“You can never solve a problem on the level on which it was created.”
–Albert Einstein
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BY: notaskinnycook
IN: Weekend Open Thread
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BY: Lauren Boebert is a Worthless POS
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BY: Lauren Boebert is a Worthless POS
IN: Puppy-Killing Gov. Kristi Noem Cancels Jeffco GOP Fundraiser
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IN: Weekend Open Thread
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IN: Thursday Open Thread
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IN: Puppy-Killing Gov. Kristi Noem Cancels Jeffco GOP Fundraiser
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Daily Kos Elections group has their Q4 fund-raising numbers up. The 2 Colorado districts they list look like this ($in thousands):
DistrictNameParty ………………4Q ….Self-…Spent..Cash
CO-03James Iacino(D)………..$276….$19….$129…$166
CO-03Diane Mitsch Bush(D)..$138…..$0……$65…$258
CO-03Scott Tipton(R-inc)……$182……$0……$65…$530
CO-06Jason Crow(D-inc)……$430……$0…$155…$1,398
CO-06Steve House(R)………..$210….$87…..$50……$437
Are you registered?
Are your friends and neighbors?
What about the millions of non citizens you know?
https://www.sos.state.co.us/pubs/elections/vote/VoterHomeMobile.htm
2020 Presidential primary ballots in the mail next weekend.
I am unaware of any prize for voting first – but it's my goal.
Where I first voted, after you voted you could get a free beer/shot/pickled egg at the corner bar. 6am
@FiveThirtyEight Forecast
best chance of winning (most delegates):
Sanders:
New Hampshire
Nevada
California
Texas
North Carolina
Virginia
Massachusetts
Minnesota
Colorado
Tennessee
Oklahoma
Arkansas
Utah
Maine
Vermont
Biden:
South Carolina
Alabama
Biden should antagonize the president. And the Senate.
He has already stopped fundraising
Bernie Sanders raises a staggering $25 million in January to fuel Super Tuesday push
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/05/bernie-sanders-january-fundraising-fuels-super-tuesday-ad-buy.html
Vote D.
Well, South Carolina and Alabama flipped today in the 538 prediction model to Sanders.
I was saving that for happy hour tonight
Meanwhile- if the other candidates and Dems are concerned – famously moderate Senator M Bennet is in NH, fresh off 50 townhalls and ready to go
DU's Seth Masket in this morning's New York Times predicts that Trump's strategy will be to play to his personal strengths — making the campaign into a pig-wrestling contest. Naturally, he's the pig.
Good news on the electibility front.
Al Capone was an piker amateur when it came to jury rigging.
Elizabeth Warren is the remaining moderate in the Democratic Party. Well, she will be once Buttigieg, Biden and Klobuchar exit.
As we all know Warren was a Republican before she became a Democrat.
She also created the CFPB, which is the kind of reform capitalism needs, whether the "Capitains of Industry" know it or not.
It is fine that she is running on Medicare For All, aka Single Payer, but it is obvious that the first legislation out of Congress will be a robust public option.
Michael Bennet is considered moderate.
Fifty townhalls and reasonable media buy in New Hampshire.
I know, I know
But he got just as many Iowa delegates as Biden and Klobuchar. Combined.
Ok, it was a theory, or something . . .
On attendance & enthusiasm:
Numerous canvassing volunteers I read about said there was a large number of people they encountered who said "any Democrat will do" — and thus weren't concerned enough to attend the caucuses. Similarly, there apparently were a number of people they contacted who took the position " my #1 concern is health care, and they are all in favor of at least maintaining the health insurance I rely on."
I just don't sense nearly as much concern about "the future of the party" — for many, that is something to fight over when Trump is gone.
Yep. Bernie Sanders ain’t no Barack Obama in so many ways, including Sanders’ inability to turnout large numbers of voters. I wonder if the NH media will finally nail his ass on how he intends to pay for his $50 Trillion in campaign promises.
And “Vote D” is not going to cut it. 😭
Rich people will pay for the $50 trillion in campaign promises.
Just like Mexico is paying for the wall.
Yep. It's hard out here for a pimp.
If You Think It’s Bad for Mainstream Democrats Now, Just Wait
✓ Only campaign with more donations than Trump
✓ Beating Trump by 7 points in 26 polls
✓ Fastest campaign ever to reach 1 million donors
No one wants to talk about the numbers for universal healthcare.
$50t?
$500t?
The conversation should be had.
https://www.sanders.senate.gov/download/medicare-for-all-2019-financing?id=860FD1B9-3E8A-4ADD-8C1F-0DEDC8D45BC1&download=1&inline=file
Vote D or start telling everyone 4MORE!
Actually, no one wants to talk about the numbers for NON-universal healthcare?
$60T?
$600T?
I took your numbers and added in the profit margin required by the private insurance industry:
Medicare overhead is 5%
Private Insurance overhead is 25%
Math class is tough.
Let's go shopping. ~ Barbie Roberts
Medicare is a little under that.
Many private insurance are closer to 30. At least one is closer to 35 (though the accounting games since ACAmake it hard to measure.)
And then there are the margins for all the imaging centers, hospitals, neuro monitoring providers, anesthesiologists, and etc, etc etc.
Currently, "The ACA caps the company's profit margin at 15% in the large group market and 20% in the small group and individual markets." Any source saying that some insurance companies are more equal than others and can go above those limits?
Unless M4A is going to nationalize health care providing institutions in addition to health care insurance providers, some margins for services are going to continue. Perhaps with some reduction — which will serve as some disincentive to the medical care providers. But on the other hand, Medicare/Medicaid will no longer be able to charge as low a price and have the private insurance payments subsidize them. Health policy sources I've read say the current Medicare reimbursements will need to be increased 5-10% to reach a break even point.
