Colorado campaign for change offices flooded with volunteers

From the Colorado for Obama blog:

November 4th may feel like it’s still a ways off, but Coloradans are feeling the fierce urgency of now and are working hard to make sure that Barack wins the Rocky Mountain state. This weekend, thousands of people across the state knocked on doors and made phone calls – reaching out to tens of thousands of Coloradans and telling them about why this election is so important.

Even when the weekend finished, the offices were still swarming with volunteer — showing the commitment and excitement Colorado has about the election.

At 10:00 yesterday morning, dozens of volunteers were making phone calls, being trained on data entry and getting ready to knock on doors.

After spending six hours in volunteering yesterday, LaVerne arrived this morning before the staff even got to the office. She said:

We were so excited about this campaign — so it doesn’t matter what time of day it is, we’re fired up and ready to go.

And even given the early hour of the day, LaVerne said her phone calls were still helping out the campaign:

It’s been great talking to fellow Coloradans about the election and getting involved with the campaign. The first phone call I made today was this man who was really excited to find out he could volunteer.

If you want to get involved in the campaign, visit your local Colorado Campaign for Change office .

Obama wants “full vote” for MI, FL Delegates.

In a letter today Barack Obama stated that he wants to see all of the delegates from both FL and MI seated with full voting rights.

“I believe party unity calls for the delegates from Florida and Michigan to be able to participate fully alongside the delegates from the other states and territories” he said in a letter to the co-chairs of the Democratic National Convention’s Credentials Committee.

(CNN… )

More after the fold.

Florida Democratic Party Chairwoman Karen Thurman said, “Today is a proud day for all of us who fought so hard to ensure Floridians votes are fully counted.”

She said Obama’s request proves “his commitment to uniting the party and ending the uncertainty surrounding the process.”

(AP… )

Clinton responded by reiterating her support for Florida and Michigan delegates having a full vote.

“The Democratic Party has always stood up for the principle of counting every person’s vote,” Clinton said in a statement today. Obama’s stance “is the right position for the Democratic Party and for the country.”

(… )

Do you think this will...

View Results

Loading ... Loading ...

“Tasteless and offensive” or satirically hilarious?

You’ve seen the cover of next week’s New Yorker, so what do you think?  Is it a brilliantly executed satire of many people’s ignorance of the junior Senator from Illinois and his wife, or a “tasteless and offensive”…and dare I say racist…depiction Mr. and Mrs. Obama?  Or, as Grandpa Simpson might say, “a little from column A, a little from column B.”…

Please vote in the always scientifically accurate Pols poll.  🙂

I personally find it funny…not LOL or ROTFL funny…but at least worthy of a chuckle.  Of course, I also love political satire because some people get it, some just get pissed off.

So who is right here?  Funny?  Offensive?  Both?  Neither?  Who knows…

What do you think of the New Yorker's cover cartoon?

View Results

Loading ... Loading ...

Monday Veepstakes – Obama Edition

( – promoted by Colorado Pols)

When Tim Russert asked John McCain whether he’d consider being George Bush’s running mate in 2000, the Arizona senator gave  this answer:

No. No way. The vice president has two duties. One is to inquire daily as to the health of the president, and the other is to attend the funerals of third world dictators. And neither of those do I find an enjoyable exercise


Still, someone’s going to jump at the chance to be either McCain or Barack Obama’s running mate this fall. Both campaigns are vetting the usual suspects and floating unusual trial balloons. Karl Rove  suggested yesterday that McCain should pick Mitt Romney and Obama should pick Joe Biden. NPR’s Ken Rudin casts a wide net this week when he handicaps Obama’s possibilities. After the standard caveats that the vice president rarely has a measurable impact on the outcome of the election, Rudin notes that the choice itself can send a powerful signal about a nominee’s strengths, weaknesses, judgment and electoral strategy.

It’s time for Polsters to weigh in. (For what it’s worth, the latest buzz is that both candidates have made their selections and could announce them tomorrow, but both will hew to the standard vetting exercise to mollify groups in each of their parties.) Make your selection based on whichever criteria you like – best electoral boost, most qualified to be a heartbeat away, encapsulates the candidate’s vision, sews up troublesome elements of the base, keeps a crucial state in play, names look great on a bumpersticker.

A (lengthy) poll follows.

