CO-04 (Special Election)
See Full Big Line
(R) Greg Lopez
(R) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
President (To Win Colorado)
See Full Big Line
(D) Joe Biden*
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%↓
CO-01 (Denver)
See Full Big Line
(D) Diana DeGette*
90%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
See Full Big Line
(D) Joe Neguse*
90%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
(R) Ron Hanks
40%
30%
20%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
See Full Big Line
(R) Lauren Boebert
(R) Deborah Flora
(R) J. Sonnenberg
30%↑
15%↑
10%↓
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
See Full Big Line
(R) Dave Williams
(R) Jeff Crank
50%↓
50%↑
CO-06 (Aurora)
See Full Big Line
(D) Jason Crow*
90%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
See Full Big Line
(D) Brittany Pettersen
85%↑
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
See Full Big Line
(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
(R) Janak Joshi
60%↑
35%↓
30%↑
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
See Full Big Line
DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
November 02, 2010 02:36 AM UTC
113 Comments
but Bennet has much better GOTV.
Bennet by two.
Hick by an embarassing margin.
Kennedy, Buescher, Suthers keep their jobs.
Salazar, Perlmutter win.
Markey loses as third party defectors finally get behind gardner.
We might be surprised by the Dem turnout tomorrow. But, I ain’t betting any money on this one.
Abe Lincoln may have faith in the American people — I have my doubts. We may be witnessing a generational fail if we turn the country over to teabaggers.
Let’s be positive for now. I had another excellent canvassing day.
Michael Bennet ran an excellent campaign. Consider:
1) He didn’t make a gaffe in 20 months of campaigning; and,
2) He must have lived the most boring life because they didn’t come up with anything on this guy. I’m sure they were trying.
I’m proud to have been a tiny part of this campaign.
“didn’t make a gaffe in 20 months of campaigning”
He does nothing but make gaffes! My gosh, did you hear him on Boyles this morning? We came up with plenty on him:
http://www.youtube.com/bennetvsbennet
Of course, there was other stuff which couldn’t be proven, but I am not permitted to discuss that here.
The only person who has made more than marble mouth is Biden the dumbest man to serve in the senate and be Vice President.
Typical drone only wants to hear what he wants or he is that dumb.
Dumbest VP?
I bet he can spell potato.
He is also a plagiarist.
What is it about wing nut conservatives that everything TODAY is the most, worst, best ever in US History…
No perspective, clearly no historical knowledge, and an inherent arrogance all rolled up into a big GOP-ber.
Can you imagine what a terrible mess we’d be in if McGrumpy and Failin’ got the nod…
Here’s hoping your ‘star VP’ candidate raises some serious coin and really goes after all them ‘Good Ol’ Boys’ on your side. 2012 should be fun. Go Sarah Go!
Everything the left does is historic right?
This is a Colorado politics site. Go look up all the things the idiot has said or done. There is a reason he won’t be around in 2012.
Please educate us and explain what made those two less intelligent than the plagiarist?
So, are you really that stupid? Or do you just think others are?
I merely wanted you to compare and contrast with the above, since you beleive yourself to be. I mean, the worse or dumbest EVER is a bold claim–my guess is there are doctoral and masters’ theses filling shelves dissecting and discussing that question–and yet here you boil it down so succinctly, with finality, and no need for explanation or evidence, because you uttered it.
Of course you said Biden was the dumbest VP and senator to have served.
It’s your claim, and if you had any integrity you would back it up. But you apparently don’t. Which isn’t a surprise, really. Predictable. Par for course. Meeting the low expectations I have for you quite well, actually.
But here–suppose I am wrong in my impression of you–reveal yourself to be the scholar with acumen and integrity you either imagine yourself to be or, perhaps, really are. And if so, upon doing so please accept my apologies for any doubt I may harbor, based on the tired crap you have posted heretofore.
So, help me out with a few questions, that you should be able to answer off the top of your head, having decided and stated that Biden is the worst:
How many VPs have there been? Top 5? Bottom 5?
How many Sens have there been? Top 5? Bottom 5?
Perhaps your sockpuppet–I don’t know, another frequent poster from your side also claims to be an astute ‘Student of History.’ He is also prone to broad sweeping statements about the president and Democrats which are simply, demonstrably false. Then, like you, the subject is awkwardly changed, the argument is jerked somewhere else, and you troll happily along, as if to say:
As I said–entirely predictable. If I were a Cheesy Bucknut poseur I could write your ‘arguments’ nearly verbatim. Nothing original, nothing thought provoking.
