RGA Walks Away From Beauprez

Republican gubernatorial candidate Bob Beauprez has been trailing Democrat Bill Ritter in the polls for months now, with the current margin somewhere between 15 and 17 points. Beauprez’s campaign is so far behind that they have apparently now been written off by the Republican Governors Association (RGA).

The RGA sent out an e-mail to supporters today outlining six states where they are fighting to win the governor’s seat: Iowa, Maine, Oregon, Illinois, Arkansas and Michigan. The list obviously isn’t made with traditional thoughts in mind, since several of those states are solidly blue, so there’s no reason Colorado wouldn’t be a natural fit…unless Beauprez’s candidacy is too far gone already.

Click below to read the RGA email sent out today…

Dear RGA Friend:

There are just thirty days to go until one of the most important and challenging election days we have ever faced, and several races for governor are going down to the wire. We thank you for all the support you’ve given the RGA and Republican Governors this year, but now more than ever we need YOUR help going into Election Day on November 7th.

The upcoming midterm elections are critical, and some of our targeted Governors races may end up being the bright spot for Republicans in 2006.

Because this election is so crucial, the RGA will be working with state Republican parties to deploy volunteers to six states to help campaign for Republican state and local candidates. Please note that although our sister national committees have fantastic deployment programs, they will not be to focusing on these states that the RGA is targeting. The lesson of the 2002 and 2004 Republican victories is that volunteer efforts the weekend prior to election day will make the difference between winning and losing close elections. We hope you will go to www.rga.org/volunteer [
http://www.rga.org/v… ] by October 16 to sign-up and volunteer to be deployed for this critical final four to six days. We will be sending people out to join the pre-election volunteer push on Thursday, Nov. 3rd and Friday, Nov. 4th. Flight, lodging, and a per diem will be provided.

[ ‘http://www.rga.org/v… ]

The RGA will be deploying individuals to volunteer for state party efforts in the following six states. All of them are states where a strong Republican ’72 Hour’ get-out-the-vote effort can make the difference between winning and losing:

Iowa: Iowa has had a Democratic governor for the last eight years, but it now represents our best chance to pick up a seat this election cycle.
Republican Congressman Jim Nussle is in a dead-heat in this only open Democratic seat against liberal Secretary of State Chet Culver. Your help is needed in Iowa!

Maine: State Senator Chandler Woodcock is within striking distance of ineffective Democratic Governor Baldacci who has led Maine’s economy into a virtual tailspin with nearly 0% job growth the past two years. The polls are within the margin of error, and the race will go down to the wire. Your help is needed in Maine!

Oregon: Republican Ron Saxton has managed to climb from a 14% point deficit to gaining a slight advantage over tax-and-spend Democratic Governor Kulongoski. Saxton now represents a great chance for GOP to pick-up a governorship in 2006. Because of its vote-by-mail program, a longer time commitment would be welcome in Oregon. Your help is needed in Oregon!

Illinois: Yes, Illinois! Scandal ridden Democratic Governor Blagojevich is surrounded by corruption, and Treasurer Judy Baar Topinka has begun to close quickly in the polls. She has positioned herself well to win in this
traditionally blue state in the final days. Your help is needed in Illinois!

Arkansas: Republican Asa Hutchinson is locked in a fierce battle with liberal Democratic Attorney General Mike Beebe. This is a critical GOP open
seat that has the candidates even in the polls and in fundraising. Your help is needed in Arkansas!

Michigan: Democratic Governor Jennifer Granholm has overseen one of the worst economies in the nation, and businessman Dick DeVos has articulated a plan to turn Michigan around. The polls here have oscillated for months making this race a true dead heat. Your help is needed in Michigan!

Once again, I would like to thank you for all of your help and support. Please sign-up before October 16 to volunteer for deployment at www.rga.org/volunteer [ ‘http://www.rga.org/v… ] !

Paid for by the Republican Governors Association | Not Authorized By Any Candidate Or Candidate Committee http://www.rga.org/  ‘http://www.rga.org/
]
======================= Paid for by the Republican Governors Association
1747 Pennsylvania Ave., N.W. Suite 250| Washington, D.C. 20006 p/(202)
662-4140 | f/(202) 662-4924

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22 Community Comments, Facebook Comments

  1. porridge says:

    Assuming this e-mail went to Colorado Republicans, the RGA will fly them out of state for GOTV efforts.  Very interesting!

    We will be sending people out to join the pre-election volunteer push on Thursday, Nov. 3rd and Friday, Nov. 4th. Flight, lodging, and a per diem will be provided.

  2. Go Blue says:

    Didn’t the Trailhead Group take a large check from the RGA?  I wonder if the RGA now regrets that contribution?

