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August 12, 2008 07:43 PM UTC

What we'll learn in CD-2 today

  • 1 Comments
  • by: indipol

1- Whether union backing matters in a district (and state) that has very little union representation.

2- Whether 5:1 spending matters when everybody (well, everybody rational and reasonable that is) agrees the ‘5’ is an attempt to buy the election.

3- How close the “expert elicitation” of Pols commenters is to the “expert” body the National Journal pulled together to predict a resounding Hillary Clinton win even after Obama crushed her on Super Tuesday.  (Last count has Joan winning by 5-10 with Will a very distant 3rd.)

4- How important the enviro block is for CD-2 and whether Polis has bought enough of Shafroth’s support from it.

5- Whether Shafroth’s go late and go positive strategy was a good idea or bad idea.

6- Whether Polis’ carpetbombing approach to name ID worked.

7- Whether political organizing and backing from well-organized groups (Fitz-Gerald) beats personality (Shafroth and Polis).

Comments

One thought on “What we’ll learn in CD-2 today

  1. 1. Yes. She came close despite being greatly outspent.

    2. Yes. One problem though, only insiders agree that it was a bought election. Voters in Adams county watching their TV had no clue who was spending what. They only knew hey had hear the name Polis.

    3. About right.

    4. Important, but not enough alone.

    5. Good idea. Although he lost, this was his best shot against two titans.

    6. It not only worked, it is the sole reason he won.

    7. No. Although I don’t think Jared won because of personality either.

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