’nuff said
When he was forced to resign, Nixon lost his impeachment-proofing!
if you really wanted to, you just don’t have the time right now, right? Or, you guys just wouldn’t be able to handle it. Or,there just isn’t enough room on here to list them all…
So I won’t list any…
Wait, this just in — all those were Buck gaffes.
CO in the wave year
Maes
Buck
CO 1 Fallon
CO 2 Baily
CO 3 Tipton
CO 4 Gardner
CO 5 no comment
CO 6 Flerlage
CO 7 Frazier
State house and senate go R
– Speaker Balmer
– President of the Senate King, K.
All judges are not retianed
Senate
Fl, IL, PA, WA, WI, WV, : R’s
McConnell
House swings 75-80 seats R
Boehner
In 2011, Obama resigns, Joe Biden is promptly impeached – Boehner becomes president.
2012 Palin challenges – selects Joe the Plumber as VP running mate.
I don’t live in your alternate universe
that was created in six days, c rork. That explains a lot about the slipshod construction;-)
😐
don’t mind saying you’re R fuckin’ NUTZ!
Shaazzing! 🙂
Heard it here first.
But I think Hickenlooper wins.
Buck and Bennet go into a recount.
Perlmutter pulls it out. I can’t predict Salazar.
I actually think Markey surprises everyone and takes it by 2.
a euphemism for “stupid voter” turn out and vote? If so, God help us all.
I have it on good authority that bjwilson83 already cast an early vote;-)
Low information voters aren’t stupid. They just don’t follow politics like we junkies do.
That can be for any one of a number of reasons, mostly having to do with available time and having lives.
If you’re going to be successful at any level of politics, you have to respect the voter. Every voter.
It’s not about politics, it’s about policy. And, voters should be able to understand that policy affects their lives.
This question about “having lives” and being informed, may take another post:-).
For me, it’s not about politics, it’s about policy.
Sane (I use this word classically), educated, “reasonable men of good will” (h/t Steve Sarvey) all have a sense of fairness, justice, and morality that ……….ta da ….share my own ideas.
The voter has to respect the truth. If not, we’re fucked.
I’ve done politics for a long time. Low-information voters can and often do swing an election.
Voters have a lot of power. They always get what they vote for, even if it’s not what they thought they wanted. Whether you think they’re stupid or not, they each get one vote, same as you and me.
You have to respect that there are low-information voters out there, that you have to reach them to win, and that they’re not stupid.
I might drop by Dem HQ, but I’m sure the food and booze at R HQ will be better. And there will undoubtedly be plenty of Enstrom’s.
Music has always said it better than words for me. This song is about the low-information voter.
Lyrics here.
Beautiful song. Thank You
But yours look fairly reasonable.
Senate – Bennet (.1 margin post recount)
Gov – Hick (by 10 points)
CO3 – Salazar (by 2 points)
CO4 – Gardner (by 5 points)
CO7 – Perlmutter (by 7 points)
AG – Suthers (by 10, ugh)
S of S – Bernie B (narrowly)
Treasurer – Kennedy (very narrowly)
State house – Narrowly Dem
State senate – Comfortably Dem
Numbered ballot measures – All fail (63 comes closest)
Judges – All retained
Close senate races:
Penn, Wisconsin, Nevada – Republican
Illinois, Washington, WV, Colorado, Cali – Dems
Alaska – Murkowski
Senate- 53 Dems
House – Narrowly Republican (42 Seats Lost)
Those of you who are web savvy enough can find them. Let me just say you guys are all way too charitable to Dems (except MADCO, who is smoking crack tonight – MAES?!?)
You’d post your wonderful, see-all predictions here.
But, I suppose, you’re scared of being wrong here, so you won’t.
BTW, my only predictions are Hick and Salazar.
A few thoughts and predictions
I predict a republican win for both senate and governor.
The democrats don’t have a good ear for the “street.”
1) Bennet is park hill colorado and doesn’t hear beyond that reference group. Most straight men may well support abortion rights and gay rights, but they are a bit uneasy with these topics and to hear them constantly, is simply a turn off. Bennet has lost the male vote, big time.
2) Maes allowed Tancredo to slide without any criticism, a point I made weeks ago.
3) Hickenlooper appealed to the female vote; but men don’t want a “helping hand.” They want someone who is going to help them get the “bastards.”