ACA says insurance company has to pay out 85% of premiums for health care services
Not exactly the same as a cap on margin, but I get what you're saying
Oddly, many large insurance companies generate revenue from other than premiums.
I think United Healthcare owns a tractor manufacturer in Japan.
Sanders is one freakin hard sell, particularly when everyone learns they have to give up their healthcare (which will piss off a fair number of voters) and how much their taxes will be raised (which will piss off nearly everyone).
Please, please don’t make this any harder than it is. (Trump apparently has his highest approval numbers. Put that in your pipe…)
The Democratic party sucks.
The D presidential nominating process sucks and has since way before 1968.
But the party claims to want empowerment and equal opportunity for everyone.
I didn’t choose Dukakis, I voted for him. And encouraged everyone else to.
I didn’t choose Clinton – I voted for him.And encouraged everyone else to.
I didn’t choose Gore or Kerry. I voted for them and encouraged everyone else to.
I helped choose Obama. And voted for him every chance I got and encouraged everyone else to.
I didn’t choose Clinton and I voted for her and encouraged everyone else to.
This time through I wanted Harris. There were dozens of other good to great candidates – Warren, Bennet, Booker, Castro, Inslee, Bullock, Warren, and others.
If we get Sanders – I will vote for him and encourage everyone else to.
Until now – Ds never really had to worry about the presidential nominee. Worst case, the super delegates would fix everything.
But now the super delegates get an invite to Milwaukee. They get to be on committees and they have phone numbers and emails. They don’t get to vote ont he first ballot. The Democratic 2020 Delegate Selection Process is democratic.
Any D can vote or caucus. And people are freaking the fuck out.
Chill, Ringo.
Everyone votes D so we get rid of Trump.
Console yourself that neither the Senate nor House will legislate or fund anything crazy. Allow Justice Bader Ginsburg and other other sane federal judge the peace of some retirement opportunity. 2022 midterms will be in full swing 12-14 months after inauguration.
Nobody has to give up their healthcare.
As previously noted: Nobody has to give up their healthcare.
Obviously, changes to health insurance will come from legislation in Congress. The duty of the presidential candidate is to run an inspirational campaign in order to get elected. Let the most inspirational candidate win!
The Dem candidates are ALL advocating for strengthening the government's role in health INSURANCE somewhere between a more robust Public Option to MFA Single Payer. None of them are advocating socialized health CARE, as exemplified by the VA. Remember that in the Clinton & Obama era strong health insurance reforms were compromised down, down and deeper down without getting any Republican support.
I see the whole argument as a no-brainer:
All Congress needs to do is create a robust Public Option during the new President's first term. Private insurance will inevitably wither away because it costs 20-25% more than the Public Option, plus it belongs to YOU, not your company.
I put that in my pipe and I’m sensing Bloomberg/ Stacy Abrams. Maybe we can win two GA Senate seats.
Gardner. Collins. Kelly.
+ one or two others
Billionaire/Stacey, I don't think so. Although you are pointing out that the VP needs to complement the Presidential candidate in several ways. Billionaire gains the ticket only if the DNC puts their thumbs on the scale or as a result of magic delegates coming in on the second ballot in a hung convention.
Taking the candidates in present order:
Sanders/Abrams? Sanders/Harris?
Biden/Abrams or Biden/Harris ticket would be interesting, and I could support that as Biden would be too old to run for a second term. Not likely though, as I think Biden is toast. He represents the politics of the 1980s, and can't even inspire White people in Iowa.
Buttegeig/Anybody? I can't imagine who would complement Buttegeig. Biden? Kerry? Hillary Clinton? Obviously, it would have to be an "elder statesman", which probably means man because Clinton is radioactive (Which is unfortunate, because I think she is super-smart and experienced).
Warren/Stacey? Warren/Harris? Which VP should be set up for the future. Warren could pull off a woman/woman ticket, so I think the complement of Abrams or Harris works for her.
Klobucher/Whoknows. Probably has to be a man, and might-should be African American which leaves Booker, but I don't think that helps her campaign. In reality, she would need a strong representative of the liberal wing, which means Sanders (DOA) or Warren (maybe, but does that really help her?).
Seriously — any speculation about VP is 4-5 months early.
But for silliness — Buttigieg possibilities, depending on the focus groups and strategizing.
* Buttigieg/Bloomberg, allowing the ticket to self fund and demonstrating administrative competence for the transition and early time in office. [And their first and last names have the same number of letters, so graphic design can be symmetrical.] Pete could go full throttle on the "inspirational" tones and have Bloomberg organize to handle the details.
* Buttigieg/Klobuchar — giving Buttigieg a chance to say SOMEONE at the top of his campaign knows how DC works and can be the liaison to Congress and the national party. And their last names have the same number of letters, do graphic design…..
* Buttigieg/Duckworth — the veterans preference ticket. And their last names have the same number of letters ….
Good luck everyone!
This makes me sad. Virology is not witchcraft.
pro life is pro vax
PresidentExtortionist Ttump has “learned his lesson” . . .. . . Yep, and how!
Maybe it's fake news.
Probably NY is a sanctuary for illegally immigrating underwear models.
And once there was an underwear bomb.
So, her emails and the president is just making us all safer.
It was a perfect call – and then a Ukraine bound flight blows up. See?
Thank you, Susan Collins, you idiot
That's Senator idiot Susan Collins.
But she's moderate, so it's all good