  3. Moonraker says:

    “Please note that although our sister national committees have fantastic deployment programs, they will not be to focusing on these states that the RGA is targeting.”

    The way I read that is:  those states don’t have as much congressional activity as Colorado does – so the RGA is trying to rally people in/for those states.  The RNC & NRCC already have a significant presence in Colorado so why blow precious resources there when other states could use a kick in the pants.  GOTV helps everyone, including governor.

    RGA is the biggist 527 in the country and Colorado isn’t the only swing (Gov) state left off the list.  That tells me that tightness in the polls isn’t their only criterion.

  4. WinstonSmith says:

    As much as I would like the margian to be 15-17, I think that is wrong based on recent polls. I think 10-15 would make more sense.

  5. FFF says:

    It is possible that they think Beauprez’s got it in the bag.  Or you’re just misreading it entirely and they’re helping Beauprez in ernest–but they’re focusing on other races listed in the memo.

    Since this is a red state and Beauprez should be the favorite, I can’t believe that they would sacrifice him for other races in very blue states.  Those states all have pretty squishy Republicans running (no mean conservatives) and they would be smart to consolidate power in red states.

    And this race is not 15+.  That’s wishful lefty stuff.  It’s probably close to 10 and in a conservative state like Colorado, that could be erased quickly.

    I’m curious is anyone knows how high to race is for the national dems.

  6. FFF says:

    How about Pawlenty in Minnesota and Ehrlich in Maryland.

    (and Crist in Florida and Perry in TX and the Nevada race).

    We all know you hold on to your currently held seats first before reaching into the grab bag.  You’ve simply misread the memo.  These are all seats that the GOP wants to gain since it stands to lose some.  Beauprez has been targeted by the RNC from day one and he’s going to have a whole lot more support whether from the RGA or not.

    This race is still tight, folks.  Ritter is in the lead but as I stated before, that could evaporate fast.

    • It remains to be seen, but I imagine the RNC has to be targeting this state for GOTV if for no other reason than to avoid massive losses in their Congressional races, as well as to push for a takeover of the State House.  I doubt they’ll be able to overcome the problems Beauprez has, though.

      I don’t see what you’re getting at regarding the other races you list, though.  Ehrlich’s going to be losing no matter how hard the GOP tries; Pawlenty’s in a tough battle in a state that’s going to also probably get RNC support due to the number of races up for grabs.  Perry and Crist are probably already winning and won’t get support anywhere.  So you’ve mentioned a scattering of races that don’t hold together for any reason in my mind.

    • poopiscomingout says:

      have been attacking for a month, and Ritter is still up by 15.  There hasn’t been evaporation yet.

      Maybe if Beauprez had a reason to vote FOR him, he might make some progress.  But since he’s completely failed at laying out any sort of agenda or vision for Colorado, it makes it kind of hard.

      Also, poor both ways and his fav/unfavs.  It’s hard to win elections when most people dislike you.

      • One Queer Dude says:

          Moonraker did once or twice post some of the Both Ways’ sound bites as to why someone should vote FOR Beauprez. 
          It was the traditional stuff about less taxes, less government, etc.  Didn’t even try to put much of a new spin on the old bromides. 
          But you can’t say he’s never given us a reason why someone might for him…..just almost never mentions it anymore!
          The plea bargains, the African motor vehicle accident and monkey meat stuff are much crowd pleasers from the Both Ways’ campaign perspective.

    • peterco says:

      From the letter: “This is a critical GOP open seat”

      GOP wants to hold Arkansas, not gain it.  And besides, in the polling in Arkansas has never shown Beebe without a lead over his Republican opponent.

      If you check pollster.com or RCP, you can see that these gov. races are closer than the Colorado one.  Even Wisconsin, which I would rate over Illinois, isn’t on there.  But then again, they have at least three congressional races that they need to keep hold of there, in comparison to one in Wisconsin.

      Ritter lead will go down, which pretty much everybody agrees on.  But as it stands, he only needs to sway some of the undecideds to win, not all of the undecided like BB does.

    • bobster1 says:

      Ehrlich and Steele are toast, Dems hold a 2:1 registration advantage in Maryland and most of those are federal workers and/or people with enough education to know Bush is a moron. You win Montgomery and Prince George’s Counties plus Baltimore and you’re done.

      If  the Republicans want to waste money in Maryland, one of the nation’s most expensive media markets, be my guest. 

      As for the Ritter comment, Mason Dixon showed only 11% undecided.  ‘nuf said.

  7. roll the idiots says:

    what further proof do you need that bb is going down?  what a useless waste of time and money….. nows the time to work hard to win back the house….. 

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