I think that Obama’s problem is different. Obama is what is known as someone who grew up in the Third Culture. …
American kids who were raised abroad because their parents were in the military or the diplomatic corps or worked overseas for corporations. Third Culture kids (and as an army brat, I qualify) miss cues…because they really don’t know typical middle class culture in the US. So they (we) spend inordinate amount of time trying to understand, analysis, or reconcile what we are experiencing as adults what other people learned as kids.
I think what Obama tried to do was consolidate his democratic party support. He presumed that the Clintons were his natural rivals. I think his choice of HIllary for SofS was brilliant. But, I think that he thought that he could replace the clinton party structure with his own….OFA. Big mistake. Because Obama needed the very states which Clinton won and those states became the foundation for the tea party. Obama needed Carvelle in the White House, he needed Howard Dean, he needed people who had an “ear” for the party and for the American people. The dems lost in Colorado because the party structure sat on its hands. It was Clinton terrority and Obama did not woo, it tried to steam roll. Ditto for Arkansas and Pennsylvania.
The biggest mistake which Obama made was his beer party at the White House. He alienated police all over the country. He did not “hear” nor understand how middle class was reacting to the situation.
I called 1-866-558-3927 to get on the no call list for New Directions Colorado after an anti-Hick call from them.
Do you know most straight men? Is there polling to support this rather arbitrary point of view?
So you’re saying that Democratic candidates should be pro-choice and for gay rights but they shouldn’t talk about it? They should be secretly pro-choice and pro-gay rights so as to not make straight men uncomfortable?
This sounds like something you would expect from a conservative.
Oh wait. Maybe this explains it…
Maybe you should work on understanding, analyzing, or reconciling that straight men aren’t nearly as fragile as you think. Maybe you shouldn’t project so much.
…pulled that out of your ass. He definitely did NOT say that “Democratic candidates should be pro-choice and for gay rights but [not] talk about it.” I’m fairly certain he believes that they SHOULD talk about it, but I would certainly second his opinion that most straight males feel “a little uneasy” about those topics and certainly get turned off by hearing lots about them. I know many liberals who would say they feel this way (or would be lying if they didn’t). I can even say the same would be true of me if my life experiences with said subjects hadn’t made them impossible to avoid.
I call it like I see it. No bullshit. He completely mischaracterized what you said.
I think that says a lot.
Face it dwyer, you’ve been singing this same song for quite a while. You think Dems should act like Republicans only Republicans are allowed to run on their social issue stances. We should have no position on any social issues that might upset white men. Or at the very least, we shouldn’t run on them or speak them out loud.
At what point do we draw a clear distinction between our social issue stances and the Republicans? Especially during an election cycle?
and living in the states from about 18 to 48, spending how many years as a State Senator etc. Well that must be ‘abroad’ too.
Doing community work on the south side of Chicago for several years is probably about as eye opening as you can get. But I guess it isn’t considered Middle Class.
I think that Hillary has totally gotten over the 2008 election and Bill has pretty much done the same. He seems to be out there defending the President and working hard. But some Clinton supporters just can’t let go!
Sad really.
This photo was taken right after the House passed the Health Care bill. Even though Hillary was unable to get health care passed in the ’90s, she is obviously proud that it passed in 2010. Other people should let the 2008 election go as well as Hillary has!
http://www.flickr.com/photos/w…
I will search for a reference in quieter times for this culture concept. Hawaii is unique and was a territory up until two years before the President was born. He spent much of his boyhood in Indonesia. South Side of Chicago is definitely not middle class. I am seeking to understand the President’s reaction. It is meant as an explanation not a criticism. Although one of the things I have noticed about middle class mores is an absolute intolerance for anyone who suggests a different perspective.
@butterfly. I was an Obama supporter from the Phila speech forward.
@EK Absolutely I have been singing this same song for a long time…SEE. I would like democrats to win. A winning strategy does not mean giving up principles it means having a winning strategy.
about abortion just to impart your strategy wisdom. Over and over. That seems, to me, more than just a concern about winning.
I also fundamentally disagree with your strategy. Dems have had their asses handed to them on the topic of gay rights and abortion for years. Republicans have used these issues as wedges successfully for years. BECAUSE we let them. We never stand firm but instead try to quickly walk back so as to not upset your beloved white men voting bloc.
