We hear that Republican gubernatorial candidate Bob Beauprez will go on the air this week with TV commercials, as will The Trailhead Group on his behalf.
Beauprez’s campaign is also touting results from a new internal poll that shows him behind Democrat Bill Ritter by 10 points – the same margin that publicly-available polls have shown lately. The Beauprez camp is encouraged, however, by results that show his negatives to be holding steady – results that indicate a barrage of negative advertising against him are not moving the needle downward.
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the Mike Rosen show today. Mike asked him about this race.
He answered it rather well I thought. He spoke about how Ritter didn’t have to go through a primary and so far hasn’t had to answer any questions about what he plans to do if elected.
In fact there might even be the expected tax increase in the works if Ritter gets in as he was quoted as saying that “everything will be on the table”, which Owens was fairly sure meant tax increases.
Imagine that.
But as far as the race now goes, it ain’t over until the fat chick sings. I think BB will give choice #2 a good run for his money, no matter what the polls say.
It would be all well and good to bring out the “tax increase” bugaboo, but in this state the voters have to approve all tax increases, so it’s nothing but fear-mongering.
BWB has already proposed an increase to the sales tax.
I suppose Rosen et al, are ignoring that.
but he at the same time said it should go hand in hand with eliminating the state gas tax.
Big difference.
At least if you’re courting voters like me who drive all around the countryside. Or maybe the Hummer crowd.
It’s not going to attract the light rail / bus crowd, but most of them aren’t going to vote for Beauprez anyway.
It’ll be a shame, though, when Beauprez’s victims realize that sales tax hurts just as much or more than gas taxes if you’re already tight on income.
realize that sales tax hurts just as much or more than gas taxes if you’re already tight on income.”
Doesn’t Ref C do the same thing to low/tight income people? I kinda remember myself being against it as that money would surely help the poor. But you all were dead set for it.
Hello?
if he wants to cut taxes, cut taxes. don’t replace one tax with another. the typical smoke and mirrors that DC politicians use when they run up the nat’l debt and the deficit and still talk about being fiscally conservative.
pay no attention to what I have done, just listen to what i tell you.
It is like they just dont get it. Cut taxes and raise expenditures and dont worry the trickle down effect will work. It is a flawed fiscal principle, championed by those with myopic views of the economy.
our party is going to get the spanking of it’s life this time around. When you can’t come up with anything better that “we’re not them” and use the tired, old rhetoric about raising taxes, tax and spend, blah blah blah — you’ve lost your ability to “LEAD”. Given the fact that the states budget is damn near on auto-pilot this rhetoric is getting really old (and is completely irrelevant). How about something fresh…like an articulated vision for the state???
The real story here is the fact that Beauprez’s poll tracks the public polls and confirms Bill Ritter has moved into the 46% to 50% range while Beauprez remains mired in the 35% to 40% range. He has been there all year. No upward movement since the beginning of the year. Beauprez’s negatives were sky high two months ago. In fact they were so high he is unelectable. On top of that, Beauprez through Trailhead has been attacking Ritter on radio and TV for a month and it hasn’t made a dent in Ritter’s numbers. If anything, Beauprez’s poll confirms the dire position he finds himself in.
The Republican Governor’s Association has written Bob Beauprez off.
Across the country in Illinois, Arkanas, Iowa, Maine and Michigan they are pouring millions into help Republican gupernatorial candidates. Bob Beauprez has not gotten a dime. Beauprez is going to lose big.
Let’s not write off the RGA – they gave $500,000 to Trailhead to advertise for Beauprez.
But having been around a good third of the State recently – and most of it Republican-leaning – I have to agree, Beauprez is going to lose. Dan Slater over at DemNotes beat me to it, but if you head East from Pueblo out into farm country, there is maybe one Beauprez sign between I-25 and Lamar along US-50. That *should* be reasonably good pickin’s for Republican candidates, but Beauprez is MIA out there. Where there are Tipton signs – no Beauprez signs. Republican State House and Senate candidate postings – no Beauprez signs. Just plain missing… (Or was that supposed to be “Lost!”)
Lamborn is also short on signage. I’ve seen as many Jay Fawcett signs as I’ve seen Lamborn signs. And again, in otherwise Republican sign locations, Lamborn is missing…
if that is all they are doing in this race. BWB cannot raise hard dollars and $500K in soft money to Trailhead will not make any difference, particularly if it is as ill-spent as everything else Trailhead has done.
And surely, the RGA would not dare violate campaign finance regulations by donating money to a 527 with a stipulation as to how that money should be spent.
Perish the thought, “I am shocked, shocked to learn that gambling is going on here.”
Since when are negatives at 20% a good thing?
The BWB campaign is counting on the ground troops turning out their numbers for a huge GOTV push.
But having lack-luster candidates won’t win you the race even with the best program RNC can devise. Coors is the perfect example, here. He had the name ID, the money, the troops, the RNC support, and he still lost against a centrist democrat.
Coors also had a tier one campaign manager and team. Can we say that about Marshall?
Stumbled across some older polling numbers at Ciruli & Assocs. Was actually conducted on Hickenlooper, but got into BR and BWB. BWB has had bad numbers from the get-go.
http://www.ciruli.co…
Since everyone is saying “hey, Owens and Allard were behind, too” when they talk about these poll numbers…..
Where was Coors polling after Labor Day (this point in time) back in ’04 against Salazar? Was he 10 points behind, too?
And how was his fundraising at this point, as well?
there is no reason to be bragging about being ten points behind. are these people on acid?
Some internal polls are not meant to go public. The campaign management here is just plain stupid (or a leak was detected and the decision was made to beat the leaker to it).