Who will Obama pick? Who should Obama pick? Someone on this list or a wildcard yet unnamed?

I’ve tried to round up all the serious mentions, including a few who have said they don’t want the job and some who are long-shots at best, but doubtless have missed someone. Discuss other possibilities in the comments below.

Choices are in alphabetical order.

Obama's running mate will be

View Results

Loading ... Loading ...

Re: Obama’s VP – The Case Against a Westerner


Being from the West, we’d all love to see someone represent.

But that ain’t gonna happen.  

2 Reasons:

1. A westerner will have limited impact on the electoral college

2. We’re great people, but our current politicians aren’t as highly qualified.

1. I’m sure, or hope at least, that Obama’s people are counting the electoral votes before choosing the VP, and I’m sure they realize that a Westerner won’t change the game out here… much.

In reality, there are only four states in play to switch: Colorado(9), Nevada(5), New Mexico(5), and possibly, Montana(3). The theory is that a Western Guv at Obama’s side would change some or all of these over to the Dems, for a total of 22.  Which, plus 2004 results, is enough for a V.

However, it doesn’t work like that.  New Mexico is going to the Obama column regardless of the VP.  And if it doesn’t, its because something terrible has come out, and he’ll lose the election in a landslide.

Montana is likely the reverse; it’ll go McCain unless he loses in a landslide. Plus, its worth a measly 3 points.  

As for Colorado and Nevada, they really are toss-ups and a Western Guv might help here, for a combined 14 points. Currently, Nevada is still leaning red, and a Westerner might put the state in play.  

Colorado is currently leaning Dem, and I don’t think that a Westerner is needed to give it too Obama.  Given the combined excitement behind Obama/Udall and the lack thereof for McCain/Schaffer, this state is looking to be flipped, without a Schweitzer.

So, to me, it seems that a Schweitzer could possibly affect 14 points, but more likely not.

2. Simply put, Obama’s biggest fault is his experience/foreign policy, which we also lack.  Picking a Westerner will hurt Obama elsewhere (east), because of this fault.  Not to mention, those states are far more important than us.  Sorry guys.  

An industrial Midwest candidate would help defend Michigan, which McCain is trying to put into play, and the obvious biggie, Ohio. Someone from the East could put into play Virginia and defend the NE.  

The West will be in play, even without one of us on the ticket.  

What is most important for Obama's VP?

View Results

Loading ... Loading ...

AP Reports Obama Has Clinched Nomination

( – promoted by Colorado Pols)

UPDATE:  Everyone is now reporting Obama has it.

The AP is reporting that Obama has attained enough delegates to claim the nomination.

Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois sealed the Democratic presidential nomination Tuesday, a historic step toward his once-improbable goal of becoming the nation’s first black president. A defeated Hillary Rodham Clinton maneuvered for the vice presidential spot on his fall ticket.

Poll follows break.

Will Hillary take the VP Slot?

View Results

Loading ... Loading ...

Hillary to Concede Tonight?

UPDATE: Clinton denies rumor.


Hillary Rodham Clinton will concede Tuesday night that Barack Obama has the delegates to secure the Democratic nomination, campaign officials said, effectively ending her bid to be the nation’s first female president.

The former first lady will stop short of formally suspending or ending her race in her speech in New York City. She will pledge to continue to speak out on issues like health care. But for all intents and purposes, the two senior officials said, the campaign is over.

Most campaign staff will be let go and will be paid through June 15, said the officials who spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to divulge her plans.

Democrats and Winner Take All Primaries

With all the differences that exists between Republicans and Democrats politically, it’s easy to overlook the differences between the respective parties’ nomination processes.  Republican delegates are awarded in a variety of ways ranging from proportional allocations, to winners of specific congressional districts, to the winner-take-all system.  Democrats are more consistent, with delegates generally awarded proportionately if a candidate gets more then 15% of the voter (yes, there are exceptions).  

So what would happen if the Dems awarded delegates more like Republicans?  What if they used a winner take all system?  The result may surprise you.…

This RasmussenReports story shows how a simple change in how delegates are awarded would change the dynamics of this race.

As RasmussenReports points out, no one is trying to say that the rules should change for this race (but as a Haners side question, would you put it past Hillary to try?), my question to everyone is simple: should Democrats switch to a winner-take-all system for awarding delegates?