The demographics are changing. Minorities (Blacks, Hispanics, Muslims), teh gays, and gay friendly voters far out number homophobic scared white men. Those are the voters we need to start focusing on. When we start to use abortion and gay rights as a wedge issue against Republicans, as we began to see this year, it can be very successful.
Your “strategy” is reminiscent of a time gone by. And one I would expect to hear from a Republican who hopes to take his country back.
Hick wins with Maes going below 10%
Bennet in a squeaker
Salazar
Buescher
Suthers
Kennedy
Other fun ones…
NV Sen: Ried by 2 because I can’t underestimate his inside game combined with Angles craziness.
Alaska: I am seeing a perfect tempest in a tea pot and calling for a McAdams surprise!
Prediction for 2012:
The R’s take the house and immediately begin to tare each other to pieces further dividing moderate R’s fom social con’s and the tea party. The Dems sit by to watch the carnage and so nothing gets done for we the people. Along the way, establishment R’s (good ol boys) push Palin aside for a presidential bid instead choosing to run Romney. This causing Palin to run on a third “tea” party ticket with Tom Tancredo handing the white house and congress to the D’s!
That is all.
Anyone want to guess the vote percentages for the Green and the Libertarian in the Senate race?
That’s been pretty steady in polling and early ballot returns.
Hick
Buck
Tipton
Gardner
Perlmutter
Stapleton
Gessler
GOP takes state House. Dems keep state Senate. Same goes for DC.
I think Pols has been running its line with its heart and not its head all year.
Result is two years of state and national political gridlock. China celebrates.
Suthers wins too.
is closer than anyone else has been so far on this thread, though I think Bennet gets it by the slimmest of margins.
These predictions make sense. I hope you are correct.
I keep hearing about the “Wave” and I am listening to people talk…hence my predictions.
Hick by 8, GOP relegated to minor party status
Bennet barely
CD3-Salazar, by 2
CD4-Gardner, 5+
CD7-Perlmutter, 4
AG-Suthers, 4
SoS-Buescher, 3
Treas-Kennedy, 5
I think that Cary and Bernie go down though they are each head and shoulders above their respective opponent in brain wattage alone.
I can’t bring myself to say either will lose (especially Cary), but you’re right about their opponents. Neither belongs anywhere near our elections or money… or potted plants.
Stan Matsunaka was able to win the Senate seat coming from pretty much the same position, centrist Democrat taking on a very conservative incumbent. My only worry is that since this is so late since the 2000 redistricting, Ball’s name recognition in Loveland won’t be high with the new arrivals and also won’t carry over to rural Larimer County and the ton of votes in places like Wellington and Windsor. GOTV will have to be big there for him. What do you think of McCreary/DelGrosso?
he hasn’t run an effective one. Some people predict he will be defeated because McCreary served on the school board, was popular and effective. In brief, McCreary has been elected there before and Mr. DelGrosso hasn’t but it is a very Republican town.
Sen. Lundberg is in trouble for the opposite reason. His longevity and almost absolute refusal to represent his district has made just about everybody angry at him. That is a big factor in Rich Ball’s successful campaign.
…far more accurate than the fantasy-world “Big Line.” But I’m prepared to eat my shoe if necessary.
Governor – CO
Hick beats Tancredo by 3-5% with Maes earning less than 10% of the vote
U.S. Senate – CO
Buck beats Bennet by 2-4%
U.S. House – CO-3
Tipton beats Salazar by 3-5%
U.S. House – CO-4
Gardner beats Markey by 6-8%
U.S. House – CO-7
Frazier beats Perlmutter by 1-3%
Treasurer – CO
Stapleton beats Kennedy by 4-6%
Secretary of State – CO
Gessler beats Buescher by 3-5%
Attorney General – CO
Suthers beats Garnett by 7-9%
Colorado State House
Republicans control at +2 to +4
Colorado State Senate
Dems could hold by up to +2, Republicans could take over by +1
U.S. Senate – AK
Miller AT LEAST +7 over Murkowski, McAdams doesn’t belong in the discussion
U.S. Senate – CA
Boxer beats Fiorina by 2-4%
U.S. Senate – IL
The hardest race to call, as there are so many still undecided (both are horrible, horrible candidates), but I envision Kirk beats Giannoulias by 2-4%
U.S. Senate – NV
Angle beats Reid by 3-5%
U.S. Senate – PA
Toomey beats Sestak by 5-7%
U.S. Senate – WA
Murray beats Rossi by 0.1-2%
U.S. Senate – WV
Manchin beats Raese by 1-3%
U.S. Senate Balance of Power
Democrats retain control 50-50 to 52-48 (not including any possible party-switching of Joe Lieberman and/or Ben Nelson)
U.S. House Balance of Power
Republicans gain 55-65 seats for approximately a 240-195 split in the favor of the GOP.
