May 11, 2012 12:34 AM UTC

New Big Line

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• by: Colorado Pols

We’ve updated The Big Line for your griping pleasure. Here’s a quick rundown of our thinking behind the Line. After the jump, cast your own vote.

CD-1

Rep. Diana DeGette isn’t going to lose in 2012. That is all.

CD-2

The NRCC punked Sen. Kevin Lundberg, but can Eric Weissmann garner enough support to win a primary?

CD-3

This seat remains the most likely of Colorado’s 7 seats to change hands in November. Rep. Sal Pace continues to raise big money, and while incumbent Rep. Scott Tipton has picked up his fundraising, he keeps getting his shoelaces stuck in his teeth.

CD-4

The DCCC didn’t include Sen. Brandon Shaffer on its “Red to Blue” list, and his fundraising is declining. This one is probably in the bag for incumbent Rep. Cory Gardner.

CD-5

We could be on the verge of a big upset in Colorado Springs. Robert Blaha is gaining more and more attention, and he appears to have the personal funds to wage a strong campaign. Meanwhile, incumbent Rep. Doug Lamborn continues his efforts at trying to be the least-relevant member of Congress. If the primary were still in August, we’d say Lamborn is probably safe because he’d have time to push back against Blaha. But with the primary in June, Blaha may have timed his rise just right.

CD-6

After an awful first six months of campaigning, Democrat Joe Miklosi seems to have at least righted the ship. It may be too little, too late to defeat incumbent Rep. Mike Coffman, who is raising money like he’s the top target in the country.

CD-7

Initial reports of Republican Joe “Not a Beer” Coors’ fundraising were impressive…until it was revealed that most of that money came out of his own personal bank account. Incumbent Rep. Ed Perlmutter is as good a campaigner as there is in Colorado, and Coors isn’t going to come close with silly stuff like that “I’m not a beer” radio ad.

State Senate/House

We’ll stick these together because the reasoning is pretty much the same: Republicans had such a terrible legislative session that it’s hard to see what they will run on in November — and how they will deflect strong attacks as well.

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