We’ll let Square State tell the tale:
Here’s the poll summary from a Paccione Press Release I just received:
Despite the findings of several recent public polls, there’s a reason that national Republicans—who notably face an ever growing and quite costly national playing field—have yet to pull their funding from the expensive Denver airwaves in Colorado’s 4th Congressional District. The reason is this—Angie Paccione and Marilyn Musgrave remain locked in a statistical dead heat, 45 to 42 percent, Paccione’s edge, with Eidsness capturing 6 percent of the vote*—stunning really when you consider that Musgrave and national Republicans have easily outspent Paccione and her allies by as much as eight-to-one at this point in the contest.
Is this possible? Sure. Is it likely? Who knows, really? You could make a decent argument either way.
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That independant voters were breaking for AP something like 58% compared to 25% for MM. Granted there is still the huge Republican majority for AP to get over, but that is still pretty solid. I’m looking for the link
Heard from numerous households I’ve talked to during precinct walks:
“Musgrave has let us down”
Overheard from Musgrave staffer at debate speaking to one of the Muskrat Faithful:
“I don’t like the way this election is going”
Says it all to me – they’re soakin their Sax Fifth Avenue silk pants.
Angie’s kept it clean while the Muskrat has shoveled on the mud, all the while claiming to be a Christian.
Angie’s made it clear she’s for religion out of government, while the Muskrat has made veiled remarks about ‘Cultural War’ and ‘Greater Force’.
I think most Coloradoans can figure out which side they fall and who wants to live in a bankrupt theocracy – cause the way the Republicans are spending they’re going to make Angie’s past financial woes look tiny by comparison.
Multi-Trillion-dollar deficits anyone?
Pollster.com seems to think the poll is legit enough to post on their site.
http://www.pollster….
Musgrave’s ads have been over the top and haven’t given people a single reason to vote for her. Maybe people are just tired of all the negative ads.
…the poll was done by democrat-leaning Andrew Meyers and has to be taken with a grain of salt. I really hope Angie wins but unless we have an enormous Democratic wave AND Eidsness siphons off enough votes from that Musgrave witch, she won’t be able to pull it off. It’s not that Angie hasn’t ran a spirited campaign, its just that Musgrave appealed to the lowest common denominator as always and the voters in CD-04 are again stupid enough to vote against gays and their own economic well-being
I’d like to see a newer non-partisian poll that included Eidness. I think he will draw more Republican votes then Democrat. MM must know something, they sure are spending a lot of $$ for a campaign that declares itself aheaad by 8 to 10 points.
its just that Musgrave appealed to the lowest common denominator as always and the voters in CD-04 are again stupid enough to vote against gays and their own economic well-being
Please do not do that. First you put these folks down without there being guilty of anything. They voted for MM before because they thought that she would do a good job. Many would like to believe that she is still doing that. Once Angie gets in, these same ppl will back her as well.
CD-4 consists of Ft. Collins, Loveland, Greeley, as well as places like Byers. I lived for 12 years in F.C. and while many are registered as republicans, most vote for the person, not the ticket. The same is true of many of the farming towns. I know a number of folks in Byers and they will be voting for AP. MM has been earning a reputation as a do nothing person.
The poll oversampled Republicans
I for one know of two Republicans that will vote for Angie who previously voted for MM. My parents. They are sick and tired of Musgrave’s negative attack ads and a do-nothing record.
Paccione’s “internal polling” have always showed her neck and neck w/ Musgrave. However if you look at the public polls (two survey USA, Mason Dixon, Constituents Dynamic, Denver Post) released right around the same times it always shows Musgrave with a lead. Either Angie has a problem with her pollster, is fudging her #’s, or these other polls are all messed up. Take your pick.
Not that Musgrave’s own internals are all that great. Pretty sad to have a two-term incumbent in a 41-R district be forced to release her numbers showing only 43%.
That’s why they keep spending money on this race like they spend it in DC under her “watchful eye”. Multi-trillion dollar national debt, multi-billion dollar deficits, multi-million dollar races — what’s a few zero’s between friends?
Somebody (and you know who you are) isn’t running like she’s 10 points ahead.
I did not know she has put out her internal polls, what were the #’s???
Regardless of how accurate this poll is, Musgrave’s own polls must not have her up by that much, because she and the national party are spending a ton of money on this race.
If I were Musgrave I’d be concerned. Hammering Angie incessantly reduced Angie’s numbers, but those people went to undecided not to Marylyn. MM has always been stuck around 46%. You do the math — if she can’t get above that level and EE draws 6-8% it would be a very close election.
I still think its Marylyn’s race to lose but must be alot closer than 10% for the RNC to still be pouring BIG $$ into it.
You have a 527 in there right now too throwing $ at both Musgrave and Eidsness, RNC is just matching at this point.
Marilyn Musgrave is clearly in the lead because of her broad appeal to Americans who admire real conservatives. We need people of dignity like Marilyn Musgrave in Congress. The anti-American pro-Taliban left is just can’t wait to launch their assault on our Constitution and our Traditional Values. That is why Marilyn Musgrave is so widely admired in Colorado and America today! And why she will easily sail to victory against the forces of darkness gathering in our very communities!!!
Yeah Rizzo! Hit it man, hit it!
Makes want to just go out and walk precincts through the drifting snow.
Wow Rizzo you are just gulping that Koolaid down aren’t you. The only forces of darkness I’ve seen in this race Musgrave’s ads. Does Marilyn know how to talk for herself? Does she stand for anything positive? If she does she certainly hasn’t showed it.
I am sure that Paccione’s poll shows her in the black. The same way her checkbook did before she realized she was bankrupt.
One of the Eidsness campaign volunteers was called by one of the polls. They only gave the two major party candidates as choices … when he pointed out that he supported Eidsness, the pollster said, “Oh you are right, I see him on the list…”
As of Sunday October 28th Eric has drawn the endorsements of the Fort Collins Coloradoan, the Greeley Tribune and the Fort Morgan Times — showing that he has support not only in populated western counties but also the more rural east.
Conventional wisdom was that Eric would take more votes from Marilyn since he was a fiscal conservative and former Reagan Whitehouse appointee. However, now the 527s that support Paccione have been adding him to their attack ads.
About 30% of CD-4 is registered Independent or non-affiliated. In a close three way race, the winner only needs 34%. Eric is certainly no fringe candidate, and this one may yet go his way. Stay tuned!