But from what I’ve seen, this meshes with predictions by a few of the more liberal Polsters pretty well. The most significant difference being that none of you will acknowledge the possibility of Frazier beating Perlmutter. I think that rather likely. Certainly not a given, but Ryan is a good candidate (even Democrats must acknowledge that). If anyone can knock off Fast Eddie, it’s him.
I will defend my predictions to the death!”
“Give me my predictions or give me death!”
is that Republicans will continue to act like spoiled children instead of legitimate partners in rebuilding our nation and will continue to regard anyone who doesn’t have the same perspective as they do as the enemy.
They are like the alcoholic relatives who make a spectacle of themselves at the family gatherings and are totally oblivious to their drunken behavior.
They don’t really believe in Democracy or power sharing and working together to solve problems. It’s always about doing anything including bearing false witness and out and out lying to achieve their political objectives.
We could be a great nation again but these terrible relatives will continue to tear down our nation with their lies and obstruction.
This is how we are suppose to live together.
My prediction is that the Republican assholes will be even bigger ones in the future because they are too immature to acknowledge that they are only a part of this nation and that the other parts are just as important.
A better R might have taken Perlmutter. But Frazier is too lazy.
That Republicans ran a lazy black man in CO-7?
(Man this racial smearing is easy!)
His fellopw Rs regard him as a lightweight. He misses meetings (as Perlmutter’s ads said) and is basically a showhorse, not a workhorse. I think a better man might have won this year, but never took frazier seriously. He turned me off when he shilled for the municipal league in an effort to protect the Comcast monopoly against Qwest’s efforts to offer real competition in cable.
It is Repug fantasy land that 7 is that close.
I think Rossi is slightly up in Washington though. Senate goes 50-50, Lieberman might switch. And I’m not certain Frazier wins, at least not by that much. Oh and Tancredo could win due to momentum. But other than that, very accurate.
Hick by 7
Buck by 2
Tipton by 2
Gardner by 4
Perlmutter by 3
Suthers by 7
Stapleton by 1
Buescher by 1
I can’t believe I’m picking Stapleton, but the voter turnout numbers combined with anti-incumbent mood combined with lack of average-voter attention to this race, there it is.
Hick by 12, GOP chased into the night like thieves, taking DickWad with them.
Bennet barely, which means we’ll have 2 months of lawsuits over the recount.
CD1 – I think they use the mercy rule and call it for DeGette at 7pm. She goes back into hiding in DC.
CD2 – Polis will carry the district by 10, but showing he’s not a shoo-in for the seat in 2012
CD3-Salazar, by 4 just cause people still trust him
CD4-Gardner, by 1 in the other squeaker that keeps lawyers employed for 2 months
CD7-Perlmutter, by 8 kicking Fraiser’s ass and sending him back to outsourcing jobs to Asia.
AG-Suthers, 8 proving that it’s ok to let a serial killer go and claim you didn’t know about it.
SoS-Buescher, by 2
Treas-Kennedy, 8
Overall Repubs take the House by one seat, possibly don’t. Dems hold the Senate 53-47 with Turncoat Joe jumping to the Repubs the next day.
…but I have to ask a serious question. Why would “Turncoat” Joe caucus with Republicans if it didn’t get them the majority? He needs full support by one of the major parties to continue masquerading as an Independent Senator from Connecticut. Republicans wont fully support him unless they get something in return. A 52-48 deficit is no better than a 53-47 deficit. At least until January 3rd, 2013.
Now that they don’t have a so-called super-majority, they’ve lost every reason to work with the prick. There’s a few moderate Repubs that they can work with and not have to worry about his tempermental BS.
They’ll start by kicking him off his committees, and tell him to sit in the back of the Senate…
I don’t remember who said that here, but I have stolen it and used it to great effect. Thanks.
Unless I forgot I stole it.
In which case ditto.
Statewide:
Hick by 5
Bennet by 0.5
Suthers by 8
Gessler by 4
Stapleton by 2
House Seate:
Gardner
Tipton
Perlmutter
Nationally:
Rs pick up 8 Senate seats
Rs pick up 55 House seats.
