have the desire to be governor. But does he have the desire to run? (Two different things.)
If Gessler can get his name out there it could be a tight race. He is well known throughout the community that pays attention to the SoS’s office.
The lawyer that took the DeLay-inspired redistricting fiasco to the state supreme court. Do we really want somebody THAT partisan as SOS?
And I remember when he ran for Boulder city council. He out-spent everyone by a mile – yard signs everywhere – and still lost. He couldn’t make it into the top 5 or 6 vote totals.
You mention in the Gov line Tancredo is “…more interested in Senate.” What’s your take on his odds on the senate line?
Because more Republicans are looking at Senate than Governor now. Tancredo could win a primary but would be crippled for the general election because he’d have to become Crazy Tom to win. But if he didn’t have a primary and could try to sound relatively reasonable? His name ID would at least be significantly better than Bennet.
Tancredo Senate Odds:
With Primary: 15-1
Without Primary: 8-1
But what are the chances Republicans (any of them) step aside to give Tancredo a clear shot at the Senate nom? There’s a sizable and vocal faction that believes he’s a disaster for the GOP in Colorado and won’t stand for his appearance at the top of the ticket.
He won’t run for Congress. He wants something else (probably senate) or governor, but most likely senate.
I thought that was Roger D. — oh, you meant unfounded gossip. Gotcha.