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Top Ten Stories of 2012 #2: The Fall of Frank McNulty

Colorado Pols is recapping the top ten stories in Colorado politics from the 2012 election year.

In 2010, riding the crest of a “Republican wave” in a midterm election trending against the party of President Barack Obama, Colorado Republicans took back control of the state House of Representatives for the first time since their historic loss of legislative control in 2004. Colorado Republicans still couldn’t match the success enjoyed by the GOP in federal races, retaking the state House chamber by a single seat in an extremely close suburban Denver House race ultimately decided by a margin of fewer than 200 votes.

Still, after solid Democratic control of both chambers for six years, and a Democrat in the Governor’s Mansion for four of those years, the GOP had finally regained a foothold on power.

Which they proceeded to squander in historic fashion, accomplishing nothing except further damage to the Republican brand, and leading directly to the Colorado House flipping right back to Democrats in November of this year.

The blame for this failure lies squarely with former Republican House Speaker Frank McNulty and his team of GOP House leadership. As Speaker, McNulty quickly established a reputation for Machiavellian game playing. Just as one example, at the end of the 2011 session, McNulty’s last-minute manipulation of normally-routine rules legislation to undo payday lending reforms passed by the previous Assembly turned into a front-page controversy, and a very public defeat for House Republicans–not to mention unpopular payday lenders.

It’s possible, however, that the beginning of the end for McNulty came during the work of the state legislative reapportionment commission. After the commission came together on a bipartisan-approved new map of Colorado’s state House and Senate districts, McNulty and Republican leadership ill-advisedly chose to appeal those maps to the Colorado Supreme Court. Though the maps were successfully remanded to the commission, Republicans had managed to totally alienate the independent chairman of the commission, Mario Carrera. The final maps faithfully met the tests the Supreme Court laid out–in ways that were worse for Republicans.

Following these setbacks, many Republican donors and activists were already running out of patience with McNulty as the 2012 session began. Recognizing important shifts in voter opinion on issues that had traditionally served as GOP wedges to turn out socially conservative voters, some Republicans began agitating for an end to resistance on matters like civil unions for gays and lesbians, and accessible tuition rates for undocumented students in the state.

McNulty ignored them. Even as members of his one-seat majority GOP caucus began to announce their support for civil unions legislation, McNulty gave only token and cryptic lip service to the idea of giving the bill a fair shot in his House. The ASSET legislation for undocumented students died, though with much wider coverage in the press–including Spanish language press–than in previous years.

On the final day of the 2012 legislative session where bills could be debated and still passed before sine die, McNulty was faced with a dilemma: there were enough votes, from Democrats and Republicans, to force civil unions to the floor for approval–where it would pass with several Republicans voting in favor. Rather than allow that to happen, McNulty used his authority as Speaker to shut down debate in the House–killing not just the civil unions bill, but dozens of other uncontroversial pieces of legislation. This action was almost universally condemned in the media, and resulted in a rare expenditure of political capital by an emotional Gov. John Hickenlooper to call a special session to reconsider civil unions. McNulty unceremoniously directed the reconsidered bill in special session to his “kill committee,” and that was that.

It’s likely that McNulty really didn’t think this would matter in the elections a few months later–wouldn’t matter, or might perhaps benefit Republicans by motivating socially conservative voters. But he couldn’t have been more wrong. In addition to the major shift in public polling from opposition to strong support for civil unions in the last few years, McNulty’s extraordinary actions to kill civil unions enraged wealthy Democratic supporters of marriage equality like philanthropist Tim Gill–not to mention the Republicans who had been calling for passage. It’s generally believed that the death of civil unions motivated Gill and others to strike back harder in key Colorado legislative races, with the goal of ending McNulty’s control of the Colorado House.

In the aftermath of the Democrats’ retaking of the House, McNulty did not even seek any GOP leadership position, although rumors he might resign his seat entirely did not come true. Democrats were aided in their efforts by what appears to be yet another round of low quality, under-vetted candidates for which McNulty also must bear responsibility. In 2010, candidate vetting proved a major problem for the GOP, and certainly contributed to them barely retaking control of the House. For candidates referred to by GOP leadership as “rising stars” this year to be exposed in the press for all kinds of trouble in their records–trouble that somebody should have known about–strongly points toward incompetence at the top.