You’re predicting Bennet wins, which means to get to Rs +8 you would have to predict a Republican wins all but one of AK, CA, IL, NV, PA, WA, and WV.
By which I mean:
– I see 6 extremely likely R wins: ND,IN,AR,PA,WI,NV
– I see 4 close races, ones I’d see as 50/50 to 60/40 either way –so I’m guessing Rs win 2, with the most likely R win being IL, the less likely being WA & WV, and CO a coin toss (50/50).
So I wouldn’t be stunned if Rs win 7-9; I’d be surprised but not shocked if 6 or 10.
Where those that agreed to the interviews win (it held 100% in the primary).
Hick wins (1½ interviews to Tancredo’s 1).
Buck wins (2 primary, 1 general interview vs 2 primary interviews with Bennet).
Kennedy.
Buescher.
Suthers – (Work was too busy so I didn’t have time to interview Garnett.)
Salazar.
Markey.
Perlmutter – (Both did interviews but Frazier’s was when he was running for Senate so it only counts as ½)
Hey, it’s as good a system as any 🙂
Colorado:
Hick by 7
Bennet contested by a hair
Suthers by 6
Gessler by 5
Stapleton by 2
House Seats:
Markey contested by a hair
Salazar by 4
Perlmutter by 5
Nationally:
Rs pick up 4 Senate seats
Rs pick up 34 House seats.
Polls and the media are complicit against the poeples will.
-Hick wins by 5%, Maes under 10%
-Bennet by 4
-Salazar by 4
-Gardner by 2
-Perlmutter by 5
-Polis by 1,000,000%
Dems keep state house by 1 seat
Dems keep State Senate by 4
Gessler wins
Kennedy wins
Garnett wins
Alaska – People forget to the check the write-in box next to Murkowski’s name, McAdams for the win!
Dems keep US House by 2 seats (That’s right, I said it)
Dems hold US Senate by 4 seats
Sometime Thursday, it’ll be Buck by <.1
When I was out canvassing Saturday I did everything I could think of, including the old fashioned, Shake on that, pardner, to assure they’d vote as they said they would. I even made one woman pinky-promise me she’d vote!
But I talked with too many folks who, if their kid gets the sniffles at school, if their car won’t start, if she burns the breakfast bacon, if he gets chewed out at work, if dad calls that mom’s sick, if they quarrel over the cat puking on the carpet — they’ll just forget about voting because other things in their lives are “just more important right now”. If they hadn’t already voted, there are just too many things that can come up on Nov.2 that’ll get them off their well-meaning, medium-informed tracks. I’m pessimistic all up (except for Hick) and down the line.
Ah, well. There’s always 2012. Fall back, regroup, and let’s go at ’em again. This time, I’m afraid I just wasn’t the Jedi I had to be.
Hick 8
Bennet 1
Hick by 2… although when you start looking at the crosstabs in many recent polls Tancredo has a real shot.
Buck by 4… this isn’t the year a dem below 50% is going to pull out a win when every poll has him behind (and a couple with it dead even)
Suthers by 10
Kennedy by 3
Gessler by 5… the higher Republican turnout will sway this race since it hasn’t received much direct attention and most people will vote party line down ticket if they don’t have a compelling reason to do otherwise.
You should comment more.
Why is that?
@jeremyisaac – While I don’t agree with your predictions, I appreciate your reasoning behind them.
Hope you decide to comment more often. Having conservatives who do more than parrot talking points, who challenge and debate, who add to the conversation are always appreciated.
Anyone who could claim that opposing Ken Buck’s troglodyte views on reproductive freedom is a form of religious bigotry and then state that Michael Bennet doesn’t care about the views of religious people because he isn’t religious himself is scum.
Regardless of the outcome he is a paid troll. He will be gone soon. Win or loose after tomorrow he will not be paid for posting and will loose interest quickly.
I hope he proves me wrong because as a Democrat on this site sometimes I feel like I am yelling at myself in phone booth (except of course for you BJ). I do like civil political discourse. It makes us all stronger. But he will be gone.
Tancredo <1%
Buck +5
Tipton
Gardner
Frazier
Suthers
Buescher
Kennedy
R’s take State House +3
State Senate – split to D advantage
NM Governor, Martinez (R) +6
National
House – R’s pick up 55+
Senate – hmm, D’s hold with 51-49, “best case” for R’s @ 50-50. Lieberman won’t switch, no realistic motivation regardless of final tally.
