CO-04 (Special Election)
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(R) Greg Lopez
(R) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Joe Biden*
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%↓
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
90%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
90%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
(R) Ron Hanks
40%
30%
20%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(R) Deborah Flora
(R) J. Sonnenberg
30%↑
15%↑
10%↓
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Dave Williams
(R) Jeff Crank
50%↓
50%↑
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
90%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) Brittany Pettersen
85%↑
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
(R) Janak Joshi
60%↑
35%↓
30%↑
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
March 05, 2011 09:04 AM UTC
21 Comments
than CD7, IMO
but could not get the population balance to work out.
Both politically and geographically, better connected to CD2 or CD3 (although Eagle would probably be the exception re: “politically”).
In Lake we just may be stuck with lousy representation forever just because of where we are geographically.
It allows you to drill down to the precinct level which is even better that the Census’s census tracts that they don’t tell you what territory they cover.
My understanding the legislature has a more precise tool which can straighten out odd edges created along the district boundaries
I used Dave’s last year, trying to see how far away Colorado was from having an eighth Congressional district.
I am guessing that some of the Democratic delegation will be unhappy at the overall Republican lean of the map – as you say, you weren’t looking at politics. But they probably will.
On the other hand, With Rep. Perlmutter being apparently in control of CD-7, he could probably withstand a slight R lean (assuming those independents aren’t all Tea Partiers…). And gaining CD-6 as a competitive district would be a boon.
What it does not account for is how the Indies tend to swing. In the past few election cycles, the counties I am suggesting for CD7 saw more of a Dem swing in the U catregor up and down the ballot.
In the proposed CD6 it would work out to vitually a 50-50 situation when you count how the U’s have recently be trending. The same could be said for the proposed CD3.
of independents at a higher rate than the increase in Rs is reassuring.
I’d like to hear from CT and others on the western slope: do a majority think that the O&G regs go too far? I know that the bravest County Commissioner, Tresi Houpt, lost badly last November. But, was that just because she is very outspoken? Did her opponent just do a better campaign?
What I’m getting to is, does any D other than John Salazar, a progressive D, have a prayer over there?
and I bet he could make a real good candidate.
He’s a good speaker already, and a few years at chair will do wonders to firm him up for a candidacy.
really a good place to start building experience for a candidacy? Don’t get me wrong, I think Rick will be a good Chair, and he would make a great candidate, but an overtly political position such as State Chair doesn’t seem like a good way to get elected by the entire spectrum of Colorado voters. Unless you’re suggesting him for a run at CD-1 or HD 1-9.
He has held positons in DC that will serve as great building blocks for a CD run…in a few years.
State Chair is more of a roadblock to candidacy than a stepping stone. If he had lost to Polly, then it would have made more sense for him to have been a candidate. Especially if Sal decides to take a shot at it.
not as a descriptor.
In any case, the demographics of the Western Slope are shifting pretty quickly. 2012 will help us understand if 2010 was a shift back toward a more conservative place or somewhat of an anomaly. Every time Tipton takes a sip of tea, he loses votes across the district, some portions of which are solidly majority Dem (or Dem-leaning I’s).
I don’t think that most people in the 3rd CD think the o&g regs went too far, as most probably don’t know enough about them to have an opinion wither way.
Most would probably support regulations to protect surface and ground water, wildlife, and public health (as polls consistently indicate). But a lot depends on which county and (of course) how any particular question (or choice) is worded. Pitkin is different from Garfield is different from Gunnison, even though each are in the same state house district.
I do think splitting Eagle and or Summit into CD7 is a bad idea, although I haven’t fiddled around with numbers myself. One might argue that Eagle has more in common with (much of) CD3 and Summit with (parts of) CD2; and seems like CD3 could pick up some from the Arkansas valley if needed and drop some from Pueblo area perhaps, although I’d need to look at numbers. And yes, I think a Dem can win the seat, even a progressive one, if they run the right race. Salazar lost it last time, Tipton did not really win it. I don’t see him as a very formidable candidate but he has some time to grow into it (and stash cash).
but I agree with you that Summit connects more with CD2, and Eagle could fit with large parts of CD3. Even though both Eagle and Summit are resort communities they are divided by the often-closed Vail Pass, and are different from each other in many ways.
I actually didn’t think highly of JSalazar. I think he was lazy and certainly not progressive. I do admire his years of service on his local school board