In only two years, Frank McNulty’s mismanagement of the Colorado House played a big role in turning the closest Republicans have had to a comeback–after years of being humiliated in a state they used to own–into a fresh lesson on why they are losing here so consistently.

Denial: It’s More Than a River in Africa, Frank McNulty

Former Speaker of the Colorado House Frank McNulty, as you know, did not even attempt a run for House leadership in caucus elections held a little over a week ago. The reason is pretty simple: McNulty presided over a disastrous and sweeping loss of the GOP’s House majority, ensuring through his ham-fisted bungling of reapportionment, and his thuggish mishandling of civil unions legislation that enjoyed majority support, a shriveled GOP minority with greatly diminished hope of recapturing a majority for years to come.

But as the Highlands Ranch Herald reported last week, there’s a different story McNulty tells himself–presumably out of denial, because we don’t know anybody who would buy it.

McNulty, who has served in the state House since 2006, was elected as speaker in 2010. And despite easily defeating Democratic challenger Gary Semro 63-37 in the election, the decision was made afterward that the Highlands Ranch incumbent would not seek a leadership role within his party this time around.

McNulty said that “maintaining and growing a majority is a much different proposition” than maintaining continuous leadership, and he pointed to the fact that he is term-limited as one reason he chose not run for the role of minority leader in 2013. Mark Waller of Colorado Springs, one of 10 Republicans who were elected without Democratic opposition, will fill that role…

“Regardless of the agenda that the Democrats push, our goal will be to work in a strong bipartisan manner,” McNulty said. “The people of Colorado don’t like gridlock, they are tired of gridlock and over the past two years we showed that we don’t have to have gridlock and that Republicans and Democrats can work together. Hopefully that will continue now even that the Democrats have the majority.” [Pols emphasis]

Got that, folks? “Maintaining and growing a majority” is more important than having the same leadership! So naturally, McNulty didn’t see the need to stick around.

Now is not the time to point out that McNulty neither maintained nor grew his majority.

Because, you see, Republicans will “work in a strong bipartisan manner.” Because “the people of Colorado don’t like gridlock” and “over the past two years we showed that we don’t have to have gridlock!” Hopefully this Golden Age won’t end now that the Democrats are back in charge.

As long as you don’t let reality intrude on this wholly fictional version of history, it sounds really great for Republicans. No need for introspection, or to change strategy or message. In fact, reading Frank McNulty’s recap, you might not realize that Republicans lost at all!

Alternatively, we understand modern psychiatry has a pill for this condition.

Winners and Losers of 2012: Losers

After a few days of reflection, here is our list of losers from the 2012 election cycle in Colorado. Find our list of winners here.

1. Mitt Romney and Colorado Advisors

Mitt Romney’s campaign efforts in Colorado never made much sense to us. Romney spent far too long early in the campaign visiting traditionally beet-red, but more importantly under-populated areas of the state, allowing the battle for suburban votes to shift toward President Barack Obama. Some 85% of Colorado voters live along the Front Range between Ft. Collins and Pueblo, which we would think is fairly common knowledge at this point. At one point at the end of the summer, Romney had gone more than 30 days between visits to our state.

Later, Romney made a disastrous mistake by declaring himself opposed to the wind power production tax credit, which is tied to thousands of manufacturing jobs in Colorado–even though almost all Republicans in the state supported it. By the time Romney began to “Etch-a-Sketch” himself into a moderate candidate for the general election, he had already radicalized himself in the eyes of too many Colorado voters. Once that was done, his attempts to walk back from the hard-right positions he took in the primary looked disingenuous and fed distrust.

But above all, Republican supporters of Romney in Colorado disastrously internalized their own spin, and convinced themselves that polls showing Obama steadily regaining, then holding his lead in Colorado from mid-October onward were “skewed.” This false sense of security, combined with the Obama campaign’s world-beating field campaign, yanked the rug out from under Romney’s feet in a state that consistently ranked as one of the most competitive.

2. Frank McNulty

Outgoing Colorado House Speaker Frank McNulty will go down in history as one of the most divisive, Machiavellian, and ultimately self-destructive leaders in the history of the state. Taking a one-seat majority in 2010 by the barest of electoral margins, McNulty acted as if this was a mandate for the “Tea Party.” Abusing and manipulating legislative rules to an extent nobody we know can remember a match for, McNulty ruthlessly carried out a partisan, obstructionist game plan in the House against the Democratic Senate and Governor’s office.