The Tsunami is real, admittedly to the chagrin of the D’s. Ready for the slings and arrows, but we will know “the facts” in less than 24 hours.
Buck
Hick
Suthers
Tipton
Gardner
Perlmutter
Stapleton
Buescher
Congress: R’s gain at least 50 in the House, 8 in the Senate.
First, the State predictions…
Sen.- Bennet, barely, possibly by recount
Gov.- Hickenlooper, Maes under 10%.
SOS- Buescher
AG- Suthers
Treas- Kennedy
CO 1- DeGette
CO 2- Polis
CO 3- Tipton
CO 4- Gardner
CO 5- Lamborn
CO 6- Perlmutter
CO 7- Coffman
I have no clue about the State Legislature, haven’t been watching it…
U.S. Senate
AR Sen.- Boozman
AK Sen.- Miller
CA Sen.- Boxer
FL Sen.- Rubio
IL Sen.- Kirk
KY Sen.- Paul
NV Sen.- Angle
OH Sen.- Portman
PA Sen.- Toomey
WA Sen.- Murray
WI Sen.- Johnson
WV Sen.- Manchin
Recounts possible in CO, IL, NV, WA
Governors
CA Gov.- Brown
CT Gov.- Malloy
FL Gov.- Sink
IL Gov.- Brady
MN Gov.- Dayton
OR Gov.- Kitzhaber
OH Gov.- Kasich
RI Gov.- Chafee
SC Gov.- Haley
Recount all but certain in FL
“Vote early, vote often” is a quote variously attributed to three different Chicagoans: Al Capone, the famous gangster; Richard J. Daley, mayor from 1955 to 1976; and William Hale Thompson, mayor from 1915-1923 and 1931-1935. All three were notorious for their corruption and their manipulation of the democratic process…
CT Sen.- Blumenthal
DE Sen.- Coons
Gov – election night says Tanc <0.5% recount goes to Hick – Maes at 6% holding just enough votes to keep Tanc out in the end – largely because voters like my buddy that rents out my basement voted all R’s not knowing to vote Tanc.
Sen – Buck by 4
CD1 – Fallon does better than anyone in decades but that just means he loses by 10
CD2 – Bailey makes it more competitive than thought possible – meaning he loses by 9
CD3 – Tipton by 2
CD4 – Gardner by 9
CD5 – Lamborn by 12
CD6 – Coffman by 13
CD7 – My call for the closest race but goes similar to Gov – Perlmutter comes back during the recount to win by less than 250 votes
AG – Suthers in a yawner
SoS – Wave carries Gessler (undeservingly due to poor campaign) to a 2 point win
Treas – Stapleton by 1 – would be more except Kennedy has been a good treasurer but gets caught in the wave because of party line voting by Uaf’s that are rejecting Dems all over the ballot.
State House – R’s gain control
State Sen – R’s gain control
US House – 62 seats go R
US Senate – 9 seat swing – no Lieberman switch
He won by 23% in a race where Hal Bidlack ran with a lot of support and press. I haven’t even heard the name of the Dems sacrifice down here this year.
You must be really undercounting the R’s. Totally invalidates everything you say. 🙂
Sen.- Bennet by 1
Gov.- Hickenlooper by 9…Maes gets less than 10%
SOS- Gessler (this kills me) by 3
AG- Suthers by 10
Treas- Kennedy (could be projecting here) by 1
CO 3- Salazar by 1
CO 4- Gardner by 5
CO 6- Perlmutter by 4
Number ballot initiatives- All fail
Will be jumpy until the results are in…
Hick by 9, Maes > 10
Buck by 2
Suthers by 8
Stapleton by 1
Gessler by 4
Salazar by 4
Markey by 1 (recount necessary)
Perlmutter by 2
An interesting study, based on real numbers and statistics suggests that analysts are MSU about total seat losses not based on idividual polling in each race.
Let’s hope!
I still can’t stand the sick feeling in my stomach over the prospects of Senator Buck.
Hickenlooper/Garcia over Tancredo/Williams by 6
Buck over Bennet by 2.5
Stapleton over Kennedy by 3
Gessler over Buescher by 4
Suthers over Garnett by 7
DeGette in a walk
Polis over Bailey by 8
Salazar over Tipton by 2
Gardner over Markey by 4
Lamborn in a walk
Coffman in a walk
Perlmutter over Frazier by 2
Colorado House 34R 31D
Colorado Senate 18D 17R