I’ve been spending some time on PollingReport.com examining the 2004 elections. And while that could be another long rant from Democrats about a lost election, I’m starting to wonder about a repeat of history.
To wit: Bush started with a 14-point lead after the national conventions and was dragging a number of Repub candidates on his coat tails. But as the election moved on and Dubya started getting punked in the debates, his numbers fell, taking some candidates with him. In the end, he pulled it out with the narrowest victory margin seen in decades.
But…at the final week, Dems were convinced that the 2004 election was a referendum on Republican Policies and the President in particular. Dubya’s record numbers after 9/11 were starting to take a nosedive, and the failure to find WMD’s were one of the reasons people began to distrust their “War President.” They were convinced that they’d turned it around in the polls, and Kerry would win the Presidency, and make gains in the House and Senate.
The morning after the election, the Repubs were still in power, Dubya was determined to spend his political capital, and Dems were shrieking that they’d been robbed again, this time in Ohio. They used that loss to re-tool and re-fit for 2006, which won them majorities in both houses of Congress.
Which brings me to this – what if, on Nov 3rd, the Dems managed to slide in under the wire and hold onto a razor-thin margin in the House and Senate? Now, this isn’t a chance for ‘tad, Beej, H-man and GOPWarrior to hoot and screech about the inevitable Repub landslide of 2010 – they can have the rest of Pols to do that.
What I’m asking is this – what does the Teapublican Party do the next morning? Do they complain that the vote was stolen, and declare war on..somebody? Do they resolve to try 2 more years of obstruction and dirty attack ads? Do they give up and position themselves for 2012, putting together some legislative victories to show the voters they can get stuff done?
Indulge me – you may begin.
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