CO-04 (Special Election)
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(R) Greg Lopez
(R) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Joe Biden*
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%↓
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
90%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
90%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
(R) Ron Hanks
40%
30%
20%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(R) Deborah Flora
(R) J. Sonnenberg
30%↑
15%↑
10%↓
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Dave Williams
(R) Jeff Crank
50%↓
50%↑
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
90%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) Brittany Pettersen
85%↑
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
(R) Janak Joshi
60%↑
35%↓
30%↑
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
October 27, 2010 03:07 PM UTC
27 Comments
Anyone going onto a rightie blog would be banished for attacking it.
would never banish anyone only those wicked righties.
And what does he have to do with Pols?
NPR fired him this week for expressing his views on fox. The point was liberals are as likely as conservatives to shoot the messanger if they don’t like the message.
I recall this clown now. A couple of things about that.
First, professionals are expected to maintain the standards that their employers demand. I saw his remarks and they weren’t very professional. It also wasn’t his first time.
Second, I was talking specifically about Pols. Call it a liberal blog if you want, but unlike Kos, squarestate, or many others, cons like you are welcome to vent your spleens. And here you are, a guest in their house and you just peed on the rug. (Fortunately they can afford a cleaner and not have to get a new rug…)
Why do you guys always get so defensive that you have to pull some half-baked comparison so that you can say “SEE! You do it too!!!!1!” ?
He more of a moderate who leans right. I love how the entire conservative movement screamed and had vapors over this. In the next breath they went right back to preaching about capitalism and how corporations should have more freedom to make the decisions they need to make. You know, like being able to hire and fire whomever they want?
He is more liberal than me, less liberal than you. We probably both consider ourselves relatively in the middle and likely neither of us are.
I can see how you’d think everyone is lying if you couldn’t tell the difference between those things.
If, as described by PPP the unaffiliated are made up by a majority of moderates, do you really think Buck gained 20 or more percent in the last three weeks?
I think Buck has gone down a couple points, not up 20 some percent of moderates as PPP would have you believe or dropped like a stone as ColoradoPols would have you believe.
Any mistakes that Buck has made have been relatively minor. Remember the Scooter who wrote the articles? That was significant. Gay is a choice, not so significant, particularly when he has a history of sticking up for the LGBT community as a prosecutor.
if you seriously think that gay people and their friends weren’t very offended by his gay choice comparrison to alcoholism. This is one gay person, who thinks buck and anyone defending his stupidity are simply jackasses.
Their big mistake is not that h-man and others don’t realize that gay people are offended. It’s that as second class citizens, you don’t matter to them.
The other mistake is thinking it doesn’t offend very many of the non-gay voters just because it doesn’t offend them.
Bennet has momentum. Even H-MAN can’t deny this
He’s done it constantly. If Bennet was up by 50, he’d be saying Buck was going to shock everyone by winning by 20.
Or it’s just the sign of stupidity.
I’m just reporting. You decide.
Polling requires taking samples of a population. Thus, there is always some amount of error. Good sampling provides for a quantification of this statistical error.
The results of polling (or any sampling of a population) can disagreement with the results of other polls, even though all were conducted using the most rigorous of statistical tools.
Indeed, it is more likely than not that every poll will be “wrong” in that their forecasts will not be correct to X decimal points. However, they are useful tools if one understands how to use them.
To call people liars because poll results are different requires ignorance, stupidity, and/or wrap-around ideological blinders. You decide.
Republicans were really hoping to win this race, but unfortunately too many people have heard Ken Buck in his own words.
Down from a nearly 80% probability just a few weeks ago.
http://elections.nytimes.com/2…
if you average 53 and 78, that’s 61.5, still a comfortable lead.
Buck is riding the wave. baby. He’s in – get over it. He’s got to be.
and more scientific-like, they could do a weighted average based on the number of days to the election. So, like, a poll done 28 days before the election would be weighted four times as much as the one done 7 days before the election.
Polls done more distantly in the past should receive LESS weight. For an example, see Nate Silver at NYTimes/538 as per your link above.
(In other words, MADCO’s post was an example of snark.)
God, I’ll be glad when this stupid election is over!
until it’s no longer snark?
(Grrr. I hate missing snark. It makes me feel like I’ve been shunned by the cool group.)
although tomorrow when he adjusts his prediction upward for Buck you will all quickly reverse course and clammor about him being a shill. Oh to be A Democrat this year. It reminds me of being a Republican in 2008. The taste of defeat still present, soon be washed down with the sweet nectar of victory.
is and does, right?
He doesn’t vote in Colorado.
He’s doesn’t poll.
Wednesday morning.
Of course they’ve had to spin it to try to motivate their base, but you’re definitely right that PPP shows that Buck has the momentum. Same thing happened in the primary.
is “I’m not the incumbent. Don’t look at my ethical record.”