But McNulty’s arrogance was his own undoing. McNulty lost control of the legislative reapportionment process through his own bad faith, resulting in maps that dramatically reduced the number of “safe” seats for either party. Then McNulty turned the 2012 legislative session into a nationwide controversy when he shut down debate just before civil unions legislation would have passed his chamber with bipartisan support.

As a result, outside money poured into key legislative races, and Democrats used the story of the shutdown of the legislature against Republican House candidates all over the state. Today, not even a candidate for GOP House minority leadership, the implosion of Frank McNulty’s political career is pretty much complete.

Fight Back Colorado: “We Don’t Need Robert Ramirez”

The pro-civil unions group Fight Back Colorado first entered the HD-29 race with a piercing mailer portraying State Rep. Robert Ramirez as too extreme for the Colorado House. Now, with three weeks left until election day, its taken the same messaging to television.

The strategy motivating this commercial is clear. Although Fight Back Colorado is committed to defeating “the state legislators who killed the civil unions bill in Colorado” neither this ad nor the previous mailer make any reference to civil unions.

That may appear odd on its face, especially considering that a majority of Coloradans favor civil unions legislation, but it’s hard to distill the complexities of marriage equality in 30 seconds. And, unlike attacking Ramirez on, say, abortion, there’s no guarantee that the civil unions issue will motivate the base to turnout and vote against him.

The truth of the matter is that there’s a whole host of issues over which Ramirez can be defeated. Civil unions may indeed be on the list, but it’s not as salient an attack as the standard fare social issues.

No matter the framing, however, consistent and repeated attacks on Ramirez and his political profile do nothing but benefit Democratic challenger Tracy Kraft-Tharp. She’s run such a robust campaign hitherto that Ramirez’s mistakes and outside spending only serve to seal the deal.

Fight Back Colorado’s First Target? State Rep. Robert Ramirez.

Fight Back Colorado, the political action committee organized in response to Republican blockage of civil unions legislation in the State House earlier this year, has now officially jumped into the general election fray, setting its sights on State Rep. Robert Ramirez with the release of a new targeted mailer.

From Westword:


Fight Back Colorado, a group devoted to defeating anti-civil union lawmakers, has announced its first target: Representative Robert Ramirez, a Westminster Republican who narrowly won his race two years ago and who Fight Back Colorado says flip-flopped on civil unions. The group has sent mailers to voters in Jefferson County that depict Ramirez as a bomber pilot and say he’s “taking Jeffco the wrong way!”

“He didn’t vote on civil unions, but he committed to support civil unions and then, when the time came, he basically turned his back on the community,” says Roger Sherman, treasurer and spokesman for Fight Back Colorado, which was formed after legislators defeated civil unions. “We had counted on him, and a legislator ought to be held accountable for his word. When he flip-flopped, he became a target.”

Ramirez says he supports rights for same-sex couples, but doesn’t believe in same-sex marriage. “I told them I supported civil unions, but I don’t support the bill they brought through last time,” he says. “The bill they brought through last time was marriage.”

In many ways, Ramirez is a symbolically perfect candidate for the group to attack. The Republican originally pledged to support this year’s civil unions legislation before attending a traditional marriage rally on the steps of the Capitol the day after his party’s leadership killed the bill. By launching its opening salvo at Ramirez, Fight Back Colorado is sending the message that nobody who opposed civil unions is safe, least of all the guy who lacks even the backbone to stand by his beliefs.

Attacking Ramirez makes perfect sense from an ideological perspective. More importantly, however, it’s also sound strategy. Republicans were able to block a floor vote on civil unions because they maintain a one-seat majority in the House — a majority Ramirez secured in 2010 when he beat incumbent Democrat Debbie Benefield by fewer than 200 votes.

As one of the weakest incumbent House Republicans in the state right now, the path towards enacting civil unions inevitably runs through HD-29. Democrats and their liberal infrastructure groups simply cannot take back the House and pass civil unions legislation without winning against Ramirez. It’s a critical pick-up, necessary to pad against losses caused elsewhere by redistricting.

Although Ramirez’s dynamo Democratic challenger Tracy Kraft-Tharp could probably win the race without any outside help, these late-game independent expenditure attacks make her job that much easier as election day approaches.

In fact, Ramirez has been so flaky a legislator and incapable a campaigner that all Kraft-Tharp has to do at this point is not be him.

