CO-04 (Special Election)
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(R) Greg Lopez
(R) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Joe Biden*
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%↓
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
90%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
90%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
(R) Ron Hanks
40%
30%
20%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(R) Deborah Flora
(R) J. Sonnenberg
30%↑
15%↑
10%↓
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Dave Williams
(R) Jeff Crank
50%↓
50%↑
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
90%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) Brittany Pettersen
85%↑
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
(R) Janak Joshi
60%↑
35%↓
30%↑
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
April 28, 2022 08:54 AM UTC
24 Comments
EXCELLENT….
She is another useful idiot who will serve as the Ralph Nader of the Colorado Republican Party.
Although Polis is no real danger of having Greg Lopez or
HiediHeidi Ganahl coming anywhere close to him in vote total so it will not affect the ultimate outcome.Besides, who does not want to see a gubernatorial debate at which New Schwangler challenges Polis to prove that he really is gay.
I’d pay to see that.
The common sense reply to such a question would be "why do you need to know?" And then just laugh at whatever lame response comes from Ms. Neuschwanger.
I don't think she makes much of an impact on the Guv's race, if she even wins the ACP nomination. Tancredo got his 37% in 2010, but he was an experienced pol and Maes was (ahem, decorum) not the finest candidate in the shed. The Schwang shouldn't be Governor, that will be obvious to most, and I predict she gets around 1.4% at best. However, if her candidacy helps splinter the GOP in other ways, even by a small amount, I approve this message!
If you know how to work it, being a candidate is an easy way to make a living. Besides, some people just can't resist the money and the attention.
That was elevated to an art form in 2016 at the national level.
I think she'll get more than low single-digit percent for votes. She's the one that will court the base with the big lie and charges of RINO for the Republican nominee. That'll be enough for most of the Republican base. I'm thinking more like 15%.
Yeah, I could see the finish line being Polis at 55%, Ganahl at 30% and Neu Schwanger getting 15%.
Question: If a hard-boiled wing nut like Lopez is the nominee, does Danielle go through with this or does she drop it?
Second question: Will ACP run a candidate for US Senate if Loren Hanks is the GOP nominee?
Quite the FU to the state GOP. Secretly hoping it's Ganahl who comes in with single digits given what that would do to the CO GOP, but at this point, I can't see any way Polis loses.
I don't think – although I'm happy to be proven wrong – that
HiediHeidi drops down into Dan Maes' territory (i.e., about 10% of the total vote). She does have the so-called establishment GOP behind her.Polis is very unlikely to lose his reelection quest. He will get 90 percent of Democratic votes, more or less, and some moderate Republicans and about 60 percent of indies.
He won't get my Democratic vote, though. I think he's a terrible governor who ignores climate change, doesn't think air pollution on the Front Range is a problem worth solving, thinks vaping should be allowed, and has a love affair with tax cuts (which we don't need).
I'll write in a real progressive's name.
No, Polis won’t be accountable to the thousands of mobile home park residents forced into homelessness, because of his threat to veto a 3% rent increase cap. Those elderly and disabled impoverished people, those migrant and working poor families, won’t be pushing their wheelchairs and walkers and baby-filled strollers to demand that he withdraw the veto threat.
“Where will those people on fixed incomes go?,” I asked the real estate broker who is looking at offers to turn trailer parks into luxury home development. She shrugged. “”We’re telling them to try Nebraska or Wyoming,” she said.
In the general, of course the Democratic nominee would get my vote.
But I honestly don’t know how I’d vote in a Democratic primary for Governor. Polis betrayed his neediest constituents.
Another reason not to vote for Polis.
Polis is simply governing as the libertarian, centrist Democrat he has always been.
You seem surprised to discover that he is actually doing things consistent with his political philosophy.
Polis ran as soomeone who wanted some “fetters” on capitalism: public health concerns over methane spewing by gas extractors, for example. Now granted, we haven’t seen meaningful enforcement of those restrictions, so O&G companies are still pretty much unfettered, whatever Polis says.