Poll follows….

Should Democrats award delegates on a winner-take-all system?

View Results

Loading ... Loading ...

Boulder County Convention – what it means

Update: I have the various results I am aware of here. Anyone who knows additional numbers, please email me.

Ok, we had the convention, what does it all mean? This is what I see as the major items, after sleeping on it.

First off, the Boulder Democratic party is incredibly well run. I can’t say enough how impressed I am with how smoothly the whole thing ran. Major kudos to Deb Gardner and her entire crew. You did the impossible and made it look easy. (Deb Gardner for governor in 2014?)

Here is what I think is the biggest data point from yesterday – well over 90% of the attendees are not party activists. Everyone was talking about how 95% had never attended a county convention before but Claire Levy was in that group and I think we have to count her as an activist. The important data point is that most of these people probably could not have named the 3 amigos. They were there to vote for Obama or Clinton and the rest was other stuff they were also asked to do.

Which means, having the party base on your side was good for maybe 5% of the vote. In fact, not everyone there will bother to vote in the August primary. But I think it is reasonable to say that the results are a good indicator of how a primary vote would play out if it was held today. So let’s drop the “candidate X had an insider advantage” because that wasn’t worth much.


Ok, this was easily the biggest surprise of the day. Rollie had the backing of most of the activists. And Cindy had recently been busy shooting herself in the foot. So everyone thought the questions was "would Cindy hit 30%?" And Cindy won with 53%. This totally changes the race.

I think the speeches of each candidate had a gigantic effect here. First off Rollie’s way of carrying himself reinforces his age negatively – and that has an impact. Rollie also gave a very deliberate speech where he listed the issues we face, but did not sell us that he has the skills and the ideas to address them. He may very well have all that, but he has to convince and sell it.

Cindy got up there and had energy and drive and threw out the one-liners that gave the crowd the red meat it wanted to hear. Personally I tend to be driven away by that as I worry it means the candidate is all sizzle and no steak. But the crowd ate it up (or at least 53% did).

I think for Rollie to win he’s going to have to shift gears big time and come across as energetic, impassioned, and dive into why he has the skills to address the issues we face, and do so in a way that gets across in quick sound-bites.

I think for Cindy to win she needs to push for as many live debates as possible and just keep improving her presentation. I wish it didn’t work this way but if you can sell the sizzle well, it’s very effective. And she can sell it.

Oh, and so far I am under-impressed with both. Hopefully the campaign will give one a chance to show they will be a strong effective contributor in the legislature.


Will Shafroth is toast. He’s a nice guy, I think he would make a good rep, and he has 0 traction. Anyone who supported Will, plus any who just couldn’t decide, added up to 4% of the vote. It’s not there. And the thing is, Will’s resume does not stack up to Joan’s or Jared’s and voters do want to have a track record as past effort is a good indicator of future effort. (I’d love to see Will switch to SD-18, he would rock in that race and a couple of terms in the state house would give him a great list of accomplishments to point to.)

And again, lets go back to this was not the party activists. Will was given a slot to speak before the CD-2 vote. He presented his case with an equal shot to Joan & Jared, to a group that is reasonably representative of the voters in the upcoming primary, and it didn’t resonate.

Jared’s got a tough road ahead of him. 40% among party activists would have been a great accomplishment. Across all the counties (Adams & Boulder being the big dogs) I think Jared is at a hair under 40%. Figure if Will stays in it will be Joan at 55% and if Will drops out Joan at 60% and this means Jared is in serious trouble.

On the flip side, this is no worse than where John McCain and Barack Obama were 5 months before the presidential primaries started (and Huckabee was an asterisk). Jared has 5 months to change the dynamics and a week is a lifetime in politics.

What Jared needs to do is to find something that resonates big-time with the electorate. And based on how Jared approaches the race (and life), he will keep trying. So I think he’s a bit down now, but definitely not out and still has a decent chance.

Joan is rocking. I really enjoy watching a professional who performs their job brilliantly regardless of what that job is. Joan is a joy to watch in action. What Joan needs to do to win is continue executing perfectly (or close to it).

I support Jared but I find all three candidates (and their staffs) to be very impressive.

