President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Kamala Harris
(R) Donald Trump
80%↑
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) V. Archuleta
98%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Marshall Dawson
95%
5%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd
(D) Adam Frisch
52%↑
48%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(D) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank
(D) River Gassen
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) John Fabbricatore
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen
(R) Sergei Matveyuk
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
52%↑
48%↓
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
April 14, 2009 07:13 PM UTC
37 Comments
If the GOP best-case comes true it would be a net pickup of 16 states.
But what’s interesting is that even in their wildest dreams, they don’t see Colorado as a pickup.
Linda Lingle was due to a perfect storm and her 8 years in office has not improved things for the Repubs there. On the Dem side you have Neil Abercrombie who is really well liked throughout the state and has held one of the 2 congressional seats there forever.
Time to institute drug testing at the RNC: WA doesn’t even have a governor’s race in 2010. Gregoire was re-elected in 2008.
True, and IIRC there are about 16 or so more states that run gubernatorial elections with the presidential. Some of them must also show as switching from Dem to ‘pub on that map.
Makes absolutely no sense.
Washington doesn’t have a Governor’s race in ’10. Nor does Montana. Nor North Carolina. Nor Missouri. Nor Delaware. All are Dem held right now.
Wow. Shoddy work.
Projection-wise, as well, this means they think that Ritter is less vulnerable than an open Governor’s race in Hawaii (the 2nd most Dem state in the country), Rhode Island (the 3rd), or Nevada (where their Governor is going through a nasty divorce and his Lt. Gov has been indicted).
Color me confused.
they have the best wizards on the case.
I can’t believe they let their logo get imprinted on this amateur hour piece of work! The Republican Governors Association doesn’t even know what governor seats are/aren’t up. That doesn’t leave anyone with the sense they have a grasp of their core mission.
There’s a real good chance a lot of the provinces will swing republican in 2010 as well.
Those b******s killed Kenny.
And do they even get to vote?
may be the reason for Wadhams pimping Scooty. Penry has been on the public dole, in one way or another, his entire adult life. Scooty is sitting on that pile of cash which may ease Wadhams’ sleepless nights worrying about pecuniary obligations.
is in a Federal account. He cannot legally use those funds in a state campaign.
is such ridiculously old news. Apart from Colorado Pols readers and the odd political reporter or two, no one else knows he exists anymore.
I would discount it completely, and I don’t view it as an accurate indicator as to where they will or won’t spend money.
Those judgements are typically made once the primaries are settled and the candidates are sized up. Sometimes it is done before hand, but there isn’t even an announced candidate for our side.
In short, this seems more like a Pols pipe dream.
it has to at least worry you a little bit that the RGA doesn’t even know which seats are up for re-election.
This map is so stupid, I have a hard time believing that it was actually lifted from the RGA website. Where is the link that shows it there? Usually this is included in such assertions. If this wasn’t directly from their website, I would discount it entirely.
Aside from the states that don’t even hold elections, it is listing states that just don’t make any sense. Why is New Jersey blue? Corzine has been trailing there for months.
Link, please, Pols.
This was part of a presentation given by the RGA to, presumably, top GOP operatives and gubernatorial campaigns. See the update above.
Funny, being such ardent defenders against communism and all that the republicans are. Has Hu Jintao signed off on it ?
I mean seriously, I would be questioning your source at this point
Sorry Pols, but since the source isn’t entirely….solid, your anaylisis is even less so. Ever consider the possibility that the information was “leaked” as a form of misdirection? Or to out someone else or make someone look stupid? I am genuinely surprised that you all have put any stock in this.
…you’re going to accuse Bill Clinton of being responsible for this!
http://www.rga.org/index.php?o…
Which seems like the RGA at least the number of elections right there. Even if their map is a little optimistic.
http://www.nga.org/Files/pdf/G…
The above map that is supposedly from the RGA lists New Jersey as being blue. But the link you gave me which is from the RGA website shows that New Jersey is a prime pick up opportunity.
According to Pols’ flawed assumption that the above map is a good indicator, the RGA isn’t planning on spending money on oen of their prime pick up opportunities.
Pols’ information is flawed, just like their conclusion. It is wishful thinking on their part.
this map came out last year…before the election. The RGA isn’t confused about what seats are up for reelection in 2010.
This is completely useless on just about every level
The existence of the map itself is talked about in a Sept 08 article here. http://www.stateline.org/live/…
So, no; not from “earlier this year.”
One other thing, if repubs are too dumb to put together a coherent map, why would you trust their assumption that CO will stay blue in 2010?
I’m just sayin… 🙂
As usual Pols trying to claim insider GOP info when in reality…they’re just pulling it out of the asses 99.999% of the time.
When is the last time that either the RGA or the DGA did any significant media buys in Colorado? Comparing the RGA/DGA to the RNCCC/DNCCC or RNSC/DNSC is apples and oranges.
Nor does the map mean much in an electoral environment that is changing week to week. NOBODY has any idea who will be spending money ANYWHERE in 18 months. Except Nostradamus and Coloradopols.
with an “Arrrr, matey!”
New homemade sign has popped up on I-25: WHY DOES RITTER HATE EL PASO CTY?
Made me think, RITTER? Hell, why do El Paso County VOTERS hate El Paso County?
And Missouri and Washington state DO hold their gubernatorial races in presidential years because Christine Gregory and Jay Nixon were just elected last Nov. How are those two going to change from blue to red in ’10?
The stupid Republicans are too blind to see McInnis would do better against Ritter and Penry is ONLY liked in the party. McInnis at least has some room to grow (at least more then Penry)
If you’re looking for an accurate assessment of the race from a respected pundit, check out Charlie Cook. He puts it at leans Dem. Ritter is still a favorite, though declining by the day, and one of the most vulnerable incumbent Democrat Governors.