Trump’s Campaign Manager: Colorado Is Flippable

As told by the manager of President Donald Trump’s 2020 re-election campaign, Brad Parscale on CBS’ Face the Nation yesterday:

As we suspect the overwhelming majority of our readers know, the state of Colorado has been held up in recent years as an model of a state trending long-term away from Republican control–a trajectory that accelerated by every conceivable metric between 2016 when Trump lost the state by five points to 2018, when Republicans up and down the ballot in Colorado paid for Trump’s excesses with their jobs.

Hope springs eternal and nowhere is that more true than with a campaign manager early in the cycle, but we’re having real trouble seeing our way to a factual basis for Trump’s campaign to be realistically hopeful of flipping Colorado next year. And if Parscale is as wrong as we suspect he is, that says a lot about the Trump campaign’s self-awareness.

Not Trump’s, mind you–the people around him who are actually supposed to be lucid.


21 Community Comments, Facebook Comments

  1. Conserv. Head Banger says:

    I'm wondering what Brad has been smoking. Seems like potent stuff.

    On a serious note, anything can happen in an election that is still 18 months away. Some of it might depend on who the Dem nominee is, or what happens during both primary seasons that begin in late summer (campaigning, not voter decisions), especially with Bill Weld now running against Trump.

    Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico are probably not in reach for Trump at this very early stage. Perhaps New Hampshire, but too early to tell.

    One thing to bear in mind is Trump creating some sort of international "incident" to bolster his chances. Not a high probability, I hope, but something to keep in mind.

    • Diogenesdemar says:

      Sounds to me like somebody’s found out where the stable genius has been hiding his Propecia Fried Chicken stash??? . . .

      . . . as for international incidents:  well, isn’t that what friends the Putins/Kims/Netanyahus/Sauds/Dutertes  are for???

  2. unnamed says:

    I don't think Colorado, or New Mexico are particularly flippable for Trump at this point.  New Hampshire could be, maybe Nevada.  But I think in the Electoral College, Trump was near or at his ceiling in 2016, and his numbers in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin look pretty shitty right now.

    • JohnInDenverJohnInDenver says:

      I'm sure Brad Parscale sees much more and better polling data than I do, but

      • I don’t see anyone else saying Colorado and New Mexico are in play for Trump,
      • both states have Republican parties which seem to be in difficulty based on 2018 results and their aftermath,
      • neither state has a Governor supporting Trump,
      • Morning Consult state by state Trump approval polling has NM at -11, CO at -13.
  3. Early WormEarly Worm says:

    Three theories for this –

    1. Trump wants to be offensive. Or at least on the offensive, rather than simply trying to defend his 2016 states.

    2. This is a classic head fake. Get Democrats to waste resourses in these states, which they will win anyway, so they have less to spend in MI, PA, and WI.

    3. Trump is sending a message to Republican Senate candidates in CO, NM, and NH – don't run away from me over the next year because I will be in your state campaigning in 2020.

    • Mr. L. Prosser says:

      I tend to agree with your second point. This is early psyops. And that includes your third point, "don't put up a nobody." I still don't think Gardner is running and the trump team knows it.

  4. Arvadonian1Arvadonian1 says:

    I suppose anything is possible.  If you are in his shoes and must name some states you think could flip your way, you aren't going to say, "We managed to get Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin…that is about as far into blue territory we could imagine getting and we'll be damned lucky to keep those three…but I'll spitball here and toss out three bluish purple states (including one, New Mexico, that currently sends an entirely blue delegation to Washington and has no Republicans currently holding statewide office) that might, by some fluke, accidentally vote for Trump." 

  5. itlduso says:

    I suspect they are looking at the 4.9% CO victory by Hillary in 2016 and see potential.  But, imagine the nonstop pro-Trump commercials if we’re considered a battleground state.  Please, god. No!

    • Conserv. Head Banger says:

      I have no interest in re-hashing 2016. I’ll leave that to the far righties who are still insecure about the validity of Trump's election.

      In general, Hillary wasn't a strong candidate, for many reasons. Yet Trump still lost Colorado by about 5 points (I like rounding). Now he has his nut-case record to run on. This early, the only prediction I'm inclined to make is that he won't do better than a 5% loss here, and possibly will do far worse.

    • DavieDavie says:

      On the contrary, itlduso, I hope *rump and team blow *all* their money here trying to flip our state.  That's why I have mute or fast forward capability on my TV and subscribe to Sirius for my radio smiley

      • VoyageurVoyageur says:

        I'm with Davie.  Trump should put every cent he has into flipping Colorado.  And every volunteer.  Rallies in Joes, Swink, Paoli, everywhere two people gather in Colorado.

        Forget Florida, North Carolina, Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania.  They are absolute locks for Trump.  

        Win Colorado and you win it all, Orange Boy!


    • JohnInDenverJohnInDenver says:

      Hey, as someone who has a spouse working for a television station, it would be GREAT to be a battleground state for the Presidency AND a Senate seat.  Ad revenue supports journalism — and the rest of the media operation, too.

  6. Meiner49erMeiner49er says:

    Memo to Parscale and Trump Campaign: April Fool's Day is the END of the month. Give it a rest.

  7. Duke CoxDuke Cox says:

    I watched the interview. 

    The Trump campaign is in serious trouble with this guy taking the lead.

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