Mark Udall

Be afraid, be very afraid. We had Mark’s wife presenting for Mark. We had Ken Salazar (has he ever been seen without his cowboy hat?) talking about Mark. We had several others discussing the Senate race. And the single reason they gave for electing Mark is to flip a Senate vote from Republican to Democratic.

Now this is a very strong reason as there are numerous times in the Senate right now that critical measures fail by 1 vote. And every Dem will vote for Mark come November.

But this does not lead to a charged up base. This does not lead to volunteers. This does not lead to donations. And this does not give the unaffiliated, the voters that decide the election, a good reason to vote for Mark. Moderates prefer a divided government and so many could easily balance their vote for Obama/Clinton with one for Schaffer.

If Mark continues down this road I worry that he will lose most of the moderates and be left with mostly those who will vote for the Democratic candidate regardless of who it is. That is a losing proposition in Colorado.

To win Mark needs to start actively campaigning on why people should be charged up to vote for him. To get the base energized and to get the middle sold. And he needs to get his ass in gear yesterday.


I saw no ground game there for Obama. On the flip side the Clinton campaign was there in force – big time. The Clinton campaign sent Wellington Webb in person (and boy is he good). I even had one person handing out some Obama flier tell me that they had it in the bag.

This is not won yet. I worry, not just for the primary, but for the general election too. Whichever candidate wins, they need to fight for the general nomination down to the last second and for every single vote. As an Obama delegate, worrisome…

Once we have a nominee…

There’s a lot of people worrying about what happens once we have a nominee, be it Obama or Clinton. Every time someone spoke to this issue and how we had to line up and support the winner, the place erupted in cheers. I don’t think we need to worry on this count. (One suggestion, regardless of who wins, put Wellington Webb up on the stage to speak to this issue – immediately.)

How to get Elected as a Delegate 101

I got a comment earlier saying they hoped I voted for all 87 slots. Are you kidding? I knew maybe 5 people on the ballot. I voted for myself, Claire Levy and Suze Ageton (both quality politicians), and a college freshman who is a friend of one of my daughters (and will be a good delegate).

But I realized that most others there were in the same predicament – they knew a couple of people and that was it. So I went around and traded votes. I said I was blogging and would appreciate their vote. And without exception people said they would vote for me if I would vote for them. And I happily did so.

So I voted for about 30 people knowing absolutely nothing about what kind of delegate they would be in exchange for their vote for me. Vote trading pure and simple. (In fact my daughter’s friend did the same – "Dave, vote for me and I’ll vote for you.") My guess is that will put me near the top in votes.

So we all condemn politicians for the horse trading inherent in getting legislation moved forward. But when it came time for me to get sent to the state convention, I did the same thing, pure & simple.

Also posted at Liberal and Loving It

Non-Binding? Not So Fast

UDPATE: We just got an interesting email from former Denver mayor Wellington Webb to Colorado Clinton supporters about the county caucuses, notably including a request for nondelegate “volunteers to play an important role.” Below the fold.

We hear that the campaign of Democratic Presidential contender Barack Obama has dispatched a team of outside organizers to Colorado in advance of Saturday’s county assemblies in Denver and Adams counties.

With Obama and Hillary Clinton running neck-and-neck, the nomination may come down to only a handful of delegates. That close race should change the appearance of major Democratic county assemblies on Saturday and next week as well, as Obama and Clinton supporters work to change the minds of non-binding delegates selected during the Feb. 5 caucus – and to hold their own delegates in the process. Obama may have outperformed Clinton in Colorado last month, but neither can afford to give up any delegates at this point.

Dear Friend,

Hillary has won big across the nation with resounding victories Tuesday in Texas, Ohio and Rhode Island. This race is close, and every vote and every delegate matters.

You worked so hard leading up to the Colorado Caucus on February 5, but the delegate selection process is not over. County conventions will be happening over the course of the next few weeks. Many of the largest county conventions will be this Saturday, March 8, and Hillary still needs your help to make sure your votes count.

Will you help Hillary one more time at your county convention? If you were selected to be a delegate or an alternate delegate we need you to stand up for Hillary so she can stand up for all of us in the White House. It is very important that you attend.

If you were not selected to be a delegate, we still need your help! We need volunteers to play an important role at the caucus.

Click here to get details on your County Convention.

Whether your caucus elected you to be a delegate, whether you signed up to be an alternate, or whether you just want to come be part of history, we need you!

