Pols Poll: CD-4

As we’ve done in other election years, we regularly poll our readers on various races to gauge changing perceptions. These obviously aren’t scientific polls, but they do help to show how the perception of various candidates are changing. We’ll conduct these polls each month and then show the results to see how the winds are shifting.

As always, please vote based on what you think will happen, not on who you would vote for or which candidate you support personally. Think of it this way: If you had to bet the deed to your house, who would you pick?

Thus far this is the only congressional race that appears to be headed toward a competitive race, so we won’t poll on other races unless or until a stronger race appears.

Who Will Be Elected to Congress in CD-4 in 2010?

View Results

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10 Community Comments, Facebook Comments

  1. Automaticftp says:

    The reason I think that is that Rep. Markey is fairly moderate, is doing a lot of constituent work, and is meeting with and listening to her constituents.  She’s also doing well in terms of fundraising.

    Ultimately, I think Mr. Gardner will come across as too partisan and too far right–which I think the district had enough of under Ms. Musgrave.  My sense is that the district itself is breathing something of a sigh of relief that they have a competent Representative who has done, and is doing, a lot of things the right way.  

    • One Queer Dude says:

         The demographics of C.D. 4 have been changing over the years, too.  

        Had Betsy narrowly beat Musty last year (which is what I feared would happen), she would be in trouble next year.  But Markey won by something like 12%.  That wasn’t just Musgrave fatigue; that was something more.

        I am not saying Markey has a lock on re-election.  She doesn’t.  But I think the Big Line has the odds right.

  2. bhusher says:

    I still think that she can and will win her bid for reelection in CD4, it is going to be a very tough campaign. She has done what she needs to do to walk the line and continue to keep her progressive base while holding onto more moderate U’s and R’s.

    That said, this election won’t drive the kind of progressive turnout that we saw last year, so she still has a lot of work to do.  

    • BobMoore says:

      Markey beat Musgrave by 12 and ran 14 points ahead of Obama in the district. Obama’s coattails were important in a number of competitive districts, particularly those with sizable minority populations, but I don’t think that was true in CO4. Markey won because she picked up something approaching 60 percent among unaffiliated voters. Because of the GOP registration edge in the district, Markey will again need to win a substantial majority in the unaffiliated vote. If the GOP nominee gets anywhere approaching half the unaffiliated vote, he wins. That’s the tough — but not insurmountable — math facing any Democrat in CO4.

  3. TaxCheatGeithner says:

    Rep. Gardner is a smart guy and he’s not afraid to work his ass off to win this.  The district leans his way and all indications are that next year will be a good year to oust Dems who never should have been elected in the first place.  

    • DavidThi808 says:

      Ask him why he’s put off an interview by me? It’s not like I’m the toughest interview he needs to face in the campaign.

    • One Queer Dude says:

         For instance, there was his principled stand against the Nanny State and for freedom…freedom for drunk drivers to maime and kill innocent victims with vote against tougher D.U.I. legislation.

        And now there is his principled stand against drunk drivers by supporting creation of a felony D.U.I. law (but not explaining how to pay for the additional jail cells which will be needed if the legislation passes).

  4. TimothyTribbett says:

    My family is from Yuma, my family goes to the same church as Cory. My youngest Brother went to school with Cory.  Cory is smart he is smart enough to not spout the social conservative stuff that he believes in becuase he saw what happened to Musgrave. But just becuase he won’t say it does not mean he does not belive it. Poor Cory actually took a misguided adventure out on the birther branch for a while.

    Don’t be fooled. He is too smart for school. If you don’t believe me just ask Cory how many Tribbetts he knows.

    Best regards,

    Tim Tribbett

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