Romney Should Heed Clinton's Fate On Inevitability

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by: Colorado Pols

Interesting numbers in a new poll from Zogby released late yesterday. According to the results, Republican voters don’t really want Mitt Romney as their Presidential nominee…even though they seem convinced that he’ll be the guy:

Michele Bachmann continues to lead the field of announced Presidential candidates among Republican primary voters, but Rick Perry would be the top choice if he entered the race.

Mitt Romney trails both Bachmann and Herman Cain among announced candidates and falls even further back when Perry and Chris Christie are included. However, he continues to be seen by GOP voters as most likely to be the nominee. [Pols emphasis]

This is an interesting conundrum for Republicans. As we’ve said time and again in this space, most high-dollar donors give money to the candidates that they think are the most likely to win; it’s only human nature to want to back the winning horse. Romney thus far has raised the most money among GOP contenders, and by this logic, he should continue to bring in more cash than anyone else. Yet Romney’s poll numbers consistently show that Republicans are apathetic towards his candidacy, so how long will he be able to hold enough interest while maintaining his aura of inevitability?

In early 2007, a somewhat similar dynamic played out for Democrats with Hillary Clinton, who was widely thought to be the inevitable Democratic nominee for President. Clinton, of course, was not able to maintain that early momentum into Iowa in 2008. With just five months until Republicans roll into Iowa for their Presidential battle, Rep. Michele Bachmann appears to be more popular in Cornville than Romney…with Texas Governor Rick Perry looming large.

What say you, Polsters? Will Romney be able to hold onto his aura of inevitability? Vote after the jump?

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19 thoughts on “Romney Should Heed Clinton’s Fate On Inevitability”

WitnessProtectionForGeeks says:

July 27, 2011 at 7:38 pm

Rick Scott is some other douchebag

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cdsmith says:

July 27, 2011 at 7:58 pm

So basically don’t believe a word they say… this is not a credible polling outfit. That said, it is an interesting story, which is likely why they set out to get those results.

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ArapaGOP says:

July 27, 2011 at 8:37 pm

I actually agree with your analysis in the other post about Perry becoming stronger if he gets in the race. Romney is strong now, butu a lot can change between now and January.

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BlueCat says:

July 27, 2011 at 9:34 pm

Depends on how powerful the Tea Partyish really prove to be. Looks like Jokers wild this time around.

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1. ArapaGOP says:
  
  July 27, 2011 at 9:44 pm
  
  By next summer, we’ll be laughing at the “weak GOP field” concern trolling from the left and Obama will be fighting for his political life. I guarantee it.
  
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  1. BlueCat says:
    
    July 27, 2011 at 10:02 pm
    
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    1. ArapaGOP says:
      
      July 27, 2011 at 10:16 pm
      
      I’d make a fine President, actually, but that was not in the cards for me this life. Fortunately, Republicans have some wonderful men and women to choose from.
      
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      1. Ralphie says:
        
        July 27, 2011 at 10:18 pm
        
        please be sure to let us all know who they are.
        
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        Fidel's dirt nap says:
        
        July 27, 2011 at 10:37 pm
        
        just you wait !
        
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ArapaGOP says:

July 27, 2011 at 10:25 pm

How many of you Democrats wish you had elected Hillary?

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1. Diogenesdemar says:
  
  July 27, 2011 at 10:39 pm
  
  How many Democrats wish you had elected Gore (or even, yeeesh, Kerry)?
  
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  1. Ralphie says:
    
    July 27, 2011 at 11:21 pm
    
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    1. BlueCat says:
      
      July 27, 2011 at 11:31 pm
      
      9/11 might never have happened and our economy would at least have escaped billions a week wars while cutting taxes. Even if 9/11 had still happened it wouldn’t have resulted in the Halliburton unfunded invasion and War of Occupation in Iraq.
      
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2. Fidel's dirt nap says:
  
  July 27, 2011 at 10:39 pm
  
  but it has a middle finger extended.
  
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3. Craig says:
  
  July 27, 2011 at 11:35 pm
  
  But, I do wish we had elected Hillary. The non-sense that is occurring in Washington right now on both sides wouldn’t be taking place. She’s a leader. Obama is an organizer, big difference.
  
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  1. DavidThi808 says:
    
    July 27, 2011 at 11:54 pm
    
    But you could well be right.
    
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  2. the midwesterner says:
    
    July 28, 2011 at 10:44 am
    
    When Obama was an organizer, Reagan was president and he was selling weapons to Osama Bin Laden in Afghanistan. Point being, Obama WAS not IS an organizer.
    
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Craig says:

July 27, 2011 at 11:37 pm

Not in my book and never has been. He was never going to win the nomination, he and his fat cat friends are only beginning to realize the horror they have unleashed with the tea party.

I think your premise that he ever was the front runner is just flawed.

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1. BlueCat says:
  
  July 28, 2011 at 7:41 am
  
  You know, by an objective measure. Sorry to get all facty. But, hey, the last presidential was going to be, according to all the pundits, HRC vs Giuliani. Being an early frontrunner isn’t all it’s cracked up to be.
  
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