5 thoughts on “Presidential race prospects”

1. Before McDrama un-unsuspends his campaign?

   That’s a suspicious sort of poll jump, which probably won’t last the next month. Especially since Republicans have finally decided, at long last, that they may start attacking Obama.

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   1. nearly 1/4 of voters say their vote is up for grabs.  That’s absolutely huge.  It doesn’t look good for McCain at the moment, but I was making fun of him a year ago for having to carry his own luggage through the airport.

      I can only hope his cockroach-like abilities come through again.

      I am having kind of a lefty moment, though.  I’ll probably diary about it tomorrow.

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      1. with actual voters?

         I can see where you might say that given that pollster says 125 electoral votes are up for grabs, but the data on “undecideds” is much lower – less than 5% as I recall.

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         1. Typical polling numbers have been things like 47-43 or so, which would mean 10% are undecided. Which is still very large.  

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2. Bush was leading in nearly every poll all through September and October.

   http://www.pollingreport2.com/…

   http://www.realclearpolitics.c…

   But the moral of the story is that Kerry still got 49% of the vote, and it was one of the closest elections ever.

   Obama may be doing well in polls now, but October is a long month.

   GOTV officially starts on Tuesday.

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