You can also make a big impact by calling your local delegates here and reminding them to show up to the caucus. Our online calling tool is easy to use and you can make a big difference by making sure the delegates you chose in February show up for Hillary.

We put our heart and souls into February. Now let’s honor that work with a resounding victory at your county caucuses.

Come make history. Come to the convention. Make phone calls. Elect Hillary.

Click here to find your county caucus.

Thank you for your support and participation.


Mayor Wellington E. Webb

Huge Crowds for Obama

And great press, too. Both The Denver Post and the Rocky Mountain News had front page items on Obama’s visit yesterday. From The Post:

Barack Obama attracted a massive crowd to the University of Denver on Wednesday, telling 18,000 packed into a hockey arena and two overflow sites that he is the presidential candidate who can unite this country.

Elet Valentine and her 13-year-old daughter, Amani, started the line of attendees at 4:30 a.m., huddling against the cold outside Magness Arena. It would be four frigid hours before the doors opened, and by then thousands snaked in two directions through the campus.

Once the arena’s 9,500-person capacity limit was met, another 4,500 were shunted into a gym that had been reserved for a staging and logistics area. Once that was filled, another 4,000 swamped a lacrosse field to listen to Obama’s speech – which started shortly after 11 a.m. – piped in through loudspeakers.

Obama Leading in Colorado by 2!

( – promoted by Colorado Pols)

The latest Mason-Dixon poll for Colorado shows:


Obama 34%

Clinton 32%

Edwards 17%


Romney 43%

McCain 24%

Huckabee 17%

Paul 5%

Giuliani 4%

Obama/Clinton is within the margin of error but Obama’s numbers will probably improve a bit with the SC bounce.

Romney appears to have Colorado sewn up. And poor pathetic Giuliani will lose to Ron Paul one more time. This guy had the lead at one time???

ps – I did not say good guys/bad guys because some of our Republican friends here are very sensitive to that.

Obama Hits the Airwaves in Colorado

We hear that Democratic Presidential candidate Barack Obama will begin airing ads on television tonight.

Obama would become the first Presidential candidate with a television presence in the Denver market, which signifies a couple of things:

1. Colorado will play a significant role in the Presidential race on February 5. There are a lot of states with primaries on that day, and it says a lot about Colorado’s importance for Obama’s campaign to go on TV here this early.

2. The Democratic race in Colorado is up for grabs. Obama has great fundraising ability, but no campaign can afford to waste resources in states where they are either too far ahead or too far behind. Obama’s camp obviously feels as though Colorado is winnable for them…but they must also believe that they still have work to do. The Democratic race will be fun to watch in Colorado.

Perlmutter Endorses Obama

Congressman Ed Perlmutter on Tuesday formally endorsed Democrat Barack Obama for President. Click below for the full press release from Tuesday.

Today, Congressman Ed Perlmutter announced he is endorsing Sen. Barack Obama for President.  Below is Congressman Perlmutter’s statement:

“Colorado’s caucuses are less than one month away on February 5, 2008. In advance of this important date, I feel it is the right time to endorse the candidate that has captured my imagination and represents the promise of hope and change for our country.

I have the highest respect for all of the Presidential candidates and their courage to run and stand up for their values and fight for our country’s future.  I will fight for whomever is the Democratic nominee.  It is no easy task to spend countless hours on the road, away from family, in the spotlight, pushing themselves to the brink to find solutions to our most pressing problems and inspire all of us to participate in this great democracy.

I have known Sen. Obama since 2006, and my family has known him for many years. He is a leader who will fight for the same change I am fighting for — making sure the hard working people of America have the opportunities to get ahead; making critical investments in renewable and alternative energy technologies, education and healthcare; working to keep our nation safe and secure; and restoring hope and optimism across this country.

I am honored to support Sen. Obama, and I look forward to working with him when he is the next President of the United States.”

First Presidential Office in Colorado Opens

From The Denver Post:

Finally. Colorado has its first presidential campaign office. Thirteen months before the general election, Democrat Barack Obama’s team of 10 paid staffers has set up shop on Denver’s Santa Fe Drive in the back of an unglamorous suite of offices held by the Newsed Community Development Corp. The site is two blocks from state Democratic headquarters.

Hillary the Most Electable Democrat?