In this case, out of state investors who own 70% of Colorado mobile home parks, apparently made a compelling case that, if they raised their lot rents by 80% and kicked all the poorest tenants out, they would somehow be solving Colorado’s affordable housing shortage.
And Polis decided in the investor’s favor, ignoring the evictions and displacements because “ Those people don’t vote.”
Unfettered capitalism is heartless. It needs some fetters.
Rent controls have disastrous long-term results i.e. new York City. You wanna help trailer park residents, strike down restrictions on new parks. Anti-growth rules drive up prices for everybody.
As for demonizing "out of state investors" ?
That's akin to racism and just as dumb.
Reply to V since no reply boxes available.
HB 1287 was a carefully targeted bill with significant protections embedded so that mobile home park owners could raise rent beyond the 3% cap if they made capital improvements or repairs on park property. It can’t be generalized to apply to New York property owners who don’t maintain property.
22-1287 was aimed at ameliorating the loss of 47% of affordable units over the last five years. Mobile homes were really the last non- subsidized affordable housing in the state. A broad coalition of non-profits, churches that have been housing the homeless, and politicians supported the bill.
The bill is still alive, by the way, in spite of Polis’ threat to veto. They took out the rent cap, and left n some minor tweaks that will make it easier for park residents to acquire the properties.
a) status as an out of state property investor is not the same as being a racial or ethnic minority. One is a choice; the other is inherent and biological. “Racism” does not apply to disapproval of the voluntary actions of the former.
But you’ve already started to throw insults- as usual. At least you now know the answer to that question you keep asking.
"mobile home parks"
What have mobile home parks given us other than meth labs and /Lauren Bobert?
To kwtree
You demonize “out of state investors” as If someone who grew up seven miles west of the Nebraska border, as I did, is inherently superior to someone who lives in Venango, one mile east. But I was wrong to say that is “akin” to racism. It IS racism — judging whole groups of people by characteristics unrelated to their charactor. Substitute “Nebraskans” or New Yorkers” for “Mexicans” and you could share speechwriters with Boebert.
“All them Vermonters is lazy, no good, socialists and we can’t let them invest in Colorado.”
The U.S. Constitution was written in large part to stop the kind of state vs. State protectionism you advocate. That’s why we have the commerce clause.
Read it and weep.
Can we legally gamble on this site? If so, I've got a nickel (5 cents) saying she gets less than 5 percent. I will pay up with interest in November if I'm wrong.
Lemme see. Interest T 10 pct per annum for six months on a nickel works out to a fourth of a penny. Sure you can afford that, Jung?
I'm a high roller, baby! (on the down low, fairly sure I'd win anyway. Notice, no takers)
It worked (kinda) for Tanc.
Tancredo had 4 years in office as a state rep & 10 years as a US rep. 7 elections won.
Neuschwanger’s campaign site says she has been in “various criminal justice positions,” Healthcare Security, establishing a family “a small HVAC Construction Company,” and “practicing Real Estate.” Her endorsements page features retired General Micheal Flynn, retired General Thomas McInerney, retired general Paul Vallely, and Captain Seth Keshel. Reuters article “The military-intelligence veterans who helped lead Trump’s campaign of disinformation” includes mention of Flynn and Keshel. And the other two? “Following Vallely’s announcement, Army Maj. Gen. (retired) Jerry Curry and Air Force Lt. Gen. (retired) Thomas G. McInerney also expressed public support for Lakin” — so who was Lakin? “U.S. Army Lt. Col. Terrance Lee Lakin in his refusal to deploy to Afghanistan based on Lakin’s claim that President Barack Obama had no legitimacy as commander in chief.” [birther conspiracy thinking]. And as far as I can tell, none of the four has any claim to be part of Colorado, though they may be been here on military assignment or vacations.
I think 2Jung2Die may have a solid basis for his wager.