July 22, 2015 06:24 PM UTC

Big Line needs Trump adjustment

• 3 Comments
• by: Half Glass Full

The Big Line for President is due for an adjustment. Mike Huckabee and Rand Paul are going nowhere fast. And Donald Trump is currently leading in the polls.

Now that doesn’t necessarily mean that The Donald has anywhere near a double-digit chance of winning the GOP nomination let alone the general election. However, he needs to be factored in.

I’d put the odds at:

70 Hilary, 20 Bush (aka Jeb!), 15 Rubio, 5 Trump, 5 Kasich, 5 Perry, 5 Sanders. The rest don’t merit mention. Including Huckabee. (I understand the Big Line odds don’t add up to 100.)

There’s also a strong possibility that Trump might run as a third party candidate if he doesn’t get the GOP nomination – since he’s pretty much already come out saying that any of the major candidates are “losers,” “idiots,” etc. – I can’t keep track of which pejorative he’s used for which fellow Republican. If he does run, the line would probably be 80 Hilary, 20 GOP Candidate, 10 Trump, in my humble opinion.