As Lynn Bartels reported in her blog at the Denver newspaper, Rep. Mike Coffman raised more than $800,000 for the NRCC thanks to a visit from House Speaker “Orange” John Boehner.
Coffman’s fundraising could be a big problem for Democratic challenger Joe Miklosi, who scraped together just $130,000 in the third quarter reporting period. Miklosi has about $96,000 cash on hand, compared to $602,000 for Coffman — and that was before his take (whatever it is) of the Boehner event last weekend.
Miklosi’s hopes at defeating Coffman hinge on redistricting that would make CD-6 more competitive, but ironically, that same redistricting could also create a competitive Democratic primary. Miklosi’s fairly weak fundraising numbers, coupled with Coffman’s strong fundraising, will likely have Democrats on the lookout for another candidate should CD-6 end up in a map with Adams County and Aurora, rather than South Jefferson and Douglas Counties.
It would seem to me, Miklosi is somewhat handicapped at the moment by the boundaries not being known. Once the borders are set, and if the district is reasonably competitive, I image the bigger buck will start flowing.
I live on the border of CD1/CD6 so I could end up in the new district and have been following pretty closely. I have not heard of Dems looking to anyone else other than Joe Miklosi.
of any map changes that would alter the CD1 boundary. Am I misinformed? (I have to admit to not following the redistricting threads that closely.)
I forget the amount, but CD1 has to grow a little. Where the boundary ends up between 1 and 6 and between 7 and 6 will largely decide the competitiveness of CD6
CD-1 doesn’t impact CD-6 that much. CD-1 may get some piece of Littleton, but it wouldn’t be a trade with CD-6.
The major change that could be made would drastically move the boundaries in CD-7. That’s the only change that would actually make CD-6 competitive.
Coffman will be very tough to beat. He is not regarded as an extremist. He’s got a very good resume including elected experience and military service. To tell the truth I don’t think any but a very special Dem candidate with exceptionally eye popping name recognition has a chance this time and even then it would not be a great chance. If we get a better for Dems district, the next realistic chance to take it will have to involve an open seat (and Coffman is believed to have ambitions beyond the House) and a candidate strong enough to get targeted.
This is why Democrats are trying so hard to take him out with gerrymandering.
Udall is TOAST in 2014.
They want to win in court what they lost at the ballot box. It’s gross.
…just like twins.
I wonder if this is Libby’s idea of being clever?
involve some kind of made-up polling data?
of, I don’t know what, divine intervention? And after that, if he wants to run for Senate he’ll take himself out…umm… to run for Senate. A more competitive seat would be nice in an open seat election. This is about the long term, not a desperate effort to unseat Coffman in 2012.