U.S. Senate See Full Big Line

(D) J. Hickenlooper*

(D) Julie Gonzales

(R) Mark Baisley

80%

20%↓

10%

(D) Phil Weiser

(D) Michael Bennet

(R) Victor Marx
50%↑

50%↓

20%
Att. General See Full Big Line

(D) Jena Griswold

(D) M. Dougherty

(D) Hetal Doshi

40%↓

30%

30%

Sec. of State See Full Big Line
(D) J. Danielson

(D) A. Gonzalez

(R) James Wiley
50%↓

40%↑

10%
State Treasurer See Full Big Line

(D) Jeff Bridges

(R) Kevin Grantham

80%↑

20%↓

CO-01 (Denver) See Full Big Line

(D) Diana DeGette*

(D) Milat Kiros

(D) Wanda James

70%↓

20%↑

10%↓

CO-02 (Boulder-ish) See Full Big Line

(D) Joe Neguse*

(R) Somebody

90%

2%

CO-03 (West & Southern CO) See Full Big Line

(R) Jeff Hurd*

(D) Alex Kelloff

(D) Dwayne Romero

(R) Ron Hanks

50%↓

30%↓

30%↑

20%

CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado) See Full Big Line

(R) Lauren Boebert*

(D) E. Laubacher

80%

20%

CO-05 (Colorado Springs) See Full Big Line

(R) Jeff Crank*

(D) Jessica Killin

53%↓

48%↑

CO-06 (Aurora) See Full Big Line

(D) Jason Crow*

(R) Mel Tewahade

90%

2%

CO-07 (Jefferson County) See Full Big Line

(D) B. Pettersen*

(R) Somebody

90%

2%

CO-08 (Northern Colo.) See Full Big Line

(R) Gabe Evans*

(D) Shannon Bird

(D) Manny Rutinel

45%↓

30%

30%

State Senate Majority See Full Big Line

DEMOCRATS

REPUBLICANS

80%

20%

State House Majority See Full Big Line

DEMOCRATS

REPUBLICANS

95%

5%

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April 30, 2026 11:34 AM UTC

New Poll Shows Two-Candidate Race in CO-08 Primary

This is a silly graphic from Bird’s campaign

The Democratic Primary in CO-08 was always likely to be a close race. New poll results bear that out.

Three Democrats (Manny Rutinel, Shannon Bird, and Evan Munsing) are running for the right to take on  freshman Rep. Gabe Evans (R-Ft. Lupton). Evans is widely considered to be the most vulnerable Republican incumbent in the country and will have a tough time holding off whichever Democrat emerges from the June Primary — particularly given the 50/50 voter registration makeup of CO-08.

According to a poll memo released today by Bird’s campaign, the June 30th Primary is a two-candidate race between Bird and Rutinel.

Bird’s campaign is framing these results as though she is in the lead, but with a margin of error of 4.9% and 45% of surveyed voters still undecided, what this poll really means is that the race is a pure tossup. Munsing is not really in the picture as a contender, but his ultimate performance on June 30 could make a significant difference depending on whether he takes more votes from Bird or Rutinel.

The poll also shows that Bird and Rutinel have not been able to separate themselves in the eyes of voters over the last couple of months. This is not a huge surprise given that both leading candidates have similar name ID and paid advertising hasn’t yet taken over airwaves and internet tubes in the district.

In short, the Democratic Primary in CO-08 is pretty much exactly what we thought it was.

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