“We can evade reality, but we cannot evade the consequences of evading reality.”
–Ayn Rand
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Hillary Clinton Leads Donald Trump in Latest New York Times/CBS Poll – Politicus
Then, May polls don't mean anything. Right, BC?
Polls in May don't mean a great deal. Single poll reports mean even less. The congruence of polls, prediction markets and politicians' opinions is more informative – and even that isn't especially compelling.
A more important aspect is what does the information encourage you to do?
Cue the bernie chorus "Polls mean everything because Bernie led by more!"
JD, I posted a comment on just this subject very late last night but in answer to your would be gotcha query, here's the last paragraph of that post with my newly added emphasis to help you out.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/
– See more at: http://coloradopols.com/diary/83779/thursday-open-thread-165#sthash.mQMFtS6F.dpuf
Not nearly as much fun (regardless of the season) …
Reality's real, …
… and for (too) many a real bitch.
From the article you cite, this goes a long way toward explaining why Quinnipiac polls have been so off base for the past several election cycles, skewed so far to the right compared to poll averages.
So many of them, V., seem to be leaving this reality behind. There is a TV network (the CW they call it) whose slogan is… "Defy your world…Dare to live in ours.". With kids today, if it didn't appear on Facebook or Snapchat or..whatever is trending, ...it didn't happen. This is profoundly disturbing.
But that's got an upside, Duke. "Kids Today" are so connected, so plugged in to the world around them, that they are surprisingly well-informed, compared to earlier generations. I mean, I bought the whole "Pioneers bravely overcoming the Indian Menace" thing until I was in 7th grade, because that was the only information available in textbooks, on TV, in popular culture.
I just finished grading a bunch of final essays from juniors – one of the topics was how the legacy of slavery affects us today. 10 or so chose to write about human trafficking,others had thoughtful examinations of police violence and criminal behavior. All of them were reflective about how limited their choices are in a small NE Colorado town, yet most were as well-informed as most urban kids. Surprisingly liberal on topics like abortion and gay marriage, and virtually all of them are supportive of Colorado's legal cannabis uses.
So yeah, they may pop in and out of virtual reality shows and spend way too much time on their phones as opposed to interacting in person, but these are hard working farm kids, too, and when they need to shovel the shit, they shovel it.
I really think that the Information Age and cooperative rural broadband access has been good to these "kids today". They are no more entitled or delusional than we were at that age, and a helluva sight more informed about the world around them.
I can certainly see that upside. Country kids probably have an advantage there, in the grounding that closeness to nature provides. City kids, somewhat less so, I trow.
I spent over half of my childhood living on a farm and the rest in the burbs. But life was different then…whatdoiknow?.
I am concerned with those young-uns who lose sight of the fact that rules in that world and rules in this world are not interchangeable. They become unsafe to themselves and those around them. The reset button always works in that world…but doesn't necessarily in this one.
As with any social trend, it is difficult to say where it will lead.
I have friends who are still posting on Facebook how Sanders will be an amazing president who will accomplish all his objectives. They seriously believe he will beat Hillary Clinton for the nomination and if it isn't Bernie approved than it isn't progressive enough for the radical change that they are demanding.
Haven't ever (yet?) figured out the video imbedding from IPhone (it's different than when on a computer for some reason), but here's how I'd respond at this point in time (if I had a Facebook account, which I never will):
<iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/CtGxusvUT3k" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
Liked hearing dear old Don sing again. Not sure the vitriol about Facebook. Like any other social media, it is what you make it. For me it is an easy way to stay in touch with my friends and relatives. I have relatives that I haven't seen since my dad's memorial service but I keep up an easy banter and relationship with them on Facebook. A thing is only stupid when stupid people use it.
I'm fortunate in having friends and family who are on the same page as me most of the time. There's a Bernie/HRC rift but we're all civil. It's kind of like ColPols for me only we exchange personal news, pics, invitations as ourselves. When I find myself getting too many posts of wise and/or cute and/or inspirational and/or religious sayings, sure fire diet and other health regimes, dozens of puppy videos, share if you think your kid is spectacular, etc., instead of blocking the very nice well meaning friend who sent them I just block the site they come from. This has cut down posts from some of my friends by 90% since mostly they just share this kind of stuff and they're none the wiser. I love that it's put me back in touch with old friends, especially my faves from High School, and makes it easy to keep up long distance.
How do I block a page?
When something turns up on your page there's a little downward arrow in the top right corner of the box. Use it to drop down options. It varies but if somebody just passed something along you'll usually get an option that you don't want to see this post or want to block all from Suzie or want to block all from cutepuppies.com or healthy foods.com or psychobabblewisesayings.com. Without blocking dear Suzie you can block anything from those sites. Now sometimes it's just from Suzie so you might just get an option to not see that particular post or block all from Suzie. If you don't want to block Suzie, you'll just have to put up with her cute puppies and/or spiritual advice.
Oh, yes. Suzie
How Sanders supporters view the world
https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/compost/wp/2016/05/18/if-sanders-supporters-complained-about-other-things-the-way-they-complain-about-election-results/
Thanks for the inspiration, V. I'm working on a post about "How Hillary supporters See the World". It's 100% gluten-free, non-GMO, and I'm hoping it will go viral when I post it on Facebook.
Bearing in mind of course that lumping all Bernie supporters or all HRC supporters or all of anyone's supporters into a single stereotype is stupid. Entertaining sometimes… but still stupid. And counter-productive.
Well, in Petri''s case, I think it was very funny. Bernistas could affotd to lighten up a wee bit.
When it comes to your beloved HRC…. you could, too. Pot. Kettle. Just sayin'.
They aren't even pretending anymore:
http://www.nationalmemo.com/charles-kochs-disturbing-high-school-economics-project-teaches-sacrificing-lives-profits/
In Harney County, Oregon, there's good news, and bad news.
Good news first:
The candidates who backed the militias that occupied the Malheur wildlife refuge were overwhelmingly voted out of office.And by overwhelmingly, we mean a 72% turnout in Harney County- highest voter turnout in the state.
Then the bad news:
Steve Grasty, the County Commissioner who stood up to the occupiers, demanding that they leave the wildlife refuge, is facing a recall election initiated by supporters of the occupation. Grasty has said that he will not resign.
Voter repudiation of the pro-occupation candidates can also be seen as a blow against ALEC's agenda to appropriate public lands for private use.