Dave Misner, Partner of State Senator Pat Steadman, Dead at 48

Dave Misner, the longtime partner of State Senator Pat Steadman, died this morning after a four-month long battle against pancreatic cancer.

From Steadman:

It is my sad duty to report that Dave Misner died this morning peacefully at home. His disease and suffering have ended. He fought the cancer as much as he could, but it wasn’t really a fair fight. Pancreatic cancer is a horrible monster, and Dave showed up armed with only his gentle spirit and beautiful smile, and some doctors and a lot of nurses. He was sorely outmatched. We mourn this loss but remember a loving father and caring man. He was loved by many, many people and he will be greatly missed.

Charismatic, affable, and well-liked, Misner was a favorite fixture of Denver political events. During this year’s fight over Steadman’s civil unions bill, Misner spent hours at the capitol, supporting both his partner and the legislation.

Doubtless Steadman’s tenacity in pushing for civil unions year after year spawned in no small part from his relationship with Misner. Indeed, their partnership always idealized why the state should allow civil unions: there’s no reason why a deeply-committed, deeply-in-love same sex couple shouldn’t enjoy the same legal rights as heterosexual Coloradans. It’s tragic that Misner won’t see Steadman’s work codified into law, but there’s no question that civil unions is on track for passage in an upcoming session.

That’s, perhaps, the greatest memorial Misner could have.

More coverage at Colorado Pols.  

Denver Line Updated: New Opponent for Pat Steadman

We’ve updated the Denver Line to the left to include the SD-31 race between incumbent State Senator Pat Steadman and GOP opponent Michael Carr.  

Steadman originally faced a nominal challenge from Republican Brandon Kelley. Kelley withdrew his candidacy in June, leaving Denver Republicans with an empty spot on the ballot. Late last month, however, a Republican vacancy committee convened and appointed recent Colorado transplant Michael Carr as its party’s candidate for the seat.

Carr — like Steadman — is gay, and earlier this year led the ultimately unsuccessful fight to incorporate support for the Colorado Civil Unions act as an official plank of the Denver Republican Party. Although the first-time candidate stands no chance of defeating one of the state’s highest-profile and hardest-working state senators, the fact that both the Democratic and Republican candidates are LGBT activists is novel, at the very least.

From OutFront Colorado:

A Colorado Republican vacancy committee is scheduled Saturday to interview – and is expected to appoint – a Denver gay man in order to fill an empty position on the November ballot.

“This is not a district that is considered Republican friendly,” said Alexander Hornaday, an attorney consulting Carr on election law and finances. “But even if Michael doesn’t win, I’m excited to show my fellow Republicans that you can be a good Republican, a loyal Republican and a gay Republican.”

Denver GOP Chairwoman Wendy Warner said she isn’t concerned with Carr’s sexual orientation.

“Mr. Carr’s sexual orientation is not our focus,” she said. “Our focus needs to be on economic issues. Some big decisions have to be made next year and we need strong, prudent and fiscal conservatives in the state legislature.”

Warner said in her three decades of politics she’s seen Republicans win Denver seats and she thinks with the right ground game it can happen again.

“It’s not impossible,” she said. “It’s a good year for Republicans.”

“I’m anxious to have candidates that are ready to run,” she continued. “It takes a lot of effort to be a Republican in Denver. It will take a lot of hard work, but I’ve heard Mr. Carr might be that type of person.”

Carr may indeed be “that type of person,” but it won’t matter. Steadman has been an incredibly responsive legislator — he’s as popular in his district as he is notable across the state. And while Carr’s support of marriage equality could help him come across as a moderate in the left-leaning Denver district, it patently does not help him earn votes in his race against one of Colorado’s most tenacious LGBT advocates.

Moreover, the Republican candidate at the the top of the ticket is an outspoken opponent of both gay marriage and civil unions. Not only can’t Carr win in his race against Steadman, then, he may also struggle in turning out votes for Mitt Romney.

Then again, given that 3/4 of Coloradans support either gay marriage or civil unions, perhaps Carr will be instrumental in reminding members of his own party that not all Republicans are socially-conservative reactionaries.  

Guzman, Steadman, Ferrandino: Grand Marshals at PrideFest this Weekend

Denver’s annual PrideFest is set to kick off tomorrow, with Fab Morvan of Milli Vanilli fame headlining Saturday’s festivities at Civic Center Park — or at least doing an admirable job of pretending to headline, as it were.

