Bad News for Republicans on Issue Polling

Again and again.

Republican candidates for public office in Colorado have been saying for many months that the 2022 election is going to be all about gas prices, inflation, and crime. At least, they hope that’s what voters will be most worried about, because they absolutely do NOT want to have to talk about issues such as abortion rights and the rightward shift of the Supreme Court that could upend same-sex marriage, interracial marriage, and access to contraception.

But as Fox News reports, Republicans may need to meet voters where they actually are — and not where they wish they were. And that’s a problem for the GOP.

Democrats are leading in the tight midterm race with a 4% edge over the GOP on the generic congressional ballot, as voters rank abortion as a leading issue over inflation.

A new Suffolk University/USA Today poll shook up the midterms, after 44% of voters said that if the election were held today they would vote for a Democrat candidate, while 40% said they would vote for a Republican. About 16% still remain undecided.

Republicans have taken a hit over the past month, after a June poll from the university found Democrats and Republicans were evenly split on the generic congressional ballot with both parties receiving 40% of the vote.

While the economy remains most important to voters in the upcoming election — with 20% saying it is the most important issue — the poll revealed that many believe abortion trumps inflation as the most important issue this election cycle. [Pols emphasis] Nearly 16% of voters said abortion is the leading issue, with about 11% saying inflation, despite it hitting a 40-year high of 9.1% in June.

Voter polls almost always find that the top issue in any given period of time is “the economy,” regardless of the current state of said economy. This is understandable on a very basic level; “the economy” is often the first answer that pops into someone’s head when they are put on the spot by a canvasser.

The most important finding in this poll is how voters respond to questions about more specific issues. It is remarkable that 1 in 5 voters believe abortion is the most important issue this election cycle — even compared to inflation, which is a subject that is nearly impossible to avoid at the moment.

Here in Colorado, poll after poll and election after election have proven that this is a solidly pro-choice state. Voters support abortion rights no matter how Republicans try to frame the question. There is plenty of real-world evidence for this; multiple abortion-related ballot measures in Colorado have failed miserably over the last 10-15 years.

If these polling numbers cited by Fox News hold through the fall, it means big trouble for Republicans starting at the top of the ticket. Both GOP gubernatorial hopeful Hiedi Heidi Ganahl and Senate candidate Joe O’Dea express positions on abortion rights that do not match up with the majority of Colorado voters.

16 Community Comments, Facebook Comments

  1. Conserv. Head Banger says:

    Gas prices already are beginning to come down here, at least in the metro area.

    It appears the citizenry may have yet another opportunity to vote an anti-abortion ballot initiative down. I believe it's Initiative 56 and signature gathering is now underway.

    • Lauren Boebert is a Worthless POS says:

      "It appears the citizenry may have yet another opportunity to vote an anti-abortion ballot initiative down. I believe it's Initiative 56 and signature gathering is now underway."

      Oh goody! Energizing the base … that is, the 75% of the Colorado electorate that is pro-choice.

    • JohnInDenver says:

      Energy Information Administration has weekly average prices for regular gasoline in Colorado and Denver over the past 5 weeks


      Colorado  4.870….4.868….4.860….4.823….4.737….4.539

      Denver ….4.839….4.828….4.829….4.784….4.674….4.461

      And their guesses for the coming quarters in the Rocky Mountains?   Gasoline Regular Grade Retail Price Incl Taxes, PADD 4 (Rocky Mountain), Cents per gallon





      • davebarnes says:

        Normally, the spread between RBOB and the pump is 80¢.

        Today, RBOB is $3.09 so someone [refining companies] is making obscene profits with retail being RBOB $1.30 USD.

        P.S. I think polls are worthless these days. Everyone lies. 16% “undecided” my ass.

        • JohnInDenver says:

          in April 2017, Haven Insights surveyed 575 American citizens, asking about their US Representative. The result:

          In general, Americans aren’t likely to know much about their Congressional district’s Representative. Most blatantly, while just over half (56%) of Americans know their Representative’s party affiliation, only one-third (37%) know their Representative’s name (figure 1).

          So 16% saying they don't know if they would vote for a Republican or Democrat is VERY believable to me.

      • spaceman2021 says:

        Drove past my local mega 7/11 gas station Thursday and gas was $4.41.  This morning it was $4.21.  The pumps they are a changin'

        • MichaelBowman says:

          I paid $3.76 in a small town in central Nebraska and in Yankton, SD last week. 

          • harrydoby says:

            Same with me — last week in Atlanta I paid $3.85 a gallon.  I was pleasantly shocked to only need 11 gallons after driving about 425 miles around town and on the highways on a family reunion tour.  At the rental counter they gave me a brand new (800 mile) Toyota Venza hybrid SUV with all wheel drive that incredibly averaged 39.5 mpg.  A loaded model goes for about $40k — might have to look at that one next year when my wife will need a new vehicle!

            • spaceman2021 says:

              Nice.  I have a Honda insight and routinely get around 45 mpg.  Looking to go fully electric soon. 

              • harrydoby says:

                yes  Any of the current BEVs will put a huge grin on your face every time you press the accelerator!

                • Blackie says:

                  I am a fan of a guy in New Zealand that goes camping all around the South Island of New Zealand and on a recent show, he took his wives EV on a trip and set up his tent and equipment. He used his car to supply electrical power. He used items such as a griddle, a hot plate, (he complained that he really needed a double hot plate), and an air fryer. When he packed up and left, there was about a half charge on the car with a 900 kilometer drive to get home after a two day camping trip!  

                  (abcamping on You Tube).

    • Star1Man says:

      Abortion is not in the U.S. Constitution and there is NO right in the Constitution that is paid for!

      The U.S. Constitution & The Ten Commandments Trumps ALL state, county, city and district constitutions and laws!

      Illegal and unconstitutional bureaucratic words: mandate, proposition, order, policy, law, initiative, referendum, legislation, statute, act, decree, bill, regulation, ordinance, assessment, tax, fee, directive, injunction, judgment, proclamation, rule, ruling, charge, declaration, enactment, notification, manifesto, precedent, control, direction, management, guidance, procedure, proposition, govern, affirm, affirmative action, agenda, amendment, toll!

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