President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Kamala Harris
(R) Donald Trump
80%↑
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) V. Archuleta
98%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Marshall Dawson
95%
5%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd
(D) Adam Frisch
52%↑
48%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(D) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank
(D) River Gassen
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) John Fabbricatore
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen
(R) Sergei Matveyuk
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
60%
40%
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
September 03, 2008 01:13 AM UTC
25 Comments
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is a significant milestone. It’s still a long way to election day but Palin may prove to be a millstone, not a milestone.
Rasmussen’s tracking poll today polled 51% support for Obama when pushing leaners.
…it sounds vaguely titilating.
And take your mind with you! 🙂
When polling, you can “push” the poll respondents differently about their preferences. “Pushing leaners” means pushing those people who answer “undecided” to take a position leaning toward one candidate or the other, with “truly undecided” still remaining a choice.
It’s just trying to get undecideds to fall out whereever they want to. A true push poll isn’t a poll at all, it is stuff like “If I were to tell you that Candidate Glotz is a tax-increasing, child-raping, Bible-burning, cheese-eating, Succubus of Satan, would it make you more likely or less likely to support him?”
You sure you’re not a GOP pollster?
top shelf Bob. A + !
I’d give you some sort of Obama divot toll, but I’m all out.
For Palin, it’s too much, too soon. Eight years from now, she might be the one to lead the Repubs out of the wilderness-but not this time.
If Obama is still hovering around 50% a week from now, THEN I’ll think it significant.
No one cares, because everyone is to busy talking about McCain’s VP selection (Brilliant choice guys)! If McCain had picked Pawlenty, this would be all the rage, but nope.
Hitting 50% at this point is not something to be diminished, it will take a few more polls to establish whether this is a settling in of the electorate or whether it might be a temporary phenomonon. Once Obama hits 50% and shows consistency over some period of time and across reputable polls, then we can conclude that election is eluding McCain.
I think the selection of Palin was a stroke of genius if your objective was to settle down the archconservatives in the party and fire them up to campaign, contribute and vote. If, however, your objective was to attract disgruntled Democrats and to attract rational unaffiliateds who may not be totally convinced about Obama’s depth, McCain might have been better served to look a little longer and cast his net a little wider.
On the other hand, perhaps Palin was the only one who answered the phone and said Yes.
I’m with Mr. Science there – if he’s still got this kind of lead next week, McCain will need to maverick up a new campaign strategy.
On a more immediate analysis, it’s a bit late for a post-Convention bounce, but I think some of it is delayed bounce nonetheless. The announcement of Palin as VP obviously didn’t do what McCain had hoped, and hurricanes look to bracket the GOP convention with bad news coverage. My guess is McCain won’t have the bounce he wants and he’ll come out the loser of the Convention battle.
with all the talk about why can’t he break 50, it’s a positive. That’s a favorite talking point of many Rs when confronted with McCain’s failure to take a lead. That and their claiming that Obama should have a ten or 12 point lead so he’s really behind.
There will be some Pub bounce during and after the convention and then the fun begins.
I think the proven machine of Obama is going to slaughter the Eff Up of the Day disaster otherwise known as the McCain campaign.
….decided to spend big early to tighten the race. So far, this was good strategy.
or was forced to under campaign finance law?
…if the latter, are you saying that most of the McCain money was designated for the primary?
McCain is limited to spending 80-odd million after the convention.
has to be spent before the nomination. The rest is federal matching funds, though the RNC can continue raising big bucks to run get-out-the-vote and supportive ads.
The only numbers that matters on election day.
I can’t wait for McCain’s acceptance speech to hear his plan and agenda for America. Can anyone honestly tell me they know why McCain is running? Every ad, press release, talking head and surrogate talks about him being a Maverick, a POW and how he thinks Obama is a celebrity/traitor. But McCain hasn’t layed out in clear definitive terms what he’s actually for.
If McCain thinks, as his manager said, that issues don’t matter in this campaign, he’s as loony as his VP.
(leaving out the bits you’ve already mentioned): terrorists! drill, drill, drill! withdraw from Iraq is surrender! tax cuts! anything the puppet masters say today!
I hate polls when they show my candidate down, and I love polls when they show my candidate up. But the only polls that matter are the ones that close on election night.