In the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination, John Edwards has staked much of his strategy on the premise that he is the “most electable” Democrat in a general election.

But an interesting breakdown of polling by The Washington Post indicates that Democrats may not be buying that message…

We start with the horse race numbers in the NBC/WSJ poll. Clinton led with 44 percent followed by Sen. Barack Obama (Ill.) at 23 percent, and former Sen. John Edwards (N.C.) at 16 percent. No other candidate received more than four percent of the vote. That poll, in the field from Sept. 7-10, mirrored the results of the previous NBC/WSJ poll in July that had Clinton at 43 percent, Obama at 22 percent and Edwards at 13 percent.

But, the NBC/WSJ survey conducted in April showed a far different race, with Clinton narrowly leading Obama, 36 percent to 31 percent, while Edwards took 20 percent. A look further inside the numbers suggest electability may have something to do with that change.

When Democrats (or those who said they would vote in a Democratic primary) were asked in April “Which candidate has the best chance to defeat the Republican candidate and win back the White House,” 39 percent said Clinton while 32 percent said Obama and 22 percent named Edwards.

Five months later, 54 percent said Clinton was the Democrat best able to beat a Republican in the general election, a gain of 15 points over that time. Obama, meanwhile, dropped 14 points down to 18 percent while Edwards fell seven points to 15 percent.

Those numbers jibe with two surveys conducted by the Washington Post over the summer — one a national poll, the other of Iowa Democrats.

Gary Hart Mad at The Economist

From M.E. Sprengelmeyer’s Back Roads to the White House blog:

Former Sen. Gary Hart of Colorado couldn’t hold his fire when The Economist, in a piece on Sen. Barack Obama, boiled down Hart’s past runs for president into one dismissive sentence.

“The Democratic Party has a long history of anti-establishment candidates, such as Eugene McCarthy and Gary Hart, who surged to prominence on talk of ‘new politics’ only to collapse in confusion.”

Hart, never one to suffer things trite and simplistic, fired back with a letter to the editor first noticed by Ben Smith at The Politico.

Someone who was there SIR – Were Lexington not so insistent on mischaracterising an ancient campaign of mine, I would refrain from responding (April 14th). But, alas, to write that my presidential campaign of 1984 “surged to prominence…only to collapse in confusion” is to misstate the facts, yet again. To clarify the history: as a long-odds dark-horse candidate, I won more than 25 primaries and caucuses, including all of New England, Florida and parts of the South, seven of nine Super Tuesday states, and all the western states, including the largest, California. Those victories produced 1,200 delegates to the Democratic National Convention and, had it not been for non-elected “super delegate” party figures, could well have produced a nomination against almost insurmountable odds. So much for collapsing in confusion.

Gary Hart

Kittredge, Colorado

Hillary Maintains Top Spot in Pols Poll

We’ve been polling Colorado Pols readers once a month and asking who you think will end up with the respective nominations for President. By asking the question this way, rather than asking who you support, we can all get a good idea of the perception of particular campaigns in Colorado.

Yesterday we showed you the results of four months of polling on the Republican side.

Now here’s the rundown of all four polls side-by-side (PDF) for the DEMOCRATIC candidates. As you can see, there’s been a lot less movement here than on the Republican side.  Colorado Pols readers have consistently believed that Hillary Clinton would win the Democratic nomination, and Al Gore has consistently been in fourth place. Barack Obama and John Edwards seem to trade off the second-place position.

Obama Raises $25 Million

From The Washington Post

Democrat Barack Obama raked in $25 million for his presidential bid in the first three months of 2007, placing him on a par with front-runner Hillary Rodham Clinton and dashing her image as the party’s inevitable nominee.

The donations came from an eye-popping 100,000 donors, the campaign said in a statement.

The figure was the latest evidence that Obama, a political newcomer who has served just two years in the Senate, has emerged as the most powerful new force in presidential politics this year. It also reinforced his status as a significant threat to Clinton, who’d hoped her own $26 million first quarter fundraising total would begin to squeeze her rivals out of contention.

The campaign reported that the figure included at least $23.5 million that he can spend on the highly competitive primary race. The Clinton campaign has yet to disclose how much they can use for the primary verses money that is designated for the general election.

Jason Bane, Kevin McCasky, Kevin McCaskey