The 80s lip-syncing pop star aside, however, this year’s PrideFest promises to be even more politically charged than usual in the wake of the contentious civil unions battle at the State Capitol last month.

While Democrats have long participated in the PrideFest parade, they’ll likely receive the warmest reception to date because of their forceful and repeated attempts to pass civil unions legislation in the face of House Speaker Frank McNulty’s machinations.

It’s fitting, then, that the Senate and House sponsors of the civil unions bil — Denver Democrats Pat Steadman and Mark Ferrandino, respectively — will be the parade’s grand marshals this year, joined by the legislature’s two other openly gay lawmakers: Denver Senator Lucia Guzman and Wheat Ridge Representative Sue Schafer.

While Steadman and company would’ve no doubt preferred this to be the first PrideFest following Colorado’s adoption of a civil unions law, this may very well be the last celebration without one: the speaker’s boneheaded impetuousness has all but assured that Democrats will have the majority they need to pass the bill next session.

Perhaps, then, it would’ve been more fitting for McNulty to be grand marshal.

Lakewood Delegation Town Hall Meeting Tomorrow

In what may be one of the last legislative outreach events for State Senator Betty Boyd — and the last for either Rep. Andy Kerr or Rep. Ken Summers — the Lakewood legislative delegation will be hosting a “post-legislative session wrap up” town hall tomorrow, the first since last month’s meeting which presaged the contentious civil unions debate.  

From the Colorado House Democrats:

MEDIA ADVISORY

Saturday, June 2; 9:30 a.m.

Town Hall Meeting with Rep. Max Tyler, Rep. Andy Kerr, Rep. Ken Summers, Sen. Betty Boyd, & Sen. Cheri Jahn

WHAT:

Join the Lakewood legislative delegation for a town hall meeting next Saturday and a post-legislative session wrap-up.

WHO:

Rep. Max Tyler (D-Lakewood)

Rep. Andy Kerr (D-Lakewood)

Rep. Ken Summers (R-Lakewood)

Sen. Betty Boyd (D-Lakewood)

Sen. Cheri Jahn (D-Wheat Ridge)

WHERE:

Lakewood Cultural Center (map)

470 S. Allison Parkway

Lakewood, CO 80226

WHEN: Saturday, June 2, 2012 from 9:30 a.m. to 11:00 a.m.

Given the volatile close of the regular session this year — and the special session which followed as a result — the lawmakers at tomorrow’s town hall might have a few choice words for members of House leadership.

Well, except for Ken Summers. It’s almost as if the lone Republican is entering the lion’s den.

Have a political or community event coming up? E-mail us: info(at)jeffcopols.com

Szabo Banks $42,530; Allport Still in the Hunt

We’ve previously written that the viability of Democrat Tim Allport’s campaign against Republican Representative Libby Szabo hinges on Allport’s fundraising numbers. The GOP hold an 8% lead in voter registration within the district, so Allport needed to outraise — or at least come close to — the incumbent Szabo.

Szabo had an average period, adding $11,000 to her massive $34,500 war chest. Spending nearly $3,000, Szabo’s left with about $42,530 on hand.

While it would’ve been impossible for Allport to narrow such a colossal fundraising gap, the labor activist posted a respectable $9,400, adding to the $3,500 he previously held. He spent about $4,300 of that, leaving him with just under $8,700 on hand.

Szabo holds an incredible fundraising advantage, there’s no question. HD-27 is a difficult seat for any Democrat to win, and while Allport hasn’t yet proven that he can raise enough money to do it, he has shown that he’s a credible candidate — noteworthy for any Democrat faced with such a steep uphill battle. That Allport came within $1,600 of Szabo’s numbers shows that he’s connected and charismatic enough to elude being labeled a “sacrificial lamb.” Allport’s legitimacy as a candidate is self-perpetuating; proving that he can raise money will bring more money in.

More importantly, it may also draw outside attention (and money) into the race. Given Szabo’s predilection for religious zealotry and loyal opposition to this year’s civil unions effort at the Capitol, she makes a pretty target for wealthy LGBT donors who have already promised to do whatever it takes to give Democrats the speaker’s gavel. Because Allport has proven his electoral credibility, the path to a Democratic majority for these outside groups might go straight through HD-27 — if only because of the sheer symbolic weight of a Szabo defeat.  

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