SurveyUSA recently polled in CD-3, and the results show Rep. John Salazar leading Republican challenger Scott Tipton 53-42.
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The earth is round.
This is turning into more of a race than anyone expected it to. If this is true, we’ll start to see some national help for Tipton soon. Tipton is raising the money to pull off a major upset here.
But, he’s over 50% which is often the key figure in determining vulnerability. Tipton will have to pull off a big coup in order to win at this point, and he doesn’t seem to have the money to do it.
The NRCC doesn’t seem to be prioritizing this race any more; they have far more trouble than just CO-3. Heck, they’re worrying about ID-1! And when the Republican Party has to worry about a seat in Idaho, you know they’re in for a rough ride. Tipton better buckle up and prepare to weather this election largely on his own.
That’s pretty crappy for an incumbent congressman who gets to have his brother’s name id boost constantly. Tipton has made tremendous moves towards salazar in the last year. If he can continue to move forward, he’ll be able to close the gap.
My prediction is that if he continues to move forward, we’ll have a recount in the 3rd. As long as the dead people in pueblo don’t get the vote like they tend to do, Tipton should be fine.
Sorry, you can say that’s crappy for an incumbent, but for a 1st term Democrat in a Republican-leaning district, it’s about right. I’ve heard very little about dissatisfaction with Salazar, and there are virtually no Undecideds in this poll; Tipton will have a hard time moving voters in that environment.
9news has the same poll out, but also has the CD4 race, which shows Musgrave leading Paccione by 4 points…
It’s not up on SUSA’s page yet, and I can’t seem to locate it on the 9news page, either.
At least provide numbers. 4 points is not too bad for Angie, but it depends on overall numbers.
http://9news.com/9sl…
A much closer race than Salazar-Tipton.
Musgrave under 50% is not good for her. 46-42-8-4 (Musgrave to Paccione to Eidness to Undecided) is not good news for her either, especially since (a) the undecideds could give Paccione the win, and (b) the margin of error is 4.7%, leaving the race at a statistical tie.
I’d guess that Eidness is pulling equally from the D and R columns right now, but it’s hard to tell without a followup poll (and that would be in a very small sample size…).
they could one of the worst poll companies out there, they are almost never right there sample is never very good. look back at 2002 and the there polling showed allard down like 5 points and he won by like 5 points so it was not even within the margin of error. point is they do not sample enough and sampling the denver boulder area does not work because everyone knows that the dems are very strong there. As for the musgrave poll try polling in rual areas too i think that they would find a much larger lead……. SUSA plain suxs
Sorry, don’t feel like researching this myself, but weren’t SUSA the ones who polled CD7 and found Perlmutter leading by double digits? That poll was the only one that accurately reflected the actual vote. Anyone remember who did that poll?
SurveyUSA’s final poll in that race showed Perlmutter winning by 12 points; he won by 16. The competing poll released on that race had Lamm winning by four.
SurveyUSA’s complete 14-year election polling track record can be seen here on our website.
Apparently Mr. Salazar doesn’t even care enough about his own “veteran involovement” to show up to a building dedication for our veterans…. I don’t know who he’s representing, but not the people of the 3rd CD, because the people of the 3rd CD show their support to our veterans.
Hey shill, you posted this on another thread already.