According to “The Fix,” while Colorado’s Ken Salazar is the only Democratic incumbent in 2010 who won in 2004 with less than 55 percent of the vote, Colorado’s Senate race in 2010 doesn’t even qualify as a Top 10 likely switch:
A quick glance at the playing field, however, suggests that Republicans could — yet again — be in for a difficult time in 2010.
Republicans must defend 19 seats including six (North Carolina, Iowa, New Hampshire, Florida, Pennsylvania and Ohio) in states won by President-elect Barack Obama earlier this month.
Democrats have far less vulnerability; only one incumbent up for re-election (Colorado Sen. Ken Salazar) won with less than 55 percent of the vote in 2004 and several potential races are entirely contingent on one Republican candidate deciding to run.
Things can change, certainly, but it’s amazing how much Colorado has changed in just the last couple of years. Four years ago Colorado had two Republican Senators; now we have two Democrats in the Senate, and early indications are that Republicans may not be able to mount a serious challenge to one of them until at least 2014. And what a ride it’s been for Salazar, going from Attorney General in 2004 to Colorado’s Senior Senator in 2008 – just another indication of how so much in politics is about timing.
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there will be a reaction against the whole Demobamacrat party, across the board.
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Do the wingnuts have a board of consultants hired from some middle school somewhere that helps them come up with those insipid, puerile plays on President-elect Obama’s name? I can’t think of any other explanation for how and why they’re able to devise so many on such short notice.That’s a big if as well. I think good faith efforts to get our troops out and begin some coherent program of reconstruction and reconciliation would damp down any reaction which is most likely to come from the Democratic core, except for the hypocritical and cynical wingnut segment.
n/t
See new Big Line
…or perhaps he’ll change his mind yet again and do the Senate race.
I figure the attraction of taking on a Latino elected official mano a mano would be too much for Tank to turn down.
At the end of the day, he’ll run against the incumbent who looks more vulnerable.
Salazar polls well. Every Republican considering a statewide run has Senate on the bottom of their list.
…and start listening to Salazar more, rather than trying to go rogue!
I made my first contribution this morning. You can too at:
http://www.salazarforcolorado.com
With a big war chest, the Republicans will leave him alone.
If the far-left runs a primary opponent against Salazar it would definitely require him to spend money defending himself.
Unless someone like Rutt Bridges (relax, Jeff…I know he won’t do it…I’m just using him as an example) self financed and became Colorado’s version of Ned Lamont, Salazar is safe.
If a wealthy liberal did try to pull a Ned Lamont in Colorado, it would be a disaster the Dems. Unlike in Conn., there are still enough Repubs in Colo. to win in a three-way race.
You mean, the National Socialists and the Greens will be fielding candidates in 2010? If they both run, they might break into a single digit, but split the vote of all the leftists willing to risk Salazar’s seat.
who questioned why Salazar would grease the skids for Bush’s Supreme Court appointees. What where they thinking to question the phony folksy Salazar?
Unless you can name someone who would make the politically risky move of running a primary campaign against a popular incumbent Senator.
Seriously, name one.
is one thing, and I’m very much with the left on those counts (Gonzales and FISA included). Mounting a serious primary challenge and actually making the ballot is quite another.
Salazar will be a powerful, successful incumbent. He’s made a big name for himself from day one in the Senate and he’s not going anywhere unless he wants to. Get used to it.
The idea of a representative Democracy is that we tell our representatives what we think. When we like what they do, when we dislike what they do. And that we tell him how we think he should vote on upcoming issues.
To say we should just silently accept whatever Salazar does is anti-democratic.
I’ve always called and e-mailed Salazar when a particular vote or position pisses me off. It was hard to see the point of trying to pressure Allard so I rarely bothered. We should all complain freely to our elected officials. We vote them in and can vote them out.
But the stronger Dems are, the fewer really lousy compromises cautious Ken will feel obliged to make. Our strength is his strength while having a powerful Senator who voted our way about 85% of the time in the darkest days is our strength.
Give him hell when we think he deserves it, sure. Push to dethrone him with a litmus test lefty who can’t win, not so much. See Republicans since 2006.
I’ve never pushed to primary Salazar – and in fact I think I was one of the first to say doing so was stupid. But I do agree, the more we push the “center” left, the more Salazar will move with the center.
If his votes in the House are any indication.
Somehow I think the response from the left (though not from you David) will be less vitriolic than what Salazar is getting right now.
Is he ran away from his constituents the last 2 years. Salazars talks to us, even those that disagree with him.
With both points. Udall’s hubris* has to dissolve now that he’s representing the entire state, and not just the Boulder LiberalsTM. He should take a note from Senator Salazar, who is as approachable in person as a US Senator can get.
*Not just his lack of direct communication with constituents, but that ridiculous coronation at the State Convention. And that’s coming from someone who genuinely likes the man.
are completely approachable and personable one on one. So is Perlmutter.
I also have always received replies to e-mails I’ve sent Salazar, though mainly the canned kind that are sent out to everyone who enquires about a particular issue or subject. But that’s understandable. He can’t spend eight hours a day personally answering 100s of e-mails.
But these guys do lots of public meetings and attend lots of events and you can just walk right up to them and have a conversation. One of the reasons I like Ritter and Salazar both more than I would from just keeping track of every policy stand or vote. I can’t help it. They’re really nice people.
This basically says there will be no RSCC money for a Salazar challanger. So if someone wants a major seat – it’s Governor.
If no-one’s willing to challenge Salazar (assuming he’s not at DOI by then…), then it’s going to be a major pile-on from the GOP to get the governor’s seat. The self-inflicted damage could provide weeks of entertainment.
Oh – the RGA spent a lot of money this year, too.
First, he is well liked throughout the state. Voters consider him trustworthy even if they disagree with him. That is as important as where he stands on particular issues.
Second, the economic meltdown has changed everything. Gov. Ritter is already out in front on this issue by his actions (e.g. economic development trip to Japan and economic stimulus package). In short, he is addressing the paramount issue on everyone’s mind.
And what are the Republicans doing? Complaining that the $5 million the Governor wants to use for economic stimulus programs should be used for transportaiton projects. What nonsense. $5 million dollars might pay for the construction or reconstruction of one interchange on I-25 or I-70 but that is only a drop in the bucket.
If the Republicans really want economic recovery, they will join in the effort to place a measure on the ballot in 2009 to raise enough money to build more roads and maintain the ones we have. Most economists agree that such transportation spending not only provides jobs for the construction industry but over time creates more economic activity because of the availability of a first class transportation system.
Governor Ritter is doing everything he can to address the economic downturn. thats exactly what he should be doing for us. For that, we should reward him with another term in office.
So he lost on A-58. Big deal! I remember then-Gov Roy Romer campaigning for a sales tax which he placed on the ballot in ’92 and which went down to defeat.
That didn’t seem to have hurt him two years later when he cleaned Bruce Benson’s clock.
But with the present economic mess, a lot will depend on what is done over the next 2 years. If it’s still a disaster, unless they see Ritter as having done as best as could be done, then he could be in a world of hurt.