U.S. Senate
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(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Somebody
80%
20%
Governor
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(D) Michael Bennet
(D) Phil Weiser
60%↑
50%↓
Att. General
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(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Jena Griswold
60%↑
40%↑
Sec. of State
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(D) A. Gonzalez
(D) J. Danielson
(R) Sheri Davis
50%
40%
30%
State Treasurer
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(D) Brianna Titone
(D) Jeff Bridges
(R) Kevin Grantham
40%
40%
30%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Somebody
80%
40%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Somebody
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Manny Rutinel
(D) Yadira Caraveo
45%↓
40%↑
30%
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
June 09, 2006 08:00 AM UTC
20 Comments
How can the Perlmutter camp now claim that they are the frontrunner? Poll after poll after poll shows Lamm ahead everyway you look at it. I give voters more credit than the Perlmutter camp does. Instead of accusing voters of being confused, maybe Ed should be touting his record. Except that his record contains anti-gay votes, anti-public education votes, and pro-oil industry votes. Maybe Ed is the one that is confused.
Wow and again it starts. Once again this poll tells us absolutely nothing. It is a favorable/unfavorable and name rec poll. Of course Lamm will be higher in that poll because the Lamm name is huge in this state, and that name will help her favorablity. When I see the poll that asks registered Dems who you will vote for in the primary, than I will know who is leading. Right now all I know is that people in this state like Lamm. I prefer lamm shanks myself, ooops meant lamb.
Oh yeah since it will come up, I am not an Perlmutter supporter can’t even vote in this state… just enjoy how much these little polls get everyone crazy.
Time to change the big line Pols. We all knew Peggy was ahead of Ed, but now I think this should push her over Rick.
Largely an unhelpful poll, but the press release from Ed’s group continues a weird theme that “Josh” touched on. Seriously, it can’t be good strategy to label all Dems in your district too stupid to realize who they’re voting for. While it makes for a good movie-making (“Distinguished Gentlemen” starring Eddie Murphy), it’s not good political manuvering, regardless of whether there’s any truth to it. Basically, it’s a paternalistic and condescending message: “Hey, you, Mr. 7th-CD voter. You’re too stupid to realize who you’re voting for, so you should vote for me!” Any arm-chair political strategist can see that, right? I mean, even Bob Shrum isn’t that stupid. Oh, wait, nevermind, he is that stupid.
Dawg-
What you should take away from this poll(besides that Lamm has an overwhelming lead on name rec) is two things. One, nobody in CD7 knows Ed. How does that make him a viable candidate? Two, and more importantly, of the little people that do know him, more than half view him unfavorably! Ed Perlmutter is not a viable choice for this nomination and not a good first step to taking back the house for Democrats this November.
Great points Wagtheblog!
This poll shows that no one is well known. 72% name ID for Lamm is nice, but the Perlmutter folks are probably right that to some degree this is hollow, reflecting name ID from Dottie Lamm, or just the Lamm name in general.
There was a similar poll in the CA Governor’s race a month and a half ago showing Steve Westly up double digits over Phil Angelides. Westly was better known because he was already up on TV. By the time election day came along, and voters had heard of both of the candidates, Phil won.
That’s not to say that Perlmutter is really the front runnner, either. He leads in fundraising and institutional support, but trails in name ID. Neither has a true claim to being the front runner, but both have to try to make the claim to keep their fundraising from dying off.
Josh,
I don’t know where you came up with that math, but that is fine. What this poll is really saying is that more people no the Lamm name… I completely agree. But look at the rest of the numbers and I would be scared as a democrat hoping to pick up this seat. 72% of the people polled knew her name yet only 24% are favorable. Wow the D trip is scared senseless. Whoever wins the primary is going to get slaughtered by O’Donnell unless they shut up about polls and start talking to the voters, all the voters. Who cares if you win a primary if you get taken about by 20 points in the general. As a dem, I am sick of all this polling junk. Would one of these candidates, other than Herb since he cannot win in the general, start talking about winning in the general and talking about issues.
It seems like the strategies between the two are completely different. Ed seems to be trying to convice voters who his opponent is or isn’t. Peggy on the other hand, is talking about issues that affect real people, like public education, the environment, gay rights, and gas prices. Maybe Ed should stop talking about what he thinks the voters are thinking and start talking about his record for a change.
Ballgame/Rascal/Josh
And here come the shills
BallGame-
Maybe Ed doesn’t talk about his isseus because he’s voted against gays, public schools in the form of vouchers and voted with the big oil companies who are driving up our gas prices.
Dawg (I love the name BTW)- I got the math by looking at Ed’s favorables. He has higher unfavorables than favorables. Check it out on the 9news website (9news.com). So of the little people that do know him, they don’t like him. THis is not the case with Peggy. She has more favorables than unfavorables. No one else can say that. She can and will win in November. You’re right, that is what we should be talking about.
28% don’t know who Lamm is… which is higher than her favorability rating… and another 29% are neutral. Taken together, 57% either don’t know who she is or they don’t care.
You folks get all excited and go to a yawning festival.
If you believe so, but having worked in many campaigns across the country, those numbers indicate the exact opposite. Hopefully you are right and whoever wins the primary will win in Nov, but I and probably the DCCC are looking at that and are very scared.
I agree with you, Dawg. Enough talk of polls. I’m polled-out to death. The poll numbers only prove one thing to me–these candidates are not getting their message out about the issues.
It’s time for all three Dems to run against their real opponent, Republican Rick O’Donnell. This crap serves no purpose and hints of desperation from both Lamm and Perlmutter’s campaigns. (Although the email press release response from Perlmutter was definitely out of left field. His press releases lately are badly written, at best.)
I’m confused Dawg, and would love some of your expertise (not being sarcastic at all). How does a low name rec. and a higher favorable to unfavorable (12%/15%), where as Peggy is opposite being favored/unfavored 24%/19%, indicate the exact opposite? Please tell.
Of course the candidates aren’t getting their messages out yet, they would be stupid to have started advertising yet!
Peggy does have a clear vulnerability on her having endorsed Owens. That kind of thing doesn’t sit well with primary voters.
Of course, she is a woman, just like 57-60% of Democratic primary voters. And Democrats have failed to win this seat two cycles in a row with men on the ticket.
While Lamm is up in the current polling, there are clearly a lot of undecided voters this early on in the race. Momentum will dictate which way all of those undecideds split. Sadly for Perlmutter, Lamm has been steadily gaining ground on him for months. As a person I like Ed a lot, and I supported him early in this race, but I’m disappointed with the way things are going at this point.
Peggy never endorsed Owens. I asked her about it at Drinking Liberally a while ago. Owens put her on the supporters list without her permission. (Seems to be not that rare a practice). She supported and voted for Rollie Heath, but she didn’t give Heath money. Neither did Ed.
This poll demonstrates the old adage: there are lies, damn lies, and statistics………….
[…] Ed Perlmutter’s campaign for CD-7 is long past sounding ridiculous over their incessant cries about polling, butВ now they are entering more dangerous territory: They’re starting to look silly and feeble. Perlmutter’s camp isВ actively disputing the validity of the 9News/Survey USA poll released last week that showed fellow DemocratВ Peggy Lamm with better name ID than Perlmutter. This comes after months of complaints about a Ridder/Braden poll and a Celinda LakeВ poll that may or may not have existed (both of which also